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-   -   probably (?) easy hand two pair in rough spot (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=555925)

holdme 11-27-2007 09:23 PM

probably (?) easy hand two pair in rough spot
 
19/13/1 station

Full Tilt Poker, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

BB: $74.45
UTG: $219.50
MP: $117.15
CO: $100
Hero (BTN): $98.50
SB: $31.50

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
UTG folds, <font color="red">MP raises to $3.50</font>, CO folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $12</font>, 2 folds, MP calls $8.50

Flop: ($25.50) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
MP checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $18</font>, <font color="red">MP raises to $105.15 and is All-In</font>,

sightless 11-27-2007 09:27 PM

Re: probably (?) easy hand two pair in rough spot
 
dont 3bet him pf with at

LOwrestling2001 11-27-2007 09:29 PM

Re: probably (?) easy hand two pair in rough spot
 
fold, you beat nothing, and AQ doesn't play like that, and a 19/13 doesn't have KT there.

fees 11-27-2007 09:29 PM

Re: probably (?) easy hand two pair in rough spot
 
fold pref, fold flop

markuisis 11-27-2007 09:37 PM

Re: probably (?) easy hand two pair in rough spot
 
Over how many hands r those stats? If they r significant then I think we can rule out qjo, k10 and a10 from his range almost always (both raising pf and calling a 3bet). Against a range of TT, KK, AA, AJ+ and QJs u r a 38% dog. However, I think his range is weighed away from KK or AA cold calling pf oop, very strongly away from QJs playing this board so ridiculously fast and there is a decent chance he doesnt just shove a set here. Given these assumptions which I think r very reasonable, u have to call. (I'd say his hand looks a lot like AQ or AJ).

Zen_Approach 11-27-2007 09:42 PM

Re: probably (?) easy hand two pair in rough spot
 
This looks to me a lot like AK, maybe slowplayed aces. Then again, he could put you on QQ or JJ and be shoving an AQ/AJ type hand. I think in general this is a pretty safe fold though.

BTW not a huge fan of the 3bet with AT pf against this villain. I'd prefer a 3bet with smaller pairs, suited connectors etc.


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