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-   -   I'm 0/16 AIPF for October (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=515504)

igetjokes 10-04-2007 11:15 AM

I\'m 0/16 AIPF for October
 
Been AIPF 16 times for full stacks in October, and haven't won one yet. Matchups have been:

AA < KK
AA < TT
AA < 88
KK < AK x4
KK < KJo
QQ < JJ x2
QQ < TT
AK < KK x3
AK < QQ x 2

Maybe the virgin I sacrificed to Full Tilt recently wasn't actually a virgin or something, because the poker gods sure are pissed.

If someone can tell me the odds of this happening I will videotape myself enthusiastically slitting my wrists and post it on the interwebs.

Wilpro 10-04-2007 11:20 AM

Re: I\'m 0/16 AIPF for October
 
All in preflop, you either win or you lose, so 50/50.

(0.5)^16 = 0.0000076...
or 1 in 130k. Lets say theres 1 million atvie online poker players atm (conservative) So theres you and 7 or 8 others out there, going through this.

igetjokes 10-04-2007 11:26 AM

Re: I\'m 0/16 AIPF for October
 
They obviously won't mind if I take them with me.

BigBiceps 10-04-2007 11:35 AM

Re: I\'m 0/16 AIPF for October
 
Almost no chance ...

I am 0/11 on my last allins at FTP.

Not as big as favorites as yours, but equally ridiculous that every draw I miss, and every set loses to a rivered straight or overset.

Something changed on October 1st ... but everyone dismissed my thread as a joke.

RandomUser 10-04-2007 01:00 PM

Re: I\'m 0/16 AIPF for October
 
[ QUOTE ]
Been AIPF 16 times for full stacks in October, and haven't won one yet. Matchups have been:

AA < KK
AA < TT
AA < 88
KK < AK x4
KK < KJo
QQ < JJ x2
QQ < TT
AK < KK x3
AK < QQ x 2

Maybe the virgin I sacrificed to Full Tilt recently wasn't actually a virgin or something, because the poker gods sure are pissed.

If someone can tell me the odds of this happening I will videotape myself enthusiastically slitting my wrists and post it on the interwebs.

[/ QUOTE ]

I was bored.

It is ~24,450-1

If you knock out the last two lines though, it is ~536,200-1, since you were behind in those.

Enervate 10-04-2007 01:03 PM

Re: I\'m 0/16 AIPF for October
 
What are the odds of someone hitting a 900/1 shot 5 times on the trot?

Andynan 10-04-2007 01:19 PM

Re: I\'m 0/16 AIPF for October
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Been AIPF 16 times for full stacks in October, and haven't won one yet. Matchups have been:

AA < KK
AA < TT
AA < 88
KK < AK x4
KK < KJo
QQ < JJ x2
QQ < TT
AK < KK x3
AK < QQ x 2

Maybe the virgin I sacrificed to Full Tilt recently wasn't actually a virgin or something, because the poker gods sure are pissed.

If someone can tell me the odds of this happening I will videotape myself enthusiastically slitting my wrists and post it on the interwebs.

[/ QUOTE ]

I was bored.

It is ~24,450-1

If you knock out the last two lines though, it is ~536,200-1, since you were behind in those.

[/ QUOTE ]

The last lines dont diminish the chance, they actually make it go even higher, even if he was a dog in those, he stood a chance to win once, and the fact that he didnt, wether a fav or a dog to win makes it more unprobable.

Tony Eusebio 10-04-2007 01:38 PM

Re: I\'m 0/16 AIPF for October
 
don't go broke with one pair

SinkRox 10-04-2007 03:20 PM

Re: I\'m 0/16 AIPF for October
 
How many hands have you played already?

Marlow 10-04-2007 03:29 PM

Re: I\'m 0/16 AIPF for October
 
[ QUOTE ]
They obviously won't mind if I take them with me.

[/ QUOTE ]

don't want to minimize your pain, but you should know that at least for today you are +EV in funny, because I almost sent my afternoon tea through my nose when reading this


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