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-   -   Akron @ Miami of Ohio (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=545721)

CardSharpCook 11-14-2007 01:56 AM

Akron @ Miami of Ohio
 
I see value on Akron here. Line opened at Akron +9, and is now 8/8.5. Miami is certainly the better team - and playing at home - but the colleges aren't that far apart.

I have 1u each:
Akron +8.5 -111
Akron +282

MicroBob 11-14-2007 01:11 PM

Re: Akron @ Miami of Ohio
 
For Miami it's senior day and they are playing to be bowl eligible.
I believe they are also playing to clinch the MAC East and a win puts them into the MAC championship game I think because they already have head-to-head against BG and BUF who trail them by 1 game in the MAC.

I think the extra motivation here for Miami on Senior Night and playing for a bowl and a MAC Championship appearance...especially coming after a dismal 2-10 record last season...may all be significant.

I see what you are trying to do with the distance and away factor stuff. But they are almost 4 hours apart and if you are going to just say that the road-disadvantage isn't very significant just because of that then you almost need to do the same thing for a lot of other MAC matchups and even for something like OSU vs. Michigan.

Akron plays on artifical turf and Miami plays on grass.

I'm not disagreeing with the Akron play. It's a lot of points to give to a Miami team that aren't exactly world-beaters. But some of that senior night stuff, etc would have me a bit cautious here.

I also like a team getting a little extra rest to heal up a bit more from various aches and bruises at this late point in the season.
Miami has an 11 day gap from their last game whereas AKR only has 7.

MicroBob 11-14-2007 03:01 PM

Re: Akron @ Miami of Ohio
 
Well CSC - you were right that getting it at 8.5 while it was available was a decent idea.

It's down to 7.5, -105 now.
did Dr. Bob jump on this bet or something?

Was going to buy a half-point but have decided to stick with 7.5.

cato-tonia 11-14-2007 05:37 PM

Re: Akron @ Miami of Ohio
 
akron's defense is again healthy. the defensive line is massive, especially so by MAC standards: holding OSU to 20 pt.s early season was NOT a fluke.

the offensive line significantly outweighs an undersized miami d-line.

good luck, miami.

internetdonk 11-14-2007 07:17 PM

Re: Akron @ Miami of Ohio
 
2 units Miami, OH -7.. (bookmaker.. got in before went back to 7-

2 units Miami, OH -4 (-105) 1st half

I luv me some zips over the past few years ( and last week) but I think we have some line value due to Akrons primetime win last week.. If you look at the schedule its like night and day for these two teams...

PropPlayer 11-14-2007 07:45 PM

Re: Akron @ Miami of Ohio
 
Once I bought off the 7 it just seemed like @ 6 cents per to buy the 6 then off it. I think I got carried away here and made a worst bet. But anyways I am on Miami OH -5.5 -133, was going to be on -6.5 -121 but then got tempted at just 6 cents per point to keep going.

Ichabod1985 11-14-2007 08:28 PM

Re: Akron @ Miami of Ohio
 
Akron +8 1 Unit
Under 53 1 Unit
Akron +8 & Under 53 Parlay 1 Unit

rush66 11-14-2007 10:07 PM

Re: Akron @ Miami of Ohio
 
JUSTICE!!! INT AFTER A BAD CALL. Yes, Im bitching and I never bitch. Ok, I bitch when Ohio St. rips my heart out for the 3 time in a year.

internetdonk 11-14-2007 10:09 PM

Re: Akron @ Miami of Ohio
 
2nd half over24 for 2 units

Ichabod1985 11-14-2007 10:18 PM

Re: Akron @ Miami of Ohio
 
Akron +4.5 2nd Half 1 Unit
Under 23.5 2nd Half 1 Unit


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