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-   -   25NL 99 on TTT board (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=534433)

Brocken 10-30-2007 05:40 AM

25NL 99 on TTT board
 
Party Poker, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

CO: $29.10
BTN: $25.10
SB: $94.09
BB: $24.25
Hero (UTG): $25.35
MP: $27.81

Pre-Flop: 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9http://www.legopoker.com/hh/images/diamond.gif dealt to Hero (UTG)
<font color="red">Hero raises to $1</font>, 3 folds, SB calls $0.90, BB calls $0.75

Flop: ($3) Thttp://www.legopoker.com/hh/images/club.gif T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $2.25</font>, SB folds, <font color="red">BB raises to $5</font>, Hero calls $2.75

Turn: ($13) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $6</font>, Hero ...


Villain is 33/18/2

My thought process here is he almost certainly doesn't have a 10 and so the only other pairs that beat me are AA-JJ and this villain almost certainly would have 3b those pairs pre-flop. Also, this guy might have been tilting a bit because he had his pocket Aces beaten a few hands earlier by a calling station who rivered him.

As such, is pushing here a good idea? I can see him calling with 99,88,77 and I'm pretty confident I've got him beat.

ShipitFMA 10-30-2007 05:43 AM

Re: 25NL 99 on TTT board
 
a 33/18 definately 3bets JJ+, so basically he has a pair below 99 or a T (obv far more unlikely). I just shove here, he's calling with pairs we beat all day and it prevents cards coming from killing our action

vixticator 10-30-2007 05:52 AM

Re: 25NL 99 on TTT board
 
No one ever raises flop with quads. JJ+ seems unlikely with the action. Value shove, he can't fold a full house and could be dumb enough to call with AJ or something (I saw it the other day at 25nl).

woohoo88 10-30-2007 06:19 AM

Re: 25NL 99 on TTT board
 
Pretty much already been covered, but I wanted to point out that a shove is better than a call because you don't want a scare card to peel killing your action.

choccypie 10-30-2007 06:25 AM

Re: 25NL 99 on TTT board
 
I very much doubt he has a T, and most of the time you'll have him beat so I like a shove.

Bavid Denyamine 10-30-2007 07:19 AM

Re: 25NL 99 on TTT board
 
hero fistpumps and mashes all in button

Brocken 10-30-2007 07:55 AM

Re: 25NL 99 on TTT board
 
Nice to know I made the correct decision for once and at least a little thought went into my hand [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

10-30-2007 09:57 AM

Re: 25NL 99 on TTT board
 
[ QUOTE ]
hero fistpumps and mashes all in button

[/ QUOTE ]

No way. Hero calls quickly. Raise or bet any river for value IMO.

Shoving will probably make him fold a smaller pair, and since we are not folding, we might as well extract the maximum while ahead.


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