NL25: JJ bluffed out on the river??
 

Villain's 3rd hand at the table. Saw him play one hand, after posting he called a 4x raise with J3 and proceeded to call down an u/i AK on all streets after flopping a 3.



Is this a worst hand enough of the time to make a call profitable???


Weak fold??



Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
Hero: $24.50
UTG+1: $48.35
CO: $14.75
Button: $36.30
SB: $18.45
BB: $23.45

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is UTG with J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
<font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $1</font>, 3 folds, SB calls, BB folds.

Flop: 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($2.25, 2 players)
SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $1.6</font>, SB calls.

Turn: K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] ($5.45, 2 players)
SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $3</font>, SB calls.

River: 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($11.45, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">SB is all-in $12.85</font>, Hero folds.
Uncalled bets: $12.85 returned to SB.

Results:
Final pot: $11.45

Re: NL25: JJ bluffed out on the river??
 

Looks good to me.

His preflop calling range is huge, based on the hand you described, so he could easily have a four in his hand, calling you down on the flop and turn. I don't think he has just a pair of kings here, as he would likely check-call the river.

You need to be have a winner roughly 1/3 of the time on the river, so it's close, but I still lean towards folding.