warning: contents may contain SPEW
 

Full Tilt Poker, $2/$4 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

BB: $636
UTG: $422
Hero (CO): $939.40
BTN: $579.40
SB: $719.30

Pre-Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (CO)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $14</font>, 2 folds, BB calls $10

Flop: ($30) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $23</font>, BB calls $23

Turn: ($76) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($76) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $58</font>, <font color="red">BB raises to $180</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $902.40 and is All-In</font>

villain is philuva. ok, so i decide to value bet second pair (maybe bad, but he calls me light all the time), and then i try to bluff... i think he has a flush?

anyway, history is that he has shown to river check raise me by far the most out of any regular. i think he generally "has" it (i dont usually look him up, so on this, im not completely sure) but in this spot, i think he has a boat like never.

Re: warning: contents may contain SPEW
 

[ QUOTE ]
but in this spot, i think he has a boat like never.

[/ QUOTE ]

you neither

Re: warning: contents may contain SPEW
 

I'm sure he never has a boat but do you?

I expect he's bluffing here. edit: depending on his defend BB %

Re: warning: contents may contain SPEW
 

he wont fold a flush with these odds

Re: warning: contents may contain SPEW
 

Actually the good thing about this is, he may decide you're definitely fos and make a hero call with 98.

Re: warning: contents may contain SPEW
 

I like it.

Re: warning: contents may contain SPEW
 

i can be trixy sometimes and check turn with a set.

its not likely, but it happens some % of the time, and it cant be discounted completely.

Re: warning: contents may contain SPEW
 

[ QUOTE ]
he wont fold a flush with these odds

[/ QUOTE ]


Why is that? It`s like 350 more to him and he only beats a bluff.

Re: warning: contents may contain SPEW
 

yah, im also sort of banking on the "its 100bb to me and all i have is a bluff catcher" aspect.

Re: warning: contents may contain SPEW
 

you MIGHT get him to fold a tiny flush if he's a nit and isn't able to properly analyze your play