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-   -   &&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&& (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=531603)

NajdorfDefense 10-26-2007 01:23 AM

&&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&&
 
let us gogogo

MyTurn2Raise 10-26-2007 01:47 AM

Re: &&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&&
 

IAN JOHNSON is out everyone



Everything I've seen so far suggests the spreads/ML/OU are right on

all my models and all line movements so far are matching that

don't see any motivational/emotional/scheduling edge

last year Boise smoked Fresno St, but both teams have alot of turnover--Boise St is on a 5 year run of embarrassing Fresno St verse the spread


the one thing that makes me think yes on Fresno is it seems the public money is coming in big on Boise so far

NajdorfDefense 10-26-2007 03:18 PM

Re: &&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&&
 
agree big public money on Boise

thelyingthief 10-26-2007 07:18 PM

Re: &&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&&
 
???

you call -3 -110 -> -2.5, -105 big money on Bste?? sez who?

n2p 10-26-2007 07:24 PM

Re: &&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&&
 
consensus is like 66%

Austiger 10-26-2007 08:09 PM

Re: &&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&&
 
Fresno +125 to win 1u

MyTurn2Raise 10-26-2007 08:13 PM

Re: &&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&&
 
[ QUOTE ]
???

you call -3 -110 -> -2.5, -105 big money on Bste?? sez who?

[/ QUOTE ]

big Public money

read much?

considering the majority of bettors are on Boise, yet the spread has fallen a bit, who do you think the sharps are on?

Austiger 10-26-2007 08:38 PM

Re: &&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&&
 
I'm not sure if there is a name for this, but does anyone ever bet both sides of a game, ML vs. spread, with the risk of losing both? For example if you could have simultaneously gotten Boise -2.5 -105 and Fresno +130? I'm nearly certain this would be +EV. Just curious if anyone had this in their scalping reportoire.

Ichabod1985 10-26-2007 08:53 PM

Re: &&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&&
 
Boise -2.5 2 Units
Boise -1 1H 1 Unit
Under 64 1 Unit
Under 32 1H 1 Unit

MyTurn2Raise 10-26-2007 09:01 PM

Re: &&& Official Friday CFB Thread &&&
 
[ QUOTE ]
I'm not sure if there is a name for this, but does anyone ever bet both sides of a game, ML vs. spread, with the risk of losing both? For example if you could have simultaneously gotten Boise -2.5 -105 and Fresno +130? I'm nearly certain this would be +EV. Just curious if anyone had this in their scalping reportoire.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thremp calls them a "Polish Middle" in AIM chats

might be the term or Thremp is just being his racist self


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