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-   -   Microscopic sample size STAT checkup plz (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=541913)

private joker 11-09-2007 04:06 AM

Microscopic sample size STAT checkup plz
 
http://img406.imageshack.us/img406/7...ands5shgl8.jpg

OK obviously I am running hot so I expect my won @ SD to go down significantly.

But my main concern is how tight I am PF. I'm pretty sure most of you are in the 26/21 range or whatever, and I'm hovering at 23.6/17.

There are a few things I need cleared up:

1) 3-betting range in position. Since I'm new to this level & site, I don't have stats on most of my players, and am only just now getting notes on regulars. So as a default, when UTG or MP opens and you're CO/BTN, what are we doing with hands like KJo, KTo, QJs, A7s, A8o, 55-44, etc. I feel like I'm erring on the side of folding when I should be re-popping.

2) Blind defense -- should I be playing from the SB more often? I can't seem to find good spots to play against a steal there (like I'm folding 87s, Q9o, and Axo if it's a tight player)

3) Opening from non-steal positions. When UTG and MP, I'm folding a lot here. Mucking hands like JTo, QTo, A6o, A3s, 33, J9s, etc. Should I open up here, and if so, with what?

Also does my WTSD look low or is that normal? My total AF (which isn't on the chart) is 2.1. Too low as well?

Thanks for the input; I'm so rusty at short-handed.

Hobbs. 11-09-2007 04:08 AM

Re: Microscopic sample size STAT checkup plz
 
NIT!

MitchL 11-09-2007 04:27 AM

Re: Microscopic sample size STAT checkup plz
 
[ QUOTE ]
NIT!

[/ QUOTE ]

slamhound 11-09-2007 04:45 AM

Re: Microscopic sample size STAT checkup plz
 
Your 'folded BB to steal' stat is really high, 'att. to steal blinds' is really low especially considering how well you're running. Could just be a sample size thing though. WTSD depends a lot on style, but I think yours is well within normal range for 6-max.

Also, I would like to concur with the above gentlemen.

NinaWilliams 11-09-2007 05:01 AM

Re: Microscopic sample size STAT checkup plz
 
1) Id fold all of these vs an EP raiser.

2) Im not defending 78s or Q9o either. Axo depends what the X actually is. Your fold sb to steal looks about right, so i wouldnt worry about that for now.

3) I open J9s from HJ almost always and sometimes UTG. The others not so much.

From the looks of things, you need to defend a wider range in the bb and steal a wider range OTB and in the SB.

Dont worry too much about EP, its ok to be nitty UTG and in the HJ. But in late position its party time.

waffle 11-09-2007 05:25 AM

Re: Microscopic sample size STAT checkup plz
 
OP: Open raise more hands on the button.

Oink 11-09-2007 05:52 AM

Re: Microscopic sample size STAT checkup plz
 
Hi PJ

Nice to see you posting here a lot. I like your posts a lot when I lurk around in medium stakes.


Errhm... First of all. You seem very tight. I am almost 100% sure you are leaving money on the table in late position. I would get my ATSB above 40 ASAP.

In a 2/5 blind structure I think your fold SB is fine.

I do believe you are folding you BB too much tho. I wouldnt like mine above 45 at 5/10.


Sample size is too small to be sure this is your true wtsd. Just to give an example: Mine is 40-41 over the last 80k hands. But in the last 7k hands where I have been running bad its only 37. So since you have been running good over that sample its likely that your true wtsd is a bit lower. 38 is fine btw for 5/10 IMO.


1) I am 3-betting all of those against a MP TAG or LAG open. If MP is a strong TAG or LAGTAG I muck em. If MP is unknown I muck em. Against UTG I will only 3-bet if villain is a LAGfish.

2) If he is tight postflop as well you can actually play a lot of hands. But as said, I think your fold SB to steal is fine for 5/10.

3) I play all of those hands in MP. 33 in UTG. But I do think that you should look for spots to open up in late position more than in UTG and MP. Your ATSB is really low.

chezlaw 11-09-2007 06:09 AM

Re: Microscopic sample size STAT checkup plz
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
LAG!

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

vmacosta 11-09-2007 07:46 AM

Re: Microscopic sample size STAT checkup plz
 
[ QUOTE ]
Your 'folded BB to steal' stat is really high, 'att. to steal blinds' is really low especially considering how well you're running.

Also, I would like to concur with the above gentlemen.

[/ QUOTE ]

Flintoff 11-09-2007 09:06 AM

Re: Microscopic sample size STAT checkup plz
 
Are you browsing the net with all the spare time you have in between hands PJ? :P


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