Unofficial BSP pick
 

The BSPs love Pitt this week.

Den +3.5

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

tytytytytytytyty

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

it's my 'official' pick, but not Nate's, to be clear.

BSPs anti-pix still red hot this year even with 1-1 perf last week.

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

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The BSPs love Pitt this week.

Den +3.5

[/ QUOTE ]

I got +4 +100 at SIA on this one. Also +4 at Bodog, so official picks for my BSP purposes is +4.

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

I'm trying to understand the line movelments. Since this is such a public fading pick wouldnt it be better to wait till closer to gametime for more to get a better spread/price?

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

Id say in this case, it wont matter. I dont think the line is gonna move that much. That being said. Im on Pitt -3. My first away dog of the year, IIRC.

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

This is a great BSP.


All my friends can talk about is how Pitt is the lock of the century.

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

I normally love to go along with these, but I've got a system here that basically gives Denver (and KC) 5.7 points of home field advantage (3.7 for everyone else), and even it says Steelers by a little.

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

I'm glad you're not Nate this week.

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

I just got +5 at bodog

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looks like it's the books against the sharps and squares. I sure hope the books win this one.

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

[ QUOTE ]
I just got +5 at bodog

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got to love the bodog

Pinny has it +4 -101 and they hang +5 -110...nice edge there for a NFL game

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

tyvm.

random question, were the Giants a BSP pick last week vs. Atlanta on MNF?

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

Hines Ward (sprained knee), Troy Polamalu (abdomen) and Santonio Holmes (hamstring) are all expected to play.

Denver cornerback Champ Bailey missed practice Wednesday with a troublesome quadriceps injury. He is listed as day-to-day for Sunday’s showdown with the Steelers.

Things could get ugly when the Broncos’ rush defense – the worst in the NFL – faces off with the Steelers’ second-ranked rush offense at INVESCO Field on Sunday.


# Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
# Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
# Steelers are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
# Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 7.
# Steelers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.
# Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
# Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.


# Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
# Broncos are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
# Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
# Broncos are 4-25-3 ATS in their last 32 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
# Broncos are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
# Broncos are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home games.
# Broncos are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 vs. AFC.
# Broncos are 0-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
# Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
# Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
# Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.


# Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
# Over is 8-0 in Broncos last 8 games on grass.
# Over is 8-0 in Broncos last 8 home games.
# Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
# Over is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
# Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games overall.
# Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 vs. AFC.
# Over is 10-1 in Broncos last 11 games following a ATS loss.
# Over is 6-1 in Broncos last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
# Over is 5-1-1 in Broncos last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.
# Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
# Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games as an underdog.

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

I believe Pittsburgh will win here as they're getting their top guns back while Denver will be missing Champ, as 27offsuit mentioned. Willie Parker will get the ball early and often.

Having said that my book is only offering -4.5 at -125 for the entire game, so I'm taking:

Pittsburgh -3 even 1st half

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I just got +5 at bodog

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got to love the bodog

Pinny has it +4 -101 and they hang +5 -110...nice edge there for a NFL game

[/ QUOTE ]
Are you assuming Pinny is efficient? Yep, nice -1.1% edge.

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

I don't assume anything is efficient--I LOL at the whole concept of efficient gambling markets

I am saying for a sportsbook to be that far from Pinny on an NFL game is a nice bonus when I'm looking to bet that side

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

Bah, couldn't get money moved to Matchbook before kickoff, so I'm stuck taking +4(-105) at WSEX. Not exactly a bad line, but I would have rather had +3.5(+113).

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

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I am saying for a sportsbook to be that far from Pinny on an NFL game is a nice bonus when I'm looking to bet that side

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And I'm saying you saved 5 cents in vig. Not exactly "that far from Pinny".

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

LOL at how most of the people in a BSP thread are on the BSP!

Den +5, yum! Pitt sure looks dominating so far!!!

- C -

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

I wonder when Pittsburgh will stop being overrated? When are people gonna get the fact that the Browns handed them game 1 on a silver platter?

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

tonight

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

Good call men. My under is gonna get crushed as well it seems.

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

so happy with my Den +5

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

I have +4.5 on Broncos as well as 195 ML, yum yum

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

it's the NFL

ie...this one is not over yet

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

[ QUOTE ]
it's the NFL

ie...this one is not over yet

[/ QUOTE ]

i think they can tie it up, i am most afraid of them getting two touchdowns and making a two point conversion

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
it's the NFL

ie...this one is not over yet

[/ QUOTE ]

i think they can tie it up, i am most afraid of them getting two touchdowns and making a two point conversion

[/ QUOTE ]

They wont be going for two.

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
it's the NFL

ie...this one is not over yet

[/ QUOTE ]

i think they can tie it up, i am most afraid of them getting two touchdowns and making a two point conversion

[/ QUOTE ]

They wont be going for two.

[/ QUOTE ]
thats what i figure, but i also figured they'd have a 14+ point lead by now

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
it's the NFL

ie...this one is not over yet

[/ QUOTE ]

i think they can tie it up, i am most afraid of them getting two touchdowns and making a two point conversion

[/ QUOTE ]

They wont be going for two.

[/ QUOTE ]
thats what i figure, but i also figured they'd have a 14+ point lead by now

[/ QUOTE ]

huh


Naj, n1 no matter what the 4th quarter holds.

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

DONT [censored] MISS THIS PAT STEELERS

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Clutch time in OT for steelers

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[ QUOTE ]
Clutch time in OT for steelers

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pleeeeeeease don't win by a fieldgoal, i have steelers -3.5

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

another great BSP pick

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

As much as the refs....errr...(steelers??) tried....the BSPs fall again.

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

[ QUOTE ]
tytytytytytytyty

[/ QUOTE ]

thank god for BSPs and basic strat teasers

you guys in the forum make me alot of money...someday, I hope to repay it all with my own tips

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

[ QUOTE ]
LOL at how most of the people in a BSP thread are on the BSP!

Den +5, yum! Pitt sure looks dominating so far!!!

- C -

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah, 5-6 people taking the BSP pick instead of fading the BSPs in a BSP thread...on a road fave no less!

Ship me somma that BSP $$$$ right ovah here.

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

1-0 NFL this week, so many people told me I HAS LOCKX on the NFL this week, and they were all on Pitt.

11-4-1 nfl ATS, +5.15u, 0-3 ml.

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

Nice spot Naj.

Re: Unofficial BSP pick
 

So sick, wish I saw this thread earlier. Great pick Naj.