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-   -   400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f river? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=557039)

AllTheCheese 11-29-2007 05:58 AM

400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f river?
 
30 hands on Villain so he's reasonably unknown. However, it should be noted that he called three preflop raises and folded to exactly 0 c-bets. Hence my c/c on the flop. He doubled up on one of them with topset (which he played pretty gayly) against some other dude who had an overpair, and this is why he has a big stack.

Full Tilt Poker, $2/$4 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

UTG: $438
UTG+1: $489.60
UTG+2: $406
Hero (MP1): $984.60
MP2: $96
CO: $749.60
BTN: $332.90
SB: $447.75
BB: $394

Pre-Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (MP1)
3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $16</font>, MP2 folds, CO calls $16, 3 folds

<font color="blue"> Sort of a laggy preflop raise, but semi-standard for me. I fold half and raise half.</font>

Flop: ($38) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">CO bets $16</font>, Hero calls $16

<font color="blue"> As I said, I thought my FE was pretty minimal and given the stacks I thought it was okay to c/c. Any criticims of this are welcome. </font>

Turn: ($70) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $55</font>, <font color="red">CO raises to $110</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $400</font>, CO calls $290

<font color="blue"> Obviously a super gin turn card for me. Idk if my lead was good, I think he checks behind a lot on this board and I didn't want to let him off the hook if he had AK, KJ, or spades. I raise to $400 instead of just shoving. It's hard to explain my reasoning, but I feel like people puss out more for a full shove than for one of these. Again, feel free to flame if you think I deserve it.</font>


River: ($870) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero shoves?</font>

<font color="blue"> Probably the second-most depressing card in the deck for me (Queen being the worst IMO). At this point, I have about 36% of the pot behind. I'm pretty sure he got there, but I'm wondering why wouldn't he have just shoved the turn if he had a set. He shouldn't be boat mining, as I gave him bad odds. I thought KQ was possible, or like overplaying some stupid hand. As I said he was unknown. Shove correct? </font>

It's pretty obvious I lost this hand, so I might just be convincing myself that I played it badly because of that.

iponnet 11-29-2007 06:12 AM

Re: 400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f ri
 
hero smooth calls turn raise, c/c river

you are playing kind of deep, even donks catch hands

mattaasen 11-29-2007 06:52 AM

Re: 400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f ri
 
yeah its a bad card but i dont think im folding.................if he filled up oh well shove get the money in and hope he pays off folding here is bad and i doubt he bluffs if u check with a busted draw so just shove it in his face hope he has kq

as for smooth calling or whatever the donk said before me? i want what he is smoking.....cause thats horrible!!!!.....just calling his min raise this deep with two flush draws on such a coordinated board against a donk who seems like a station out of position is f'n AWFUL

i think id probably check raise turn , but your lead is not bad at all either

im raising turn 100 percent of time here..... u played it fine and id pay him off if he beat u just too much in the pot

john voight 11-29-2007 07:07 AM

Re: 400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f ri
 
lol i play NL30 and I think the guy who said smooth turn and then c/c river is mildy retarded.

Bluegrassplayer 11-29-2007 07:09 AM

Re: 400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f ri
 
Well I think he's right about c/c the river, I like your bet on the turn though. I don't think I can get away from this one. I think it's possible that he overplays a/k or k/q here.

DjSkyy 11-29-2007 07:19 AM

Re: 400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f ri
 
I think you played it fine, and should shove the river.

iponnet 11-29-2007 07:23 AM

Re: 400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f ri
 
we cant c/c river if we raise his turn raise, because we will be c/c the rest of our stack. if villan is a moron he may verywell be slowplaying something like AJ/88.

and there is a reason why you play NL30 you dumbnooob

AllTheCheese 11-29-2007 07:50 AM

Re: 400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f ri
 
Why would we not want to pump the turn? We have the nuts drawing to the nuts, effectively. He doesn't have AJ. There's really no reason why he would small-bet the flop with AJ when he could

a) Take a free card (IMO far and away the most likely thing an unknown would do if he had AJ)
b) Make a bigger bluff because he only has Ace high

The only reason to call turn is if you think we can maximize value this way. IMO this is not the case if we put Villain on sets and two pair.

iponnet 11-29-2007 08:29 AM

Re: 400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f ri
 
[ QUOTE ]
Why would we not want to pump the turn? We have the nuts drawing to the nuts, effectively. He doesn't have AJ. There's really no reason why he would small-bet the flop with AJ when he could

a) Take a free card (IMO far and away the most likely thing an unknown would do if he had AJ)
b) Make a bigger bluff because he only has Ace high

The only reason to call turn is if you think we can maximize value this way. IMO this is not the case if we put Villain on sets and two pair.

[/ QUOTE ]

you are right but I would make an exception since we are playing deep, if we had 100bb your play above is standard.

case3 11-29-2007 09:14 AM

Re: 400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f ri
 
[ QUOTE ]
He shouldn't be boat mining, as I gave him bad odds.

[/ QUOTE ]

Maybe his odds are not so bad to try and fill up. If you are shoving a T river then I assume you are also shoving any board pairing card.

He pays 290 to get 1180 needing to hit 24% of the time.
-TT is 20~23%
-88 is about 20%
-KT is 7~10%

These odds are enough for most players and plenty for all donks.

[ QUOTE ]
He doesn't have AJ.

[/ QUOTE ]

Ruling out AJ for an unknown player is a clear mistake. AJ of spades has to be in his range here, as well as all other AJ's. When a player min-raises this turn with deep stacks it is often done without fear of exposing himself to a big re-raise. This is a made hand then and those are sets, the J9 chop, and AJ.

With these two points then I don't think a turn raise is automatic. Making it 400 gives him a perfect spot to bust J9 with AJ and the mistake made by trying to fill up is small.

Getting it in on the turn would only show real value if our opponent would do so with 2-pair which I think is questionable or the J9 chop and we catch a freeroll.

Taking this line you can then call river bets on paired boards to whatever amount you are comfortable with, and call or bet/fold blanks.

AS PLAYED on the river I guess I'm corrupted since I know you lost the hand(?) and I don't imagine anyone calling the turn with AJ. Anyway, on the river the pot would be 870 and villain has 318 left so if it get in a win is needed about 25%, this could be tough.

I imagine if we check the villain shoves all fulls. If we shove he calls all fulls. I don't think he shoves with a worse hand than ours if checked to, perhaps a small chance, but not enough to try and catch a bluff. If he stills has J9 here I imagine it gets checked most of the time as well. The river is fine to check and then feel sad and fold.

livestream 11-29-2007 09:18 AM

Re: 400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f ri
 
I dont how this hand would develope if you lead the flop ~33. but when i just look at the pot size, you could easier push the turn AI(if if if he took the same lime). But your line is fine.
A turn push is very heavy but he could talk himself into a call by putting you on FD w pair.
But also with 400 your maximise your expectation.

river ugly in this spot but its simple. I AM COMMITED. c/c is so -EV. so shoving is the only option.

Berge20 11-29-2007 09:26 AM

Re: 400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f ri
 
I guess that I still don't see the argument for not pumping the turn Ipo. Just because we're deep? Isn't that more of a reason b/c we very likely have the best hand against two-pair/set or pair+draws and we want the money to go in now?

By calling and peeling the river, we really are making it difficult to get stacks in--especially the times where he's got a pair+draw on the turn that he might well pay a lot for.

Please elaborate

Edit: Somehow missed case's post. I'm not certain I agree, but it explains the turn call argument well.

livestream 11-29-2007 10:06 AM

Re: 400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f ri
 
turn call isnt bad.

AJs: why isnt villian shoving turn with AJs? afraid of heros freeroll? ;-)

who lead the river w/ heart and/or blank(non paired/low card)

mattaasen 11-29-2007 10:49 AM

Re: 400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f ri
 
Flop bet is fishy,makes it less likely he has Aj...... yes he mayyyy have aj of spades, but the bet makes no sense for any of the other aj hands..and that tiny bet with ajs is gross too..i also think he would shove aj on the turn if he had it the majority of the time...what is villain trying to "trap" hero for his remaining 300 after calling a 400 raise? LOL at that....obviously u lost the hand, so everyone is gonna be way results oriented....but in a vacuum not wanting to get it in on the turn is soooo weak

look guys....yes its deep.... but not even THAT deep, the guy is like 180 bb or something and is a DONK who has taken wierd lines,does DONKISH stuff, and thus far as refused to fold......just calling the turn is giving up WAY to much value because so many river cards can kill your action or potentially beat u. Second nuts, against a donk, out of position, two flush draws on the board, lots of 2/pr set type hands.............. this is the only time your gonna extract value in the hand

if we were 300bb deep or more then id consider a bit more pot control, but this is 180bb against a [censored] donk.........id be thrilled to get it in on the turn...if u are leading turn, then only calling min raise, then check calling or bet folding river....what are u waiting for? this guy stacks off with way worse here, its not the best spot, but just going into check call mode with second nuts against a donk leaves too much value on the table for me.....

Once u get to the river, u have to shove, but i wouldnt like my hand.....its just the lesser of two evils.....kind of like the turn raise here, although im much more happy about getting it in on the turn then shoving the river

GrandMelon 11-29-2007 10:57 AM

Re: 400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f ri
 
Not sure why you didnt bet the flop, just cbet like usual and start building a pot for when you hit.

Turn play is good although I might make the 3 bet a little smaller like 350 but this is ok

I curse the river card for about 30 seconds and shove since hes only got like a half pot sized bet left

CalledDownLight 11-29-2007 02:24 PM

Re: 400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f ri
 
Iponnet, I really really hat just calling the turn here. Your hand is huge and playing for 2 stacks isn't an issue imo.

I would just cbet the flop for like $28. You have 6 live outs that are basically to the nuts and 2 more that probably give you the best hand although you will want to keep the pot smallish. I think being deep is more of a reason to cbet in this spot whereas c/c seems ok with 100 BB.

I like the turn lead and would probably only make it like $333 or something to go on the 3bet, but whatever $400 is ok. Shoving is definitely suboptimal imo.

I probably think about the river for a while and then shove because I don't want to c/c here since he won't bet hardly anything we beat, but will call with some hands that had draws like KJ or TJ imo.

too eazy 11-29-2007 02:34 PM

Re: 400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f ri
 
after he minraises the turn i'm shoving like 100% of the time.

SABR42 11-29-2007 03:15 PM

Re: 400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f ri
 
[ QUOTE ]
hero smooth calls turn raise, c/c river

[/ QUOTE ]
Wait, what?

SABR42 11-29-2007 03:19 PM

Re: 400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f river?
 
Anyway, lead the flop. Even if he rarely folds, you are bloating the pot for when you hit.

Turn play is fine.

Shove river. Not shoving river is just terrible, since you are reverse-freerolling if you check.

AllTheCheese 11-29-2007 04:06 PM

Re: 400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f river?
 
Thanks for all the advice guys. Idk if this was clear from the OP, I didn't want to bet flop because I was afraid of getting raised off my draw, not called. If I c-bet to $28, and he raises to like $90, should I call?

CalledDownLight 11-29-2007 08:12 PM

Re: 400 NL: Deep stack committed? Seems ridiculous but should I c/f ri
 
[ QUOTE ]
Thanks for all the advice guys. Idk if this was clear from the OP, I didn't want to bet flop because I was afraid of getting raised off my draw, not called. If I c-bet to $28, and he raises to like $90, should I call?

[/ QUOTE ]

yes, you should call there imo. I understood this in the OP and still think a cbet is the way to go.


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