NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
PartyPoker Hold'em <font color="#0000FF">(6 handed)</font> HandRecorder
Stacks & Stats UTG ($381.28) BU ($128.05) SB ($435) MP ($197) CO ($344.05) Hero ($234.70) Preflop: Hero is BB with 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#FF0000">CO raises to $7</font>, BU calls $7, <font color="#666666">1 folds</font>, Hero calls $5. Flop: ($22) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> Hero checks, CO checks, <font color="#FF0000">BU bets $12</font>, <font color="#FF0000">Hero raises to $38</font>, <font color="#FF0000">CO raises to $98</font>, BU folds, <font color="#FF0000">Hero raises to $227.7 (all-in)</font>, CO calls $129.70. villain is a good Tag, imo Is it possible to fold my set? |
Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
no
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
Seeing the CO just checkraised over a checkraiser it's not a fistpump-push. But it's a push by all means.
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
ZOMG you cant fold set.. but if ever you could...
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
I could prob never fold this at the table. WTF is his range here thou..
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
you guys noticed the CO was the prf and he check raised a bet and a raise. if he is brain-dead then he has AK at worst.
not saying i'd fold though. |
Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
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I could prob never fold this at the table. WTF is his range here thou.. [/ QUOTE ] like 88 and the other 88 edit: and the other 88 |
Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
set over set is like bearmanpig, i refuse to believe in em. Just get it in. I'm totally serial.
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
Why is everyone saying a variant of "CO obv has a set but we cant fold anyway?"
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
Does button always bet when checked to him? I think that helps in determining the range of CO.
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
Because CO doesn't have a set obviously. Probably at best.
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
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Because CO doesn't have a set obviously. Probably at best. [/ QUOTE ] Range, please. |
Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
AK/AA/hearts/K8, just cuz he's a TAG doesn't mean he's good. Furthermore most tag's are going to bet a set on this flop, if he has anything that beats us he has KK
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
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AK/AA/hearts/K8, just cuz he's a TAG doesn't mean he's good. Furthermore most tag's are going to bet a set on this flop, if he has anything that beats us he has KK [/ QUOTE ] i don't think we'll see AA here hardly ever with the action and he'll never have K8. i agree that if he has 88 here he's betting the flop but i don't think it's too unrealistic for him to check KK. |
Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
OP said he was a good TAG, I was going off of that.
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
This is AA>>>KQ>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>KK>>>>>>>>&g t;>>>QQ Imo.
Sucks that u lost, but I would play is the same. 22 on the Broadway Broadway Two flop, facing a pfr that wants to go all in is AWESOME. |
Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
imo if he's the type of guy who checks top set here, he is equally likely to check middle set too. its not like hes going to bet middle set because he is more afraid of having the 2nd best hand or being sucked out on.
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
C'mon, we're getting like 3:2 on the push and only need 40% equity when called. That's exactly our equity against this range: AKs, KK, 88, AQhh. And I guess this is the worst we can come up with. Plus: I don't see why a TAG shouldn't be able to openraise K8s in the CO.
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
Villain's stats are: 19/15/3.x/23 after 300 hands
my check-raise seems like I have a good hand. So what is his range to push it? AK? -> he would make a cbet imo --> NOT in his range AA? -> possible K8? -> maybe... KK 88 -> ? I dunno if he push that with flushdraw. Dont think so |
Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
I really really doubt he checks K8 on this flop. Really doubt it.
Seems to me like everyone is grasping for scenarios where we can call because ZOMG WE HAZ A SET. 1st level thinking + justification. I could be wrong, but IMO we should fold here. Assuming the opponent is a good TAG. This is the key. Against anyone else I get all in. |
Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
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I dunno if he push that with flushdraw. Dont think so. [/ QUOTE ] Of course you don't because you saw him turning over KKK. (: |
Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
Yeah this thread is result orientated to the max.
COOLERS HAPPEN. |
Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
put the money in and lose anyway
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Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
I dont get it.
80% of you said, put the money in and lose. its strange... |
Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
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I dont get it. 80% of you said, put the money in and lose. its strange... [/ QUOTE ] Because this hand would never have been posted had he won... so Im gonna guess he lost the pot. It doesnt matter. Mostly I think he will win. So I can say: Go all in.... ullucky that you lost. (But I still think going all in was fine) |
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