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-   -   NL 100 - Is this spew? Straight draw gets min-raise by nit (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=556339)

YKMM 11-28-2007 11:52 AM

NL 100 - Is this spew? Straight draw gets min-raise by nit
 
Villain is 14/8.5/0.18 in a large sample. Should I be folding this way earlier? Pot odds are marginal and implied odds are poor, but I can't help myself. Is this spew?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

MP1 ($76.20)
MP2 ($161.70)
Hero ($91.60)
CO ($17.85)
Button ($73.95)
SB ($79.30)
BB ($66.20)
UTG ($197.95)
UTG+1 ($100)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls $1, MP1 calls $1, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $6</font>, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, UTG+1 calls $5, MP1 folds.

Flop: ($14.50) J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $11</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 raises to $22</font>, Hero calls $11.

Turn: ($58.50) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets $20</font>, Hero calls $20.

River: ($98.50) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets $52 (All-In)</font>, Hero folds.

Final Pot: $46.50

Makonnen 11-28-2007 12:19 PM

Re: NL 100 - Is this spew? Straight draw gets min-raise by nit
 
Is that AF right? Lordy ...

No, I think you did it right. He has a set more often than he has QT or T7, and you have solid outs against a set. On the flop, you're getting over 4:1, on the turn, just under 4:1. Clear river fold.

ship_it_trebek 11-28-2007 01:10 PM

Re: NL 100 - Is this spew? Straight draw gets min-raise by nit
 
You have no implied odds here. Someone with that AF over whatever is a decent sample has you beat, i muck the flop.

RapidEvolution 11-28-2007 01:48 PM

Re: NL 100 - Is this spew? Straight draw gets min-raise by nit
 
[ QUOTE ]
You have no implied odds here. Someone with that AF over whatever is a decent sample has you beat, i muck the flop.

[/ QUOTE ]

While I agree that we're beat, I'm calling villain's flop raise. We're paying 11 into a pot of 47...express odds alone justify a call here, and villain's set isn't going to stop firing. On the turn, villain gives us pot odds yet again (if he bet pot, this would be a fold, IMO), so the call is fine. River's an obvious fold.

If villain was feeling frisky and limp-called QTs, then hats off to him, but I'd put him squarely on 88/99


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