HU hand from 30r
 

so a friend of mine played this hand while heads up in the tilt 30 rebuy a few days ago:

we have approx a 3:1 CL on villain. this is the 7th hand of HU so no real reads but we know him to be very aggro and spewy. in a previous tourney a few weeks ago villain cold 4bet shoved on our threebet with KQo and no fold equity. the hand (might not be 100% accurate but close enough):

blinds 5k/10k, we have approx 1.1 mill to villain's 340k. villain limps button, we raise to 40k with 77. villain calls. flop Q Q 9 rainbow, we lead 55k and he shoves for 300k total. what range do you put him on, what's your play, and why?

Re: HU hand from 30r
 

I fold here because even against a hand like KJ or T8 your about 50/50, your decently behind JT, and your crushed if hes shoving any Q's or 9's, and I doubt he has random overs here often, but even if he has like AT, your only 60/40, I just think his range needs to be such a HUGE % bluffs for a call to be profitable.

Re: HU hand from 30r
 

Fwiw, the crucial part to defining his range is my belief (this is my hand) that he shoves a lot of small pairs here, a lot of random hands as a bluff, and a lot of random ace highs.

Obviously you can not tell this from a raw HH, but given our history I felt it necessary to include those types of hands while trying to define his range as he views me as real aggro and I doubt he's ever trying to give me much credit on a paired board.

Re: HU hand from 30r
 

it seems contradictory to me that you think he is spazzy enough to shove "random hands as a bluff and a lot of random ace highs" but at the same time you think he is just limp-calling a small pair with 35 bbs (rather than limp-shoving)

Re: HU hand from 30r
 

Does villain ever actually shove a Q on this flop or is he almost always flatting?

Re: HU hand from 30r
 

uhh, I doubt he shoves a Q here, maybe 5% of the time or so? I imagine he flats/or raises to 140k or so with a queen.

Re: HU hand from 30r
 

call

Re: HU hand from 30r
 

i don't think villain ever has a Q here

charder - what range do you put him on?

Re: HU hand from 30r
 

I agree BK that he never has a Q, but hands like K9 J9 and 89 all pop into my head because he's too short to fold them on this kind of flop. Also, any sort of draw is a favorite so I think we fold and move on w/ our 1mill to 400kish chip lead and grind him down.

Re: HU hand from 30r
 

[ QUOTE ]
i don't think villain ever has a Q here

charder - what range do you put him on?

[/ QUOTE ]

honestly i was really bored last nite at TS, messing around with some people and just opened 5 threads and posted call in all of them without looking. In reality i wouldn't hateee a call, but i think this is a fold. You don't have great equity against his range imo.