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-   -   Bluff over obvious hand (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=478621)

Bond18 08-15-2007 09:28 PM

Bluff over obvious hand
 
So when villain min 3 bets me pre i basically give him credit for QQ+. When A hits that greatly reduces chance of AA, and since theres no FD out i don't have to worry about him talking himself into thinking i'm pulling move. Thoughts?

Also, is this to thin pre? It seems to me i'm getting roughly 10 to 1 and he's going to stack off to a 7 almost every time.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t150 (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG (t1775)
UTG+1 (t8137)
MP1 (t6375)
MP2 (t4125)
Hero (t4335)
CO (t4420)
Button (t7398)
SB (t4750)
BB (t3050)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls t150, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t600</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t1050</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG+1 folds, Hero calls t450.

Flop: (t2475) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets t600</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t3285</font>

EverettKings 08-15-2007 09:47 PM

Re: Bluff over obvious hand
 
Sure, I'd probably do the same.

The question is, is AK part of his range. If so, we have AK (12), AA (1), KK (6), QQ (6), maybe JJ (~3), so risking 3200 to win 3200 is pretty breakeven EV wise.

If we can discount AK some, which I think we can, then its clearly +EV.


Preflop is perfectly fine in a tourney with these stacks.


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