HU SNG - Probability of a losing day is?
 

I was wondering if someone would be so kind to calculate what the chances of a single day being a losing day when playing Heads up SNG's.

If it is not too much trouble it would be interresting to see the below scenarios.

1. If you play 20 games pr day, what are the chances that you will end the day in negative if you are winning 55% of your games?
The same question, but now with 60% win

2. If you play 40 games pr day, what are the chances that you will end the day in negative if you are winning 55% of your games?
The same question, but now with 60% win

Buyin + rake struckture is as following:
Turbo: $11+$0,5 - $55+$2,5 ect
Regular: $10+$0,5 - $50+$2,5

I'm mostly interrested in the turbos, just listed the regulars aswell if it is an easy calculation.

Anyway if anyone knows how to make these calculations and feels like doing them, it would be much appriciated [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Thanks in advace!

Re: HU SNG - Probability of a losing day is?
 

I am going to assume the buyin+rake is $11 + .50.

20 Games Per Day:

55% Wins: approx 59% chance of making money in a day
60% Wins: approx 76% chance of making money in a day

40 Games Per Day:

55% Wins: approx 68% chance of making money in a day
60% Wins: approx 87% chance of making money in a day

Using binomial distribution.

Re: HU SNG - Probability of a losing day is?
 

Interresting, winning 3 out of 4 days with 20 games pr day with 60% that is pretty nice. Also very nice that you can archive the somewhat close to the same winrate with 55% if you are willing to put in some more games on average.

It was something like that I was hoping it would turn out. I think having winning days 3 out of 4 days is awsome. The mood is always just slightly better if you are up, so thought it would be nice to know.

I have no clue how to do such calculations but was curious what the results would be.
So thanks a lot it is very much appriciated [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]