Two Plus Two Newer Archives

Two Plus Two Newer Archives (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/index.php)
-   Poker Beats, Brags, and Variance (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/forumdisplay.php?f=56)
-   -   What % are winning players? (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=534692)

AAAAx 10-30-2007 03:15 PM

What % are winning players?
 
Has somebody analyzed their databases? What percentage of players on a certain level are winning players? How the money gets distributed? Is it an exponential curve where the majority of money goes to a select few or is it more evenly spread?

The only graphs I've seen are people bragging their own graphs, let's see the big picture.

RikaKazak 10-30-2007 03:18 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
my database is like 45% winnners, BUT so many players have only 100 hands it's lol

Longterm winners are like 8%...with less than that being "real winners" (real winner = over $50 a hour for me)

pen15 10-30-2007 03:47 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
Mine shows about 50% (note I am a winner, at least in the pounds column anyway).
I heard that only 1 in 10 people win so clearly something is going on.
I suspect some winners have 100's of different identities or the deal is rigged to favour crap players so it is like playing bingo, virtually all luck.
Suspicious eitherway.
I know some players different identies as they have told me so. This is supposed not to be possible.

skillgambler 10-30-2007 03:50 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
-1%

Hattifnatt 10-30-2007 03:52 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
Easy to solve.

Mike Kelley 10-30-2007 04:00 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Easy to solve.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is like having a pole on the inside of a football stadium asking whether or not the person likes football.

TheProdigy 10-30-2007 04:01 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
There is a link somewhere talking about this

EPiPeN11 10-30-2007 04:01 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
[ QUOTE ]

This is like having a pole on the inside of a football stadium asking whether or not the person likes football.

[/ QUOTE ]

QFT

dibbs 10-30-2007 04:04 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Easy to solve.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is like having a pole on the inside of a football stadium asking whether or not the person likes football.

[/ QUOTE ]

Big error IMO to assume the majority of 2p2ers are winning players.

I've also heard polls work better for that kind of thing.

HeroInBlack 10-30-2007 04:04 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Easy to solve.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is like having a pole on the inside of a football stadium asking whether or not the person likes football.

[/ QUOTE ]

Mike Kelley 10-30-2007 04:16 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Easy to solve.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is like having a pole on the inside of a football stadium asking whether or not the person likes football.

[/ QUOTE ]

Big error IMO to assume the majority of 2p2ers are winning players.

I've also heard polls work better for that kind of thing.

[/ QUOTE ]

A) I didn't say the majority of 2+2's are winners, just higher percentage than non 2+2's maybe?

B) You've been here since 04' don't know teh correct spelling of pole? What a moran.

http://i56.photobucket.com/albums/g1...el95/LEVEL.jpg

pen15 10-30-2007 04:20 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Easy to solve.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is like having a pole on the inside of a football stadium asking whether or not the person likes football.

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you mean Polish football?

Alobar 10-30-2007 04:25 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Easy to solve.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is like having a pole on the inside of a football stadium asking whether or not the person likes football.

[/ QUOTE ]

Big error IMO to assume the majority of 2p2ers are winning players.

[/ QUOTE ]

I would imagine the vast majority of 2p2ers are winning players. They just arent a winning player at the level they play at.

luvetoholdem 10-30-2007 04:30 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
I was a losing player for a long time.
I finally started this up swing for over 2 years now.

PokerPaul 10-30-2007 04:35 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
i dont even use pokertracker anymore, but i had a pretty decent sized database of hands, and according to it a little over 60% were losers.

brad2002tj 10-30-2007 04:37 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
I am winning player but not a $50/hour winning player. More like 50 cents an hour.

blankoblanco 10-30-2007 04:38 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
sharkscope says about 1/3 of players are longterm winners at SnGs. wouldn't it probably be similar at all forms of poker?

Bruut99 10-30-2007 04:44 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
40% winners and 60% loosers in my pokertracker

Flip-Flop 10-30-2007 04:46 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
~5% according to a high ranking PS official.

Abbaddabba 10-30-2007 04:52 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
databases are not a good measure.


if you have 100 hands against a -1BB/100 loser; the chances of him being up is not far from 50%. if that same player plays 100k hands, the chances are close to zero.


in a random 250k hand database of mine, ill only have > 1k hands against a tiny fraction of the people in there. and when i do have >10k hands against someone, it's almost always because they're also playing professionally.

jds1201 10-30-2007 04:55 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
[ QUOTE ]
databases are not a good measure.


if you have 100 hands against a -1BB/100 loser; the chances of him being up is not far from 50%. if that same player plays 1.6M hands, the chances are close to zero.


in a random 250k hand database of mine, ill only have > 1k hands against a tiny fraction of the people in there. and when i do have >10k hands against someone, it's almost always because they're also playing professionally.

[/ QUOTE ]

80000 10-30-2007 05:01 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
My PT database shows 41% winners and 59% losers at the FTP micro cash games.

TheProdigy 10-30-2007 05:03 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
[ QUOTE ]
~5% according to a high ranking PS official.

[/ QUOTE ]

Link? I need it for research paper.

AAAAx 10-30-2007 05:21 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
[ QUOTE ]
databases are not a good measure.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, that's right.

I started wondering this when I started datamining. Datamining is a tedious job though, the computer is always lagging and software's crashing, so I didn't get any good statistics...

But someone should have done it.

futuredoc85 10-30-2007 05:21 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
50%, its a 0 sum game

GSykes 10-30-2007 05:23 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
50/50

either your a winner or your not

NL Newbie 10-30-2007 05:44 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
my DB says 40% over about 3million hands.

Last year i looked it was 25%

All at NL$25, no idea for higher - dont mine there.

Hattifnatt 10-30-2007 05:48 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
datamining 3 million NL25 hands, wow.

HSB 10-30-2007 05:50 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
[ QUOTE ]
my DB says 40% over about 3million hands.

Last year i looked it was 25%

All at NL$25, no idea for higher - dont mine there.

[/ QUOTE ]

You datamined three million hands at 25NL? Sweet [censored] jesus couldn't you have pounded your scrotum with a hammer instead?

Adjutor 10-30-2007 06:00 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
The problem with asking for a percentage is that many MANY players will deposit $50 once and never deposit again.

Edit: or three times or whatever, but there are so many players with only a couple hundred hands that are now playing play money, and these players are lumped into the 'loser' category.

jkoff 10-30-2007 06:06 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
10 players per SNG, 3 spots pay. And you used Sharkscope to get your SNG win %...

Hattifnatt 10-30-2007 06:10 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
[ QUOTE ]
10 players per SNG, 3 spots pay. And you used Sharkscope to get your SNG win %...

[/ QUOTE ]
level or you are retarted.

Choparno 10-30-2007 06:26 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
None of them, only me.

Flip-Flop 10-30-2007 06:52 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
~5% according to a high ranking PS official.

[/ QUOTE ]

Link? I need it for research paper.

[/ QUOTE ]

No can do sorry.
You gonna have to take my word for it....or not.

TheProdigy 10-30-2007 07:01 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
You seem like a credible enough source.

NL Newbie 10-30-2007 07:09 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
my DB says 40% over about 3million hands.

Last year i looked it was 25%

All at NL$25, no idea for higher - dont mine there.

[/ QUOTE ]

You datamined three million hands at 25NL? Sweet [censored] jesus couldn't you have pounded your scrotum with a hammer instead?

[/ QUOTE ]


Hmm maybe thats wrong, it says 3million in the top left under "HANDS". but that may be counting duplicates where 6 people are sat and play the same hand lol.

So 600 000?

Good enough i guess

http://chrislearns.com/Poker/index.p...&Itemid=26

CnC 10-30-2007 07:09 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
I have read on SharkScope that only 1/3 are winning players and that only the top 3% are true Sharks.

shootaa 10-30-2007 07:44 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
It's obv 50/50, for every person who wins, someone has to lose, DUH!

Xanta 10-30-2007 07:48 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
You can win, lose, or break even, so 1/3 of players are winning.

choccypie 10-30-2007 08:19 PM

Re: What % are winning players?
 
[ QUOTE ]
It's obv 50/50, for every person who wins, someone has to lose, DUH!

[/ QUOTE ]

QFT.


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:58 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.