River value bet in BB vs BTN
 

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

Hero (BB): $25.20
UTG: $8.60
MP: $49.95
CO: $37.75
BTN: $40.45
SB: $20.10

Pre-Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB)
3 folds, <font color="red">BTN raises to $1</font>, SB folds, Hero calls $0.75

Flop: ($2.10) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">BTN bets $1.50</font>, Hero calls $1.50

Turn: ($5.10) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($5.10) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets...?</font>


Villain was 34/24/2

how much do we bet on the river?
I know he could have nothing, but in case he has something, how much do we bet?

Re: River value bet in BB vs BTN
 

bet/fold 3.5

Re: River value bet in BB vs BTN
 

3bets pf but I don't hate the call

as played bet 3 on the river, calling a raise prob

Re: River value bet in BB vs BTN
 

check, he won't try to bluff you I wouldn't worry about it too much.

edit: As in the only thing he's likely to valuebet on the river here is AK, and if he's attention to steal is high at all he'll probably figure he gets looked up too often if he's got 66 or whatever.

Re: River value bet in BB vs BTN
 

see, look:

Board: Ks Td 8c Qh 2d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 73.684% 57.89% 15.79% 33 9.00 { 22, AKs, KJs, K9s, AKo, KJo }
Hand 1: 26.316% 10.53% 15.79% 6 9.00 { KJs }

He only has to be thin valuebetting K9 to make this a call if he bets something like 1/2 pot. Add in any bluffs at all and it makes it a snap call.

k9soooted. If he's betting all K9's then its an easy call. If you valuebet your only really getting called by K9 AQ maybe QJ. I doubt he'd even look you up with JJ or Q9. Seems to thin if he's aggro at all. Actually if he calls with any QJ then the vbet isn't thin at all. If he does then your making mad money. Could do something like half pot and hope that he doesn't bluff raise you.