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-   -   3 decisions I thought were -ev but good in the long run (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=557589)

DMACM 11-29-2007 10:27 PM

3 decisions I thought were -ev but good in the long run
 
These are non-turbos so you have lots of time to pick your spots. The first one I really thought about calling for hypothetical stack size reasons. The 2nd one I did call for that reason. The third I thought was a clear +ev push but I thought it would be better to wait for a better spot. Any thoughts?

PokerStars Game #13549324944: Tournament #68724921, $5.00+$0.50 Hold'em No Limit - Level IV (50/100) - 2007/11/29 - 19:39:04 (ET)
Table '68724921 1' 9-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: neilyoung (1943 in chips)
Seat 2: dykes_80 (455 in chips)
Seat 3: GoHabs! (597 in chips)
Seat 4: Quirkey (2560 in chips)
Seat 5: eidorbm (1515 in chips) is sitting out
Seat 6: MartyJr2 (1220 in chips)
Seat 7: DMACM (1560 in chips)
Seat 8: Kaspa233 (2405 in chips)
Seat 9: radfrobot (1245 in chips)
DMACM: posts small blind 50
Kaspa233: posts big blind 100
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to DMACM [Qs 5d]
radfrobot: folds
neilyoung: folds
dykes_80: raises 355 to 455 and is all-in
GoHabs!: calls 455
Quirkey: folds
eidorbm: folds
MartyJr2: folds
DMACM: shouldve called

PokerStars Game #13549587914: Tournament #68724761, $10+$1 Hold'em No Limit - Level V (75/150) - 2007/11/29 - 19:53:03 (ET)
Table '68724761 1' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 2: ShrkScopeDis (1200 in chips)
Seat 3: DMACM (3595 in chips)
Seat 6: kjskriss (870 in chips)
Seat 7: jgorman85 (3305 in chips)
Seat 8: timmy2heh (1740 in chips)
Seat 9: Hold'emSarge (2790 in chips)
ShrkScopeDis: posts small blind 75
DMACM: posts big blind 150
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to DMACM [5h 9s]
kjskriss: raises 720 to 870 and is all-in
jgorman85: folds
timmy2heh: folds
Hold'emSarge: folds
ShrkScopeDis: raises 330 to 1200 and is all-in
DMACM: calls 1050

PokerStars Game #13549768128: Tournament #68724761, $10+$1 Hold'em No Limit - Level VI (100/200) - 2007/11/29 - 20:02:42 (ET)
Table '68724761 1' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 3: DMACM (3770 in chips)
Seat 6: kjskriss (1595 in chips)
Seat 7: jgorman85 (4655 in chips)
Seat 9: Hold'emSarge (3480 in chips)
DMACM: posts small blind 100
kjskriss: posts big blind 200
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to DMACM [2d Td]
jgorman85: folds
Hold'emSarge: folds
DMACM: folds

meleader2 11-29-2007 10:33 PM

Re: 3 decisions I thought were -ev but good in the long run
 
1: fold
2: shark has at least A high
3: fold. i like that.

AMT 11-29-2007 10:39 PM

Re: 3 decisions I thought were -ev but good in the long run
 
[ QUOTE ]
3 decisions I thought were -ev but good in the long run

[/ QUOTE ]


You did it! You've just defied mathematics and stated the impossible!


They all look like folds to me except 3rd one could be fine to shove.

vers 11-29-2007 10:41 PM

Re: 3 decisions I thought were -ev but good in the long run
 
first 2 are soooo fist pump folds. 3rd is a shove, but can be neg ev depending on a v loose range.

meleader2 11-29-2007 10:50 PM

Re: 3 decisions I thought were -ev but good in the long run
 
[ QUOTE ]
first 2 are soooo fist pump folds. 3rd is a shove, but can be neg ev depending on a v loose range.

[/ QUOTE ]

how about -EV due to future hands with a bigger stack in position against him, rather than a loose range.

sippin_criss 11-29-2007 10:53 PM

Re: 3 decisions I thought were -ev but good in the long run
 
block theory!

HajiShirazu 11-29-2007 11:30 PM

Re: 3 decisions I thought were -ev but good in the long run
 
Hand 1, your five is definitely live, gotta call.
Hand 2, both cards live, 3 way pot, str8 possibilities, getting at least 2-1, easy easy call.
Suited broadway, how can you fold hand 3?!?!


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