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-   -   $16 - 99 on 337 board (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=557336)

mattiesmat 11-29-2007 04:31 PM

$16 - 99 on 337 board
 
Fold or push, readless?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (9 handed) by Hand Converter CG

MP2 (t1385)
MP3 (t1490)
CO (t1455)
Button (t1575)
SB (t1645)
BB (t1330)
Hero (t1680)
UTG+1 (t1470)
MP1 (t1470)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
Hero calls t30, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP2 calls t30, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: (t120) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets t30</font>, BB calls t30, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t180</font>, MP2 folds, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to t660</font>, BB folds, Hero ??

flatbroke 11-29-2007 04:33 PM

Re: $16 - 99 on 337 board
 
fold,
it's highly possible sb has a 3,
why loose so many chips while the while you still got +30bb

edit: i mean why risk... [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

vers 11-29-2007 05:13 PM

Re: $16 - 99 on 337 board
 
I'd probably muck here readless. Villain might show up with some fds here or A7 but regardless his line is pretty strong and I can easily see him w/ a 3.

mhcmarty 11-29-2007 06:29 PM

Re: $16 - 99 on 337 board
 
Unraised pre-flop why risk going broke? This should be played for a set. What's it called fit or fold?

If your going to put all your chips at risk in this situation, you should be folding 99 UTG.

sence25 11-29-2007 06:31 PM

Re: $16 - 99 on 337 board
 
But... it's an overpair!!!!!
Seriously I have a hard time folding here, since SB's line looks like a flushdraw(please let me draw cheaply - oh wait you raise? - well, i got FE!!11) a lot.
Prolly I would tho.

taipan168 11-29-2007 08:29 PM

Re: $16 - 99 on 337 board
 
I would give it up, minbet/big re-raise is very very often a monster hand that has you crushed. Assuming you folded, I like your play on this hand though.

kamel 11-29-2007 08:43 PM

Re: $16 - 99 on 337 board
 
In a $16 readless I'll go broke with an Overpair, especially if SB makes something donkish like minbetting into a family pot. You'll be favorite often enough to push, and you've already invested a lot of your chips, so go broke or start a new SnG.

mattiesmat 11-29-2007 09:12 PM

Re: $16 - 99 on 337 board
 
[ QUOTE ]
In a $16 readless I'll go broke with an Overpair, especially if SB makes something donkish like minbetting into a family pot. You'll be favorite often enough to push, and you've already invested a lot of your chips, so go broke or start a new SnG.

[/ QUOTE ]

I assume you don't play the 16's and think they are super weak.
Can you maybe explain a bit with maths why a push over is better? We only beat 7x 88 and a bluff.

kamel 11-29-2007 09:39 PM

Re: $16 - 99 on 337 board
 
[ QUOTE ]

I assume you don't play the 16's and think they are super weak.
Can you maybe explain a bit with maths why a push over is better? We only beat 7x 88 and a bluff.

[/ QUOTE ]

You'll beat also the Flush-Draws, 55, 44.
I'm not sure how they play at 16s.
I use to play ultraturbos or multitable sngs and there it is often worth to take the risk. If you feel, at 16s at this site, the SB will have trips very often go with it and fold. It might be best. I just said, I'll go broke unless player has shown me something different (what I'd make a note of and not redoing a bet in such situation again).

HajiShirazu 11-29-2007 10:06 PM

Re: $16 - 99 on 337 board
 
I would fold this, these days people just aren't bad enough (usually) to not have trips here, yes you will see a fd sometimes but that's not that great as they will often have 40-45% equity.


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