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-   -   *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St *** (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=551723)

Post-Oak 11-21-2007 07:47 PM

*** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
I have a $100 bet with Naj on USC at pick 'em, but I only made that bet because I knew they would be favored. I actually really like Az St +3.5 here.

I got them at +3.5 -115 on Sportsbook. I can't see how USC is favored by 3.0/3.5 as the road team. The best I would ever make USC here is pick 'em. Of course, I am 20-24 YTD, so maybe I am way off.

Az St +3.5 (-115) 1.725 units to win 1.5 units

smbruin22 11-21-2007 09:04 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
i'm a little torn, seems like everyone is taking ASU (i know that can't be technically correct)..... but i guess i'll also take ASU and the points.

Murphinator 11-21-2007 09:37 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
I'm on the ASU ML for a unit at +137

cato-tonia 11-22-2007 12:20 AM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
USC

dankhank 11-22-2007 12:27 AM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
if you can still get asu +3.5 -115 jump on it ldo

MyTurn2Raise 11-22-2007 01:40 AM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
under is my favorite play
ASU ML is 2nd fave...I'll probably hit both up

pokergrader 11-22-2007 02:09 AM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
I like USC -1.5 for the first half. A fast starting USC against a slow starting ASU.

But of course the USC alum and fanboi in me who has watched every USC snap this year, can't see how USC loses this game. But I can't bet on that. 10 days off for the injured USC team is so valuable though, and frankly USC often plays better in big national road games then they do at home.

pirateboy 11-22-2007 02:20 AM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
ASU +3.5
ASU/USC U49

NajdorfDefense 11-22-2007 01:45 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
[ QUOTE ]
But of course the USC alum and fanboi in me who has watched every USC snap this year, can't see how USC loses this game.

[/ QUOTE ]

You must have missed the Stanford game v a 2nd string QB who had never played before. Are you sure you didn't miss a game?

CardSharpCook 11-22-2007 03:27 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
well both QBs had played very little, no? First start for both Sanchez/stanford-guy in that one?

pokergrader 11-22-2007 03:46 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
[ QUOTE ]
well both QBs had played very little, no? First start for both Sanchez/stanford-guy in that one?

[/ QUOTE ]

No, our starting QB was playing (albeit with a broken middle finger on his throwing hand at halftime for which he should have been taken out of the game). Our backup then won the next 2 games, barely lost to Oregon, and then healthy Booty came back, beat OSU, beat Cal.

And coming from somebody who hates Booty, he played by far the best game of the year last game.

MyTurn2Raise 11-22-2007 04:32 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
decided to only bet the under and lay off betting ASU too
not sure how ASU will handle the USC pass rush

USC/ASU u49.5 bet 2.2u to win 2u

NajdorfDefense 11-22-2007 07:24 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
[ QUOTE ]
well both QBs had played very little, no? First start for both Sanchez/stanford-guy in that one?

[/ QUOTE ]

Even tho this is false, you're saying that Stanford's D >>> USC's Def. At USC. Right.

Yeah, I don't see any way SC could lose either...

Ichabod1985 11-22-2007 07:34 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
Under 50.5 -105 2 Units

EliotSpitzer 11-22-2007 09:18 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
Under looks like a good bet right about now.

Ichabod1985 11-22-2007 10:56 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
USC +.5 2nd Half 2 Units
Under 27.5 2nd Half 2 Units

cato-tonia 11-22-2007 10:57 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
oOO(they just never get anything right...)

Thremp 11-22-2007 11:02 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
[ QUOTE ]
USC +.5 2nd Half 2 Units
Under 27.5 2nd Half 2 Units

[/ QUOTE ]

What are the lines?

internetdonk 11-22-2007 11:04 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
Usc +1/2 -120 on bookmaker

Usc pk -120 VIP

(2 units USC +1/2 -120 for me)

Ichabod1985 11-22-2007 11:07 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
USC +.5 2nd Half 2 Units
Under 27.5 2nd Half 2 Units

[/ QUOTE ]

What are the lines?

[/ QUOTE ]

I got -110 on both at SIA
WSEX has +.5 -120 and Under 27 +105

pokergrader 11-23-2007 04:42 AM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
And after this bet I am 5-0 so far on USC related bets, +4.5u. And I only bet pro-USC, which is why I only have 5 USC bets this year.

NajdorfDefense 11-23-2007 03:43 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
gg PO, I owe you $100, if you want, we can do a 2bl or nothing on a bowl game or something if you're willing to take $200 of my credit risk as I'm sure we'll disagree on another game. Or I can ship you on P*, or Bodog or something.

Post-Oak 11-24-2007 03:32 PM

Re: *** OFFICIAL NCAAF Thanksgiving Game - USC/Arizona St ***
 
[ QUOTE ]
gg PO, I owe you $100, if you want, we can do a 2bl or nothing on a bowl game or something if you're willing to take $200 of my credit risk as I'm sure we'll disagree on another game. Or I can ship you on P*, or Bodog or something.

[/ QUOTE ]

I would have been happier to lose, considering I took Az St +3.5.

Anyway, I think just carrying it forward is a good idea. We will go double or nothing.

If Tom Brady plays 5 minutes or more of game 13, you owe me double (just joking).


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