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-   -   NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=547598)

KingBrian 11-16-2007 11:19 AM

NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
PartyPoker Hold'em <font color="#0000FF">(6 handed)</font> HandRecorder

Stacks &amp; Stats
UTG ($381.28)
BU ($128.05)
SB ($435)
MP ($197)
CO ($344.05)
Hero ($234.70)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#FF0000">CO raises to $7</font>, BU calls $7, <font color="#666666">1 folds</font>, Hero calls $5.

Flop: ($22) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, CO checks, <font color="#FF0000">BU bets $12</font>, <font color="#FF0000">Hero raises to $38</font>, <font color="#FF0000">CO raises to $98</font>, BU folds, <font color="#FF0000">Hero raises to $227.7 (all-in)</font>, CO calls $129.70.



villain is a good Tag, imo
Is it possible to fold my set?

JFsports 11-16-2007 11:21 AM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
no

sixhigh 11-16-2007 11:53 AM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
Seeing the CO just checkraised over a checkraiser it's not a fistpump-push. But it's a push by all means.

TheGreenMile 11-16-2007 12:04 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
ZOMG you cant fold set.. but if ever you could...

.KeviN. 11-16-2007 12:11 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
I could prob never fold this at the table. WTF is his range here thou..

optionsguy 11-16-2007 12:17 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
you guys noticed the CO was the prf and he check raised a bet and a raise. if he is brain-dead then he has AK at worst.

not saying i'd fold though.

ShowUthExit 11-16-2007 12:20 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
[ QUOTE ]
I could prob never fold this at the table. WTF is his range here thou..

[/ QUOTE ]

like 88 and the other 88

edit: and the other 88

HoldEmNewby 11-16-2007 12:27 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
set over set is like bearmanpig, i refuse to believe in em. Just get it in. I'm totally serial.

Chicago Twister 11-16-2007 12:27 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
Why is everyone saying a variant of "CO obv has a set but we cant fold anyway?"

spivey 11-16-2007 12:29 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
Does button always bet when checked to him? I think that helps in determining the range of CO.

sixhigh 11-16-2007 12:30 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
Because CO doesn't have a set obviously. Probably at best.

Chicago Twister 11-16-2007 12:31 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
[ QUOTE ]
Because CO doesn't have a set obviously. Probably at best.

[/ QUOTE ]

Range, please.

shpanko 11-16-2007 12:33 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
AK/AA/hearts/K8, just cuz he's a TAG doesn't mean he's good. Furthermore most tag's are going to bet a set on this flop, if he has anything that beats us he has KK

optionsguy 11-16-2007 12:36 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
[ QUOTE ]
AK/AA/hearts/K8, just cuz he's a TAG doesn't mean he's good. Furthermore most tag's are going to bet a set on this flop, if he has anything that beats us he has KK

[/ QUOTE ]

i don't think we'll see AA here hardly ever with the action and he'll never have K8. i agree that if he has 88 here he's betting the flop but i don't think it's too unrealistic for him to check KK.

Chicago Twister 11-16-2007 12:37 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
OP said he was a good TAG, I was going off of that.

scallop 11-16-2007 12:39 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
This is AA&gt;&gt;&gt;KQ&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&g t;&gt;&gt;&gt;KK&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&gt;&g t;&gt;&gt;&gt;QQ Imo.

Sucks that u lost, but I would play is the same. 22 on the Broadway Broadway Two flop, facing a pfr that wants to go all in is AWESOME.

Chicago Twister 11-16-2007 12:39 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
imo if he's the type of guy who checks top set here, he is equally likely to check middle set too. its not like hes going to bet middle set because he is more afraid of having the 2nd best hand or being sucked out on.

sixhigh 11-16-2007 12:41 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
C'mon, we're getting like 3:2 on the push and only need 40% equity when called. That's exactly our equity against this range: AKs, KK, 88, AQhh. And I guess this is the worst we can come up with. Plus: I don't see why a TAG shouldn't be able to openraise K8s in the CO.

KingBrian 11-16-2007 12:56 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
Villain's stats are: 19/15/3.x/23 after 300 hands


my check-raise seems like I have a good hand. So what is his range to push it?

AK? -&gt; he would make a cbet imo --&gt; NOT in his range
AA? -&gt; possible
K8? -&gt; maybe...
KK 88 -&gt; ?

I dunno if he push that with flushdraw. Dont think so

Chicago Twister 11-16-2007 12:57 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
I really really doubt he checks K8 on this flop. Really doubt it.

Seems to me like everyone is grasping for scenarios where we can call because ZOMG WE HAZ A SET. 1st level thinking + justification.

I could be wrong, but IMO we should fold here. Assuming the opponent is a good TAG. This is the key. Against anyone else I get all in.

sixhigh 11-16-2007 12:58 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
[ QUOTE ]
I dunno if he push that with flushdraw. Dont think so.

[/ QUOTE ]

Of course you don't because you saw him turning over KKK. (:

scallop 11-16-2007 01:01 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
Yeah this thread is result orientated to the max.

COOLERS HAPPEN.

Suigin406 11-16-2007 01:03 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
put the money in and lose anyway

KingBrian 11-16-2007 01:14 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
I dont get it.

80% of you said, put the money in and lose.
its strange...

scallop 11-16-2007 01:16 PM

Re: NL 200: possible to fold a set in this spot
 
[ QUOTE ]
I dont get it.

80% of you said, put the money in and lose.
its strange...

[/ QUOTE ]

Because this hand would never have been posted had he won... so Im gonna guess he lost the pot. It doesnt matter. Mostly I think he will win. So I can say:

Go all in.... ullucky that you lost.

(But I still think going all in was fine)


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