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-   -   NL 100 my trips runs into heat. (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=558113)

flytrap 11-30-2007 05:14 PM

NL 100 my trips runs into heat.
 
Villain is 24/8. I figured after my turn call, his bet on the river is value for sure. Now the question is, can I beat his V-Bet range?
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1 BB (9 handed) Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero ($105.15)
CO ($98.50)
Button ($100.90)
SB ($97.75)
BB ($36.45)
UTG ($30)
UTG+1 ($61)
MP1 ($124.40)
MP2 ($128.30)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
UTG+1 calls $1, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $4</font>, CO calls $4, Button calls $4, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG+1 calls $3.

Flop: ($17.50) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $12</font>, CO calls $12, Button folds, UTG+1 folds.

Turn: ($41.50) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets $20</font>, Hero calls $20.

River: ($81.50) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets $30</font>, Hero ??

moldman 11-30-2007 05:53 PM

Re: NL 100 my trips runs into heat.
 
Well, you're better than 5 of the aces, and behind 6. He could also have an 77 potentially, although its not likely. Factor in air or a lower pocket pair into his range, I definitely think this is a call. Now, if you keep betting throughout the hand, you could easily bet/fold. Since you've checked though, I definitely call.

Johnes Benjamin 11-30-2007 06:40 PM

Re: NL 100 my trips runs into heat.
 
doubtful IMO

RapidEvolution 11-30-2007 06:58 PM

Re: NL 100 my trips runs into heat.
 
If he put you on an ace and could beat it, I think he'd be betting 60 or70 instead of 30. I'd call here and expect to see 99/TT/JJ here enough to make calling +EV.

alex-star 11-30-2007 08:09 PM

Re: NL 100 my trips runs into heat.
 
Really? I think that this is AJ/AQ like 80% of the time.

SABR42 11-30-2007 08:11 PM

Re: NL 100 my trips runs into heat.
 
I'd pay him off.

Das Budrick 11-30-2007 09:24 PM

Re: NL 100 my trips runs into heat.
 
I call the river too

wikemang 11-30-2007 10:42 PM

Re: NL 100 my trips runs into heat.
 
Pay him off.

The Eureka Kid 12-01-2007 02:38 AM

Re: NL 100 my trips runs into heat.
 
With his river bet sizing he has you beat a high % of the time, but you only need to be good a small % of the time. It's close, but I call.

novel20 12-01-2007 02:50 AM

Re: NL 100 my trips runs into heat.
 
Very likely you are beat on river. Check fold is fine.


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