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-   -   === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD === (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=536641)

iillllii 11-02-2007 01:45 AM

Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===
 
let someone else track them for you, for free

sagestats dot com

disclaimer: I'm unaffiliated with that site just think it is good. delete if TOS violation. that is all.

kdog 11-02-2007 03:51 AM

Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===
 
[ QUOTE ]
Bet Jamaica has them:

Pleasers (NFL / NCAAF)*NEW*

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah they've got them but two things:
1-keep an eye on the spreads. I saw two +5.5 games(SCar & Memphis)with pleaser odds of -.5. Those were the only two I saw that were off though.
2-they are only paying 5-1 on them. It should be 6.

mogwai316 11-02-2007 08:37 AM

Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===
 
[ QUOTE ]
Gonna start dicking around w/ sportsbetting. Does anyone have an excel template/spreadhseet that they use for football/basketball? Would be great. Did a little search but 2p2 search sucks and i'm not that good at it anyhow.

PM me or just respond here if you do.

-John (since everyone signs their posts here)

[/ QUOTE ]

I think there was one in the FAQ last time I looked. I haven't used it personally, but it probably does what you're looking for.

mogwai316 11-02-2007 08:49 AM

Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Bet Jamaica has them:

Pleasers (NFL / NCAAF)*NEW*

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah they've got them but two things:
1-keep an eye on the spreads. I saw two +5.5 games(SCar & Memphis)with pleaser odds of -.5. Those were the only two I saw that were off though.
2-they are only paying 5-1 on them. It should be 6.

[/ QUOTE ]

Interesting.. yeah the 5:1 is gonna make things difficult. We need 40.9% winners to break even. The 3-teamers at 13:1 need 41.5%. I'll have to look at the data some more tonight, I think there were some small ranges that had a higher % than that, but I don't know whether they were significant.

Nostrawho? 11-02-2007 11:24 AM

Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===
 
Anybody feel like running a handicapping tourney ala Fezzik's?

B00T 11-02-2007 12:34 PM

Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===
 
check the 3+1 threads on here

Nostrawho? 11-02-2007 12:36 PM

Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===
 
good call B00T, is it an ongoing thing?

MyTurn2Raise 11-02-2007 01:09 PM

Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Bet Jamaica has them:

Pleasers (NFL / NCAAF)*NEW*

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah they've got them but two things:
1-keep an eye on the spreads. I saw two +5.5 games(SCar & Memphis)with pleaser odds of -.5. Those were the only two I saw that were off though.
2-they are only paying 5-1 on them. It should be 6.

[/ QUOTE ]

Interesting.. yeah the 5:1 is gonna make things difficult. We need 40.9% winners to break even. The 3-teamers at 13:1 need 41.5%. I'll have to look at the data some more tonight, I think there were some small ranges that had a higher % than that, but I don't know whether they were significant.

[/ QUOTE ]

there are a few spreads where the 6 pt pleaser has run good enough to win at 5 to 1. However, these are all instances where the spread itself has been significantly off from 50/50. IE, if one thinks there is something to that historical data, just bet those spreads as the edge is larger.

kabongo 11-02-2007 01:23 PM

Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===
 
wsex.com has cfb pleasers

mogwai316 11-02-2007 04:21 PM

Re: === OFFICIAL November -- December 2007 CHATTER THREAD ===
 
[ QUOTE ]
wsex.com has cfb pleasers

[/ QUOTE ]

Do they pay 6:1 or 5:1?


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