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-   Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/forumdisplay.php?f=56)
-   -   Hu variance is a bitch FYI (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=551278)

Barrin6 11-21-2007 06:23 PM

Re: Hu variance is a bitch FYI
 
Yea i'm below expectancy because I always put money in behind and never suck out

gieroy 11-21-2007 06:26 PM

Re: Hu variance is a bitch FYI *DELETED*
 
Post deleted by gieroy

ImsaKidd 11-21-2007 06:28 PM

Re: Hu variance is a bitch FYI
 
http://img229.imageshack.us/img229/6...rislandmd8.png

ImsaKidd 11-21-2007 06:29 PM

Re: Hu variance is a bitch FYI
 
[ QUOTE ]
Therefore the red line is the expected "showdown winnings" not the expected total winnings.

[/ QUOTE ]

Did you read the [censored] definiton of the red line at the bottom? "EXPECTED TOTAL WINNINGS"

You won't be going to Baller Island either.

gieroy 11-21-2007 06:30 PM

Re: Hu variance is a bitch FYI *DELETED*
 
Post deleted by gieroy

Barrin6 11-21-2007 06:44 PM

Re: Hu variance is a bitch FYI
 
wtf are you talking about. all it is is the allin luck incorparated into the graph.

gieroy 11-21-2007 06:48 PM

Re: Hu variance is a bitch FYI
 
my bad, I suck, sorz;

crap deleted from above, variance is a bitch indeed

Grandezza 11-22-2007 06:44 AM

Re: Hu variance is a bitch FYI
 
you realize you ran at about 4ptbb/100 right? maybe you should stop whining.

kemystery 11-22-2007 07:20 AM

Re: Hu variance is a bitch FYI
 
[ QUOTE ]
http://img229.imageshack.us/img229/6...rislandmd8.png

[/ QUOTE ]

rofl CHOO CHOOwned

DesperadoGM 11-22-2007 08:47 AM

Re: Hu variance is a bitch FYI
 
wow, it seems u really don't understand this graph at all.

it doesn't indicate u are running 2.2k below expectation at all. it shows that if u didn't spew money in other areas then u cud have made 2.2k more..... expected total winnings vs total winnings doesn't look at outdraws, think about it.outdraws would be more to do with sklansky vs total expected grpahs.
what the graph more likely shows is that u are putting in too much money and then folding in non showdown pots-- maybe this is coz u are missing draws a lot (which could factor into running bad) but more likely its coz u are being outplayed whilst also not double barreling/check-raising etc with the best frequency.
you should have included the sklansky line also rly.
gl


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