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-   -   I feel like making a sick river call here. (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=239561)

SABR42 10-18-2006 05:37 PM

I feel like making a sick river call here.
 
Reads: villain is on the loose/passive side preflop, at 42/11. I haven't seen him get too out of line postflop.

Hero is LAG, taking down most of his pots without a showdown.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

SB ($100.50)
BB ($99.80)
Hero ($144.75)
MP ($69.40)
CO ($139.85)
Button ($117.85)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $3.5</font>, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, BB calls $2.50.

Flop: ($7.50) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $5.5</font>, BB calls $5.50.

Turn: ($18.50) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, Hero checks.

River: ($18.50) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets $10</font>, Hero calls $10.

The river bet smells really fishy.

I don't think he has a flush, as most players make a big river bet after their turn check/raise failed to go through. It's not impossible for him to hold a flush, I just think it's unlikely.

He could have trips aces certainly.

I don't think he has a jack here hardly ever.

He could also have a wide variety of busted straight draws, given his tendency to call loosely pre-flop. Most players who call loosely pre-flop will call again if they flop some sort of straight draw.

I can beat the following hands: KQ, KT, QT, Q8, T8, T7, 87. That's basically all I can beat, but I thought enough of his range constituted these busted draws for me to call.

Final Pot: $38.50

jjigglers 10-18-2006 05:40 PM

Re: I feel like making a sick river call here.
 
Hate it. If his range only consists of broken gutshots, you gotta be -EV against 95+% of opponents.

Paul Thomson 10-18-2006 05:49 PM

Re: I feel like making a sick river call here.
 
Not a big fan of the call, sorry.

What about the flop play....
Who bets and who checks?

jjigglers 10-18-2006 05:51 PM

Re: I feel like making a sick river call here.
 
[ QUOTE ]
Not a big fan of the call, sorry.

What about the flop play....
Who bets and who checks?

[/ QUOTE ]

Post reasoning/plan behind both.

I bet FWIW.

SABR42 10-18-2006 05:58 PM

Re: I feel like making a sick river call here.
 
I had a tough time putting him on a legitimate hand, besides trip aces.

I would think that flushes or full houses would usually bet more than just 1/2 pot on the river, expecting an ace to pay off.

The texture of the flop is such that there are a ton of straight draws out there, all of which missed.

Keyser. 10-18-2006 06:05 PM

Re: I feel like making a sick river call here.
 
I was expecting something much sicker.


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