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-   -   200NL OMG I Turned a Pair but How Good is it? Should I Bluff This Deep (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=548773)

74o_Clownsuit 11-18-2007 04:13 AM

200NL OMG I Turned a Pair but How Good is it? Should I Bluff This Deep
 
I'm running at around 25/23 but don't recall being caught making huge bluffs lately.

Shortie has done that stupid min-donkbet with air so many times it's not even funny. He's not a concern in the hand.

The main Villain is a 30/10/2. No hard postflop reads.

Be sure to note the stack sizes.

Full Tilt Poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

MP: $194.50
Clown (CO): $565.30
BTN: $511.05
SB: $99.70
BB: $51.15
UTG: $225.50

Pre-Flop: 5http://www.legopoker.com/hh/images/diamond.gif 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Clown (CO)
2 folds, <font color="red">Clown raises to $7</font>, BTN calls $7, SB folds, BB calls $5

Flop: ($22) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $2</font>, <font color="red">Clown raises to $17</font>, BTN calls $17, BB folds

Turn: ($58) 6http://www.legopoker.com/hh/images/club.gif (2 Players)
Clown???

gfejs 11-18-2007 04:16 AM

Re: 200NL OMG I Turned a Pair but How Good is it? Should I Bluff This Deep
 
I´m done with the hand...

The flop raise is nice but I would do it knowing if btn called Im done. Hope he checks it down.

Donkey-Milker 11-18-2007 04:20 AM

Re: 200NL OMG I Turned a Pair but How Good is it? Should I Bluff This Deep
 
Q10 and FD are the only things you beat.
ck and hope he complies.

pineapple888 11-18-2007 04:57 AM

Re: 200NL OMG I Turned a Pair but How Good is it? Should I Bluff This Deep
 
Jeez, even I 2nd barrel here and I'm a nit. $50.

74o_Clownsuit 11-18-2007 05:13 AM

Re: 200NL OMG I Turned a Pair but How Good is it? Should I Bluff This
 
[ QUOTE ]
Jeez, even I 2nd barrel here and I'm a nit. $50.

[/ QUOTE ]
I feel like betting here with the stack sizes can put him in a very tough spot with most of his range.

Dire 11-18-2007 05:30 AM

Re: 200NL OMG I Turned a Pair but How Good is it? Should I Bluff This
 
fiddy too.

Merlinius 11-18-2007 07:14 AM

Re: 200NL OMG I Turned a Pair but How Good is it? Should I Bluff This
 
you are so deep that most villains will never fold a draw here and most draws have 10-14 outs against you. i would just check on the turn and hope villain will check behind.

BombayBadboy 11-18-2007 07:17 AM

Re: 200NL OMG I Turned a Pair but How Good is it? Should I Bluff This Deep
 
[ QUOTE ]
Jeez, even I 2nd barrel here and I'm a nit. $50.

[/ QUOTE ]

Better be prepared to shove the river too then..I don't think we are going so see an awfull lot of folds here from a villain IP.

pineapple888 11-18-2007 12:09 PM

Re: 200NL OMG I Turned a Pair but How Good is it? Should I Bluff This Deep
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Jeez, even I 2nd barrel here and I'm a nit. $50.

[/ QUOTE ]

Better be prepared to shove the river too then..I don't think we are going so see an awfull lot of folds here from a villain IP.

[/ QUOTE ]

Eh, I'll deal with that when it happens. There are also various other bet size options on the turn this deep, I might bet anywhere from 1/3 pot to 1.5x depending on reads, history, etc.

SinkRox 11-18-2007 01:21 PM

Re: 200NL OMG I Turned a Pair but How Good is it? Should I Bluff This
 
If we bet the turn then do we actually have to bet riv here?... Seeing as we beat all his draws anyway... So you're betting in the hope to push him off TP on the riv (which is questionable, surely).

pineapple888 11-18-2007 01:27 PM

Re: 200NL OMG I Turned a Pair but How Good is it? Should I Bluff This
 
[ QUOTE ]
If we bet the turn then do we actually have to bet riv here?... Seeing as we beat all his draws anyway... So you're betting in the hope to push him off TP on the riv (which is questionable, surely).

[/ QUOTE ]

Exactly, it's not a pure bluff so we have options. We can even c/c river and send him on supermonkeytilt. [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]

ejay 11-18-2007 01:52 PM

Re: 200NL OMG I Turned a Pair but How Good is it? Should I Bluff This
 
villan like this is almost never folding a draw here and it is hard for me to imagine that he will fold tp now or on the river.

If you bet here and he calls there is no way i would bet ther river espcially if it completes a draw. Even is a draw does not get there i would prolly still not bet the river because he may just check down a missed draw in which case your hand would be best.

0evg0 11-18-2007 02:59 PM

Re: 200NL OMG I Turned a Pair but How Good is it? Should I Bluff This
 
$39 &gt; $50

and it's for value

if he flats, you're losing to like 4-5 hands and all are discounted based on pf

JackAll 11-18-2007 03:09 PM

Re: 200NL OMG I Turned a Pair but How Good is it? Should I Bluff This
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Jeez, even I 2nd barrel here and I'm a nit. $50.

[/ QUOTE ]

Better be prepared to shove the river too then..I don't think we are going so see an awfull lot of folds here from a villain IP.

[/ QUOTE ]

Betting the turn is only partly for a bluff, but it is lartely for value against draws. Bluffing river makes little sense imo.

Lol and $39 was the exact amount I was thinking too - how did you read my mind before I had the thought, evg?


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