*** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

SF @ SEA

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

official bump since I started these so early this time.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

I'm taking Seattle, parlaying with prop Most Boring MNF In The History Of MNF's.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

GEEZUS! Sick, I am betting on all the favorites this week. Only underdog I like is MIN +6 over GB.

Seattle just lost a heartbreaker to a good team. They need this win to stay above 500. SF has shown nothing, they were dogs to ATL and lost. Thats as bad as they get.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

what lines are you guys getting that you love sea so much?

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

ok, i like Hawks -10. 49ers are...well...not good.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

[ QUOTE ]
ok, i like Hawks -10. 49ers are...well...not good.

[/ QUOTE ]
Hahaha I was about to post an answer to your question and it was a simple response: San Francisco.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

I hadn't looked at the numbers yet, but I wouldn't be rushing to take Seattle if they were -14 or something. That's why I was curious. But -10 is pretty good. MOV has Seattle at -16, last week's DVOA with Seattle -14.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

thoughts on the under -39.5?

Seattle is averaging 38.5 total points a game (PF + PA)
SF is averaging 36.25 total points a game.

Seattle has reached 40 points 4/8 times this year, their opponents being Cardinals, Bengals, Saints and Rams.

SF has reached 40 points 3/8 times this year, their opponents being Steelers, Giants, and Saints.

Seattle defeated the 49ers earlier in the year 23-3.

The 49ers are going to have massive trouble moving the ball. They suck enough as it is, and Seattle's dome-crowd is deafening. Seattle has a decent D, and SF should have trouble coming up with 14 points.

Are MNF games usually higher scoring, hence the higher line? Wagerline shows 60% on over 39.0, which makes me like this bet more.

Thoughts on either side?

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

[ QUOTE ]

Are MNF games usually higher scoring, hence the higher line? Wagerline shows 60% on over 39.0, which makes me like this bet more.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't know whether they are actually higher scoring or not, but the public typically bets more on Monday night games, and the public prefers to bet overs than unders.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

Are MNF games usually higher scoring, hence the higher line? Wagerline shows 60% on over 39.0, which makes me like this bet more.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't know whether they are actually higher scoring or not, but the public typically bets more on Monday night games, and the public prefers to bet overs than unders.

[/ QUOTE ]

Gotcha.

Seattle was one of my 3 top plays of the week, but I think I like the under even more.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

SF +10

Seattle sucks.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

[ QUOTE ]
SF +10

Seattle sucks.

[/ QUOTE ]

SF sucks more.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

[ QUOTE ]
SF +10

Seattle sucks.

[/ QUOTE ]

SF swallows.

I'm stayin' away.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

I have seattle and the over in a 7pt teaser connected with San Diego +10.5 and over 40.5

So Lets Go Hawks in a Blow Out!!!!

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

Bleh, it's kind of gross but I might have to do the under and -10. That means Seattle would have to hold the 49ers to 15 points of less.

I also don't like that I'm so willing to jump on -10. Definitely still undecided on this one.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

Under is down to 37. Never made a bet on it, and I'm probably staying away now.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

Anyone like this:

Seatle -10/-4
Under 37/43

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
SF +10

Seattle sucks.

[/ QUOTE ]

SF sucks more.

[/ QUOTE ]

Don't be surprised if the Seahawks turn the ball over a couple of times and make this closer than expected.

Good luck...I wouldn't want to lay 10 in what is supposed to be a low scoring game..

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

[ QUOTE ]
Good luck...I wouldn't want to lay 10 in what is supposed to be a low scoring game..

[/ QUOTE ]

SF hasn't scored 21 points yet this year. Gore is banged up. They'll be lucky to score more than 10. I am confident enough in SF's suckitude on defense to give up at least 21.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

Big storm tonight apparently. That's why total is tanking. I've got SF +10 -105. GL Niners backers!

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

Teasing Seattle -3 and Under 44

switched from SF +17 to Sea -3

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

5 Dimes has SF +11 (-115) if you're looking for a middle. Bunch of sites are at Sea -9.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

"It looks like a beautiful evening for football at Qwest field. Although there could be a few areas of fog or low clouds in the morning, that will have given way to partly to mostly sunny skies (and probably mostly sunny) by kick off. Temperatures then should be running in the low to mid 70's, cooling to the upper 60's to low 70's by half-time, and the mid 60's by the end of the fourth quarter. Breezes should be fairly light and out of the north, so depending upon your comfort level with the temperatures mentioned...perhaps carry a light wind breaker or fleece for later in the evening."--

Thats the weather report. Seattle is averaging about 25 pts. per game and I think Gore will suit up.

I think teasing the over is better than vice versa.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

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Thats the weather report. Seattle is averaging about 25 pts. per game and I think Gore will suit up.

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Seattle is averaging just under 21 pts per game. No idea where you got the 25 figure.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

[ QUOTE ]
"It looks like a beautiful evening for football at Qwest field. Although there could be a few areas of fog or low clouds in the morning, that will have given way to partly to mostly sunny skies (and probably mostly sunny) by kick off. Temperatures then should be running in the low to mid 70's, cooling to the upper 60's to low 70's by half-time, and the mid 60's by the end of the fourth quarter. Breezes should be fairly light and out of the north, so depending upon your comfort level with the temperatures mentioned...perhaps carry a light wind breaker or fleece for later in the evening."--

Thats the weather report. Seattle is averaging about 25 pts. per game and I think Gore will suit up.

I think teasing the over is better than vice versa.

[/ QUOTE ]
From Yahoo weather:

[ QUOTE ]
# Today: Windy with periods of rain. High 52F. Winds SSW at 25 to 40 mph. Rainfall near a half an inch. Winds could occasionally gust over 50 mph.
# Tonight: Windy this evening with showers becoming less numerous overnight. Low 41F. SW winds at 20 to 30 mph, diminishing to 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 60%. Winds could occasionally gust over 40 mph early.

[/ QUOTE ]

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

jazzy, I admire the work you're doing trying to get the total back up to where it opened, but I don't think you're going to succeed.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

http://img135.imageshack.us/img135/9331/seattlekd7.png

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

holy crap... Rain in Seattle???? I didnt see this coming...

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

Kyro,
I actually laughed out loud at that comment.

I know I picked over 31 and maybe it was wishful thinking but that excerpt came straight from a Seattle weather news site.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

SF +17 and Under 44.

Also, SF +6 1H.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

Good lordy, down to -9 at my book. I might have to toss another unit on...

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

I was watchin ESPN about a half hour ago and they said there's gonna be an inch of rain and 50 mph winds. You could also hear the wind on PTI and the guys were holdin their hats on.

I'm now on U37.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

Never understood why people wanna jump all over an under in shiatty weather. We should expect more turnovers because of this which will lead to short fields. The under has lost its value already.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

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holy crap... Rain in Seattle???? I didnt see this coming...

[/ QUOTE ]

[img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

It looks like Gore will be playing. I'm teasing the niners +15 and the under 44. I have to think the under is the play and not because of the weather. It has more to do with SF's offense of late. SF, even at +15 makes me a little worried as I usually bet against Oakland and SF although I just think w/o Alexander SF should be able to keep it respectable.

I'd be interested in what everyone thought of blindly betting against SF and Oakland and for NE for the rest of the season ATS. +EV?

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

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Never understood why people wanna jump all over an under in shiatty weather. We should expect more turnovers because of this which will lead to short fields. The under has lost its value already

[/ QUOTE ]

Its like Dejavu all over again from last Monday nights game where everyone was talking about the Under because of the heavy rain. Pittsburgh 38-7..... over

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

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Its like Dejavu all over again from last Monday nights game where everyone was talking about the Under because of the heavy rain. Pittsburgh 38-7..... over

[/ QUOTE ]

I dont remember anyone talking about the weather last week, it had to do with 2 good Defenses.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

I don't have a freaking clue about this total, but I found o36.5 -104 so I bet it. Looks pretty good now.

Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/12/07 NFL MNF GAME THREAD (SF @ SEA)***
 

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I don't have a freaking clue about this total, but I found o36.5 -104 so I bet it. Looks pretty good now.

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I loved U39.5. Then Mother Nature had to be a bitch and I never got around to placing the bet until it was down to 37.