NL200 Serious FPS
 

Villain is a 15/7 nit. Notice the stacks, deep enough to go set mining with a reraise I think.

He appears pretty straight forward so when he doesn't lead out on flop I dont think he has AA or AK.

On the turn I figured, either he has three kings, or an underpair/air, he is most likely giving up if he doesnt have the kings, so I decided to float...

On the river the bet he makes is super weak, he just can't have any real hand here...

Like or not?


Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.80 BB (3 handed) Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Button ($131.95)
SB ($266.75)
Hero ($274.05)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $3</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to $10.2</font>, Hero calls $9, Button folds.

Flop: ($23) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, Hero checks.

Turn: ($23) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets $17</font>, Hero calls $17.

River: ($57) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB bets $17, Hero raises to $55

Re: NL200 Serious FPS
 

spew. fold preflop. now fold turn. now fold river.

Re: NL200 Serious FPS
 

[ QUOTE ]
spew. fold preflop. now fold turn. now fold river.

[/ QUOTE ]
Reasoning?

Re: NL200 Serious FPS
 

preflop isnt terrible given that youre 300bb deep.

he almost potted the turn and you called with an underpair - obv spew.

then on the river you raised his weak blocker a stupid small amount that he'll call a large portion of the time because people love blocking then calling a small raise.

Re: NL200 Serious FPS
 

villain is 15/7. I would be shocked if he doesnt have aa/ak here a large majority of the time.

Re: NL200 Serious FPS
 

there's nothing wrong with PF. The guy is an uber-nit (even assuming those stats are 6-handed rather than 3-handed).

FLOP: Nits tend not to get too tricky postflop. I think his most likely holding is a PP&lt;KK, as air and AK+ tends to CB here. it might be very hard to push him off QQ here, and your read isn't that great, so fold turn.

Re: NL200 Serious FPS
 

[ QUOTE ]
he almost potted the turn and you called with an underpair - obv spew.

[/ QUOTE ]
My hand doesn't really matter here as I intend on bluffing the river.

[ QUOTE ]
then on the river you raised his weak blocker a stupid small amount that he'll call a large portion of the time because people love blocking then calling a small raise.

[/ QUOTE ]
It's hardly "stupidly small", I'd problaby play the same with AK. And big raises look a lot more like a bluff. Here it's perfectly plausible that I'm valueraising with AK, I wouldn't raise to $80 with TPTK here...

Also my turn call is pretty strong, so he has to put me on a hand.

Re: NL200 Serious FPS
 

[ QUOTE ]
villain is 15/7. I would be shocked if he doesnt have aa/ak here a large majority of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]
AA/AK bets flop like 100% of the time.

Re: NL200 Serious FPS
 

fold turn he has kk

Re: NL200 Serious FPS
 

1. If you intend on bluffing there are considerable advantages to doing it on the turn rather than the river.

2. It is stupidly small. you can say big raises look like a bluff etc... but the fact of the matter is you get MUCH MUCH more FE with a raise to like $80.

3. yes, he can put you on a draw.