Two Plus Two Newer Archives

Two Plus Two Newer Archives (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/index.php)
-   Small Stakes Shorthanded (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/forumdisplay.php?f=24)
-   -   Massive Hero fold (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=541885)

Fluffy_Shark 11-09-2007 08:56 AM

Re: Massive Hero fold
 
[ QUOTE ]
We need at least 33% equity on the flop if we want to cap

[/ QUOTE ]

Why 33%? There are 4 to the turn, so hero pays 25% of the pot. If he gets back more than those 25% on average capping shows profit.

-Fluffy_Shark

Realyn 11-09-2007 09:27 AM

Re: Massive Hero fold
 
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

740,460 games 0.046 secs 16,096,956 games/sec

Board: 3c 9c Jh
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 23.906% 23.56% 00.35% 174421 2590.00 { QcTs }
Hand 1: 33.156% 32.84% 00.32% 243161 2347.33 { Kc2c }
Hand 2: 33.785% 33.24% 00.54% 246154 4007.33 { KdJd }
Hand 3: 09.154% 08.56% 00.59% 63384 4395.33 { random }


---


kabooom and u have less equity.

what i want to say: to take 2 random hands is pretty ... stupid?

xerber 11-09-2007 09:31 AM

Re: Massive Hero fold
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
We need at least 33% equity on the flop if we want to cap

[/ QUOTE ]

Why 33%? There are 4 to the turn, so hero pays 25% of the pot. If he gets back more than those 25% on average capping shows profit.

-Fluffy_Shark

[/ QUOTE ]

You canīt count Heroīs BB, since itīs no profit. Hero is risking 1 BB more on the flop to possibly win 3.

Realyn 11-09-2007 09:32 AM

Re: Massive Hero fold
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
We need at least 33% equity on the flop if we want to cap

[/ QUOTE ]

Why 33%? There are 4 to the turn, so hero pays 25% of the pot. If he gets back more than those 25% on average capping shows profit.

-Fluffy_Shark

[/ QUOTE ]

You canīt count Heroīs BB, since itīs no profit. Hero is risking 1 BB more on the flop to possibly win 3.

[/ QUOTE ]

LOL
we need at least 25.00000000000000000001 equity

xerber 11-09-2007 09:36 AM

Re: Massive Hero fold
 
[ QUOTE ]
what i want to say: to take 2 random hands is pretty ... stupid?

[/ QUOTE ]

"Stoving a unrealistic best-case scenario"

"Button and SB range are much stronger than "random" after CC the flop." [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

Just wanted to point out that even if SB and Button are total idiots - we donīt have enough equity.

Realyn 11-09-2007 09:37 AM

Re: Massive Hero fold
 
dude in your example we have enough equity.

Oink 11-09-2007 09:44 AM

Re: Massive Hero fold
 
25% xerber. Not 33%

Pretty basic stuff

Flintoff 11-09-2007 09:51 AM

Re: Massive Hero fold
 
Oh good lord I no way fold this. Is this a joke? Sets, Same straights. I'd call that for a quarter of the pot size.

Did you REALLY fold this?!?! How does the turn tell you he has a flush draw? Why cant he have QT?

Edit: I misread the hand. Ok - nowhere near as bad as I first thought, but I still call.

mattnxtc 11-09-2007 10:10 AM

Re: Massive Hero fold
 
If you can say with 99% certainty that he has the flush then I guess its a fold, but if your say 96% sure then its a call.

I think in the long run without a definitive read (only bets with stone nuts that this is a call. If you get some other calls you actually need to be right less than 4%

xerber 11-09-2007 10:26 AM

Re: Massive Hero fold
 
yeah u guys are right, donīt know what i was thinking


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:52 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.