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-   -   3-bet pot AI decision NL 100 (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=557203)

Babalatexi 11-29-2007 01:09 PM

3-bet pot AI decision NL 100
 
Party Poker, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players

SB: $94.79
BB: $124.36
UTG: $100
MP: $93.68
Hero (CO): $116.95
BTN: $100.65

UTG posts $1
Pre-Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (CO)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $4</font>, MP folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $14</font>, 3 folds, UTG calls $10

Flop: ($29.50) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $21</font>, <font color="red">UTG raises to $86 and is All-In</font>, Hero calls $65

Villain is 28/19/2.2 after 80 hands. Would anyone fold here? What about TT, 99?

Paul Thomson 11-29-2007 01:11 PM

Re: 3-bet pot AI decision NL 100
 
call.

Chicago Twister 11-29-2007 01:12 PM

Re: 3-bet pot AI decision NL 100
 
I would not fold getting 2:1 given the action so far.

cheer 11-29-2007 01:13 PM

Re: 3-bet pot AI decision NL 100
 
[ QUOTE ]
I would not fold getting 2:1 given the action so far.

[/ QUOTE ]

what? do you think he is bluffing? this action makes me think he is super strong

Babalatexi 11-29-2007 01:22 PM

Re: 3-bet pot AI decision NL 100
 
I agree to a call here (although I don't think it's that obvious) but would like opinions on TT and 99. When do you think our equity becomes too small, which OP do you start folding here?

aka_bebel 11-29-2007 01:29 PM

Re: 3-bet pot AI decision NL 100
 
the fact that he raised UTG and called a reraise makes me thing his range is tight here so I would fold.

I don't think you are ever ahead here (only of AKs/AQs/AJs and those have a ton of outs)

1968 11-29-2007 01:39 PM

Re: 3-bet pot AI decision NL 100
 
easy snap call here

aka_bebel 11-29-2007 01:40 PM

Re: 3-bet pot AI decision NL 100
 
[ QUOTE ]
I agree to a call here (although I don't think it's that obvious) but would like opinions on TT and 99. When do you think our equity becomes too small, which OP do you start folding here?

[/ QUOTE ]

We need about 34% equity to make the call.
We get close to that with a range like this :
Hand 0: 32.905% 30.53% 02.38% 51678 4027.50 { JJ }
Hand 1: 67.095% 64.72% 02.38% 109557 4027.50 { TT+, AdKd, AdQd, AdJd, KdQd }

But if we take out TT we are never better then 20%.So we hope here he does this with a pp smaller than JJ or some bluff ?

Babalatexi 11-29-2007 01:44 PM

Re: 3-bet pot AI decision NL 100
 
AK bluffing, yeah. I'm just curious because I would fold TT here and super-insta call with QQ. Whether this is sound or not I don't know, I'd just draw the line with JJ and am wondering what the worst hand others are calling here with is and why.

sokiraJ 11-29-2007 01:57 PM

Re: 3-bet pot AI decision NL 100
 
I know its not a reliable tell, but how fast did he shove? Like, I doubt he instashoves here with TT, JJ or even QQ.

Even with great odds I think this is a fold. Against JJ+ and two overs with a FD (AQhh AKhh) you are about 25/75.


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