I think im bluffing
 

villain is a TAG reg, seems like every hand I post has to do w/ one of you guys.

he's 18/15/3

Full Tilt Poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 4 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

SB: $244.25
BB: $236.10
UTG: $200
Hero (BTN): $314.40

Pre-Flop: 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $7</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $24</font>, 2 folds, UTG calls $17

Flop: ($51) 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $38</font>, UTG calls $38

Turn: ($127) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $106</font>

Re: I think im bluffing
 

youre not repping a flush at all so i think if hes calling the flop hes not folding the turn unless he has a J which still may not fold

Re: I think im bluffing
 

why isnt he repping a flush?

Re: I think im bluffing
 

U raised utg open from nit with 99. Why?
Turn is def a bluff and he sadly only folds TT.

EDIT: bah 4 players only :&lt;.

Re: I think im bluffing
 

dont 3bet 18/15/23 utg raise with 99 on button imo

good luck trying to fold out jj qq and kk though

bad 4 players only

Re: I think im bluffing
 

[ QUOTE ]
dont 3bet 18/15/23 utg raise with 99 on button imo

good luck trying to fold out jj qq and kk though

[/ QUOTE ]

its 4 handed

Re: I think im bluffing
 

18/15/3 is not a nit. 3betting is fine, although calling on the button is an option. so long as youre not set farming.

Re: I think im bluffing
 

[ QUOTE ]
why isnt he repping a flush?

[/ QUOTE ]

my point is his range is much wider then a flush here. if villain calls the flop the 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] is a relatively blank card on the turn and shouldnt bother villain too much. what flush is he repping, AK or AQ[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

Re: I think im bluffing
 

you think he can fold QQ/TT here? If he has something like AK/AQ and called that flop, obv they were spades and it got there. He atleast has a J here

Re: I think im bluffing
 

if he decided to smooth call AA/KK/QQ pf which is less likely given he opened CO and I 3bet btn, hes almost certainly (95 percent?) check/raising them all in esp. on a wet board.