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-   -   200NL | a river shove out of the blue... (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=370197)

Jigsaws 04-02-2007 11:46 AM

200NL | a river shove out of the blue...
 
Not much in the way of reads on this one, I'm afraid. Villain seemed kinda passive, running at 44/8 so far. 1.1 aggression factor, but it's over only 40 hands. Umm... sooo, that deuce kind of seems like a blank. Should I be bluffcatching here?

Poker Stars
No Limit Hold'em Cash Game
$1/$2 Blinds
6 Players
Lego Poker Hand Converter

<font color="black">Stack Sizes</font>
<font color="green">SB: $81.65</font>
<font color="green">Hero (BB): $217.70</font>
UTG: $200
<font color="black">MP: $150.25</font>
CO: $215.05
BTN: $56.05

<font color="black">Preflop:</font> Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($3, 6 Players)
UTG folds, MP calls $2, 2 folds, SB calls $1, Hero checks

<font color="black">Flop:</font> 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($6, 3 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $5</font>, MP calls $5, SB calls $5

<font color="black">Turn:</font> 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($21, 3 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $15</font>, MP calls $15, SB calls $15

<font color="black">River:</font> 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($66, 3 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets all-in for $59.65</font>

Djeorge 04-02-2007 11:50 AM

Re: 200NL | a river shove out of the blue...
 
I've found that when I call these, they're bluffs quite a lot of the time and I doubt he was calling down with a 2 as you said. I'd probably lean towards calling here but it's close.

Fletcher19 04-02-2007 11:54 AM

Re: 200NL | a river shove out of the blue...
 
i think villain is FOS here enough to make calling profitable

On a very basic level it looks like a missed FD bluff but if he is doing with a set that filled up i think it's sex and would pay him off

Mike MacIntosh 04-02-2007 11:58 AM

Re: 200NL | a river shove out of the blue...
 
[ QUOTE ]
I'd probably lean towards calling here and it's not even close.

[/ QUOTE ]

FYP

CobraGoat 04-02-2007 11:59 AM

Re: 200NL | a river shove out of the blue...
 
well you also have to worry about MP overshoving on your call. Tough spot... you have now double barrelled into two players, which is a pretty strong line. Unless this guy is REAL bad i think he figures you for a semistrong hand which he beats.

Obvs this could be a bluff but i think i find a fold here.

Vincent 04-02-2007 11:59 AM

Re: 200NL | a river shove out of the blue...
 
This call would be a lot easier headsup. Not sure how often villain pushes OOP against 2 opponents, but I probably call.

Djeorge 04-02-2007 12:00 PM

Re: 200NL | a river shove out of the blue...
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I'd snap-call here and it's not even close.

[/ QUOTE ]

FYP

[/ QUOTE ]
FYFYP DUCY

MTSuper7 04-02-2007 12:02 PM

Re: 200NL | a river shove out of the blue...
 
Not sure I agree that these are bluffs as frequently in a multi-way pot. A-2 of hearts wouldn't surprise me at all from SB. FWIW, I might raise this preflop since you likely have the best hand.

As for the line, both opponents appear to be on draws or pair/draw combos. With this board, it seems unlikely that someone would slowplay two pair or a set.

Since villain's range is wide enough to easily include 2x of hearts and knowing that villain is going AI into two potential callers, I would lean toward a fold here (plus MP is yet to act behind us).

Mike MacIntosh 04-02-2007 12:04 PM

Re: 200NL | a river shove out of the blue...
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I'd snap-call here and it's not even close.

[/ QUOTE ]

FYP

[/ QUOTE ]
FYFYP DUCY

[/ QUOTE ]

Leveled...

Jojje_2k 04-02-2007 12:09 PM

Re: 200NL | a river shove out of the blue...
 
He got four of a kind


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