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cowpig 10-23-2007 07:40 PM

Two hands of interest
 
I played some 1/2 today and two hands came up that I found sort of interesting:


<font color="blue">Hand one</font>

Poker Stars, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

BB: $206
UTG: $614
CO: $299.85
Hero (BTN): $199
SB: $211.75

Pre-Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $6</font>, SB calls $5, BB folds

Flop: ($14) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $9</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to $28</font>, Hero calls $19

Turn: ($70) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $52</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $165 and is All-In</font>

<font color="blue">
Now, this hand would be ultra-standard for me in my usual games. However, I believe I misplayed it vs a 19/15/2.5 200nl regular.
</font>



<font color="blue">Hand 2</font>

Poker Stars, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

Hero (CO): $196
BTN: $213.15
SB: $211.10
BB: $439.70
UTG: $226
MP: $186.70

Pre-Flop: 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (CO)
UTG folds, <font color="red">MP raises to $6</font>, Hero calls $6, 3 folds

Flop: ($15) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">MP bets $12</font>, Hero calls $12

Turn: ($39) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
MP checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $26</font>, <font color="red">MP raises to $70</font>, Hero calls $44

River: ($179) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
MP checks, Hero checks

<font color="blue">In this hand I think villain recognized me from 2+2 and asked me why I called his raise on the turn (instead of shove/folding). I said that I was relatively WA/WB his range, and that his quick check followed by hesitation on the turn made air pretty likely. He felt that he could be semibluffing there a lot of the time.</font>


What do you guys think?

djj6835 10-23-2007 07:44 PM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
Both hands seems fine. Hand one is definitely standard against a lot or 200 NL regs, you're basically behind one, maybe two hands. I agree with villain that hand two is a semibluff more often than air for a reg at 200 NL.

Nick Royale 10-23-2007 07:59 PM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
First hand is fine.

cowpig 10-23-2007 08:06 PM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
[ QUOTE ]
First hand is fine.

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you think a SSNL nit c/r, leads with KQ or KJ there?

Nick Royale 10-23-2007 08:07 PM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
First hand is fine.

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you think a SSNL nit c/r, leads with KQ or KJ there?

[/ QUOTE ]
Nah, I think this is 33/QJs sometimes KTs/TT/air.

cowpig 10-23-2007 08:09 PM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
First hand is fine.

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you think a SSNL nit c/r, leads with KQ or KJ there?

[/ QUOTE ]
Nah, I think this is 33/QJs sometimes KTs/TT/air.

[/ QUOTE ]

How would you play K9 in my spot?

Nick Royale 10-23-2007 08:16 PM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
First hand is fine.

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you think a SSNL nit c/r, leads with KQ or KJ there?

[/ QUOTE ]
Nah, I think this is 33/QJs sometimes KTs/TT/air.

[/ QUOTE ]

How would you play K9 in my spot?

[/ QUOTE ]
I would fold. But that's just because I don't realise AK=K9 while playing [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

No but really, AK actually have a few percentage advantage to K9 vs the range I put him on and I'm sure he'll show up with AK/KQ/KJ a few % and having him drawing to 3 outs these times rather than having to draw to 3 outs myself has a decent impact on our equity even though these % are rather small.

And I don't really think felting AK is big +ev.

Nick Royale 10-23-2007 08:19 PM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
Second hand, did you have any reads while playing? I'd probably play it the same way. Villain's line is pretty confusing.

Suwalski 10-23-2007 08:39 PM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
[ QUOTE ]
First hand is fine.

[/ QUOTE ]

really? what happened to baluga theorem? the only real draw is QJ, and it would be sort of crazy to lead out with QJ after you called flop raise, he shouldn't expect you to fold AK. why would he c/r KJ on this flop? AF of 2,5 is not THAT high. I'd say that hand one is a clear fold, but you're definitely better than I, so now i dono.

orange 10-23-2007 08:43 PM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
hand 1 good.

hand 2, i think he rarely, if ever, checks a flush on the river. his line is weird. i think there is definitely value on the river, just dunno. i might pussy out and check but i think that shoving can definitely be viable.

djj6835 10-23-2007 08:57 PM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
First hand is fine.

[/ QUOTE ] really? what happened to baluga theorem? the only real draw is QJ, and it would be sort of crazy to lead out with QJ after you called flop raise, he shouldn't expect you to fold AK. why would he c/r KJ on this flop? AF of 2,5 is not THAT high. I'd say that hand one is a clear fold, but you're definitely better than I, so now i dono.

[/ QUOTE ]

a. This isn't Baluga
b. People do bluff/semibluff and generally don't like checking the turn after check raising the flop. His range of hands that beat us here is just so narrow. He may flat 33 and possibly kt pre but that is about it. TT probably 3 bets, kk 3 bets.

Percy101 10-23-2007 09:01 PM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
First hand is fine.

[/ QUOTE ]

really? what happened to baluga theorem? the only real draw is QJ, and it would be sort of crazy to lead out with QJ after you called flop raise, he shouldn't expect you to fold AK. why would he c/r KJ on this flop? AF of 2,5 is not THAT high. I'd say that hand one is a clear fold, but you're definitely better than I, so now i dono.

[/ QUOTE ]


IMO: a set is unlikely in hand one given that KK and TT would generally RR pf, and the only plausible 2Pair hand seems to be KT. This, along with a general tendency for players to overvalue their holdings against a button raiser, leans villain's range to worse 1Pair hands and bluffs/semibluffs. So hand 1 is a shove.

Shizzle12345 10-23-2007 09:03 PM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
First hand is fine.

[/ QUOTE ]

really? what happened to baluga theorem? the only real draw is QJ, and it would be sort of crazy to lead out with QJ after you called flop raise, he shouldn't expect you to fold AK. why would he c/r KJ on this flop? AF of 2,5 is not THAT high. I'd say that hand one is a clear fold, but you're definitely better than I, so now i dono.

[/ QUOTE ]


IMO: a set is unlikely in hand one given that KK and TT would generally RR pf, and the only plausible 2Pair hand seems to be KT. This, along with a general tendency for players to overvalue their holdings against a button raiser, leans villain's range to worse 1Pair hands and bluffs/semibluffs. So hand 1 is a shove.

[/ QUOTE ]
QFT both are totally standard. I think shoving turn in hand 2 is kinda bad unless you got history with the guy. now you can call a bet on this river. And betting river would be bad too i think since he will CR turn most of the time to semibluff with air or with a hand that beats you.

futuredoc85 10-23-2007 09:05 PM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
Vs the villain you described hand 1 is bad. You should prob fold the turn on this board

hand 2 is ok. your line leading up to river is pretty strong for you to want action from 1 pair on the river.

xd40 10-23-2007 09:25 PM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
hand 1: i think its player dependant, against a decent 19/16 reg only 33 beats u. A KT prob wouldnt call from sb and i cant see a KT c/r that flop. TT/KK would 3b. I think this is weak most of the times, standard flop c/r following up on the turn. then again, i dont know his postflop play and your history.

hand 2 looks fine, his close to pot cb, turn c/r and river ch arent a flush most of the time, some ace.

cowpig 10-23-2007 09:53 PM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
What do you guys think villain is lead, c/ring in hand 2?

With what hands do you like a lead, c/r on that board, supposing I am an unknown ultra-LAG?

futuredoc85 10-23-2007 10:24 PM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
I think he has an AX[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], a bluff, or he has you beat

sh58 10-23-2007 10:32 PM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
once he checks the river, i think we can valuebet it. you thought you were WA/WB on the turn. how much of his WA range is checking the river? not alot imo


cowpig 10-24-2007 11:20 AM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
someone answer my 2nd question (w/explanation) plz

cowpig 10-24-2007 12:46 PM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
I'll just post my thoughts I guess.

I thought both the hands were interesting because they showed some of the more subtle advantages of playing aggressively.


In hand 1, I think that this type of player rarely check/raise bluffs, and then fires the turn with air even less often.

Since I run very loose stats (and my vpip is well over 30 at this point), he probably assumes I'm a complete idiot and will never lay down anything. So he probably has air close to never.

Furthermore, I do not think he fires the turn with QJ very often. His betting puts me in a spot where it's natural for me to shove the hands I want to get all in with.

So basically his range is hands he's playing for value, and I don't think I'm doing well vs that range with AK. I think he has KT, TT, or 33 just about every time here.

What's interesting here is how much of my range I'm going to fold to his c/r, lead. I play 33/28, and I'm on the button, so my range is hugely wide. In order for him to fully take advantage of my ridiculously wide range, he should start by c/r bluffing all day. After it becomes clear to me that he is an aggressive player, he should start to c/r for value with a much wider range.

By playing like a nit, villain not only misses a bajillion pots that he could easily pick up by playing more aggressively, but he actually kills his own action when I do have a big made hand. Try doing some math: I raise something like 50% of hands OTB. Figure out how much of that range feels comfortable on a KT3r flop.


In hand 2, I think analyzing the turn is really interesting. The turn brings a flush, and gives me a super-disguised two pair. What do you do?

I think a check behind for pot control on the turn is a viable option. Villain is an aggressive TAG, and will check/raise when he hit his flush. And he certainly leads out with a flush draw on the flop.

But I think giving him a free river card with a hand that is both vulnerable and far ahead of his range is missing too much value. I don't think the extra hands he calls with on the river, or the times he pushes us off our hand with air when we bet are enough to dissuade me from betting.

He check/raises. He certainly can have complete air. He certainly can have the flush. If that's all that's in his range, we should CALL, and probably fold to a river shove, since he's either drawing dead or we're drawing to 4 outs.

However, villain felt that he could be semibluffing there. But what can he be semibluffing with? AX[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] would surely bet out on the turn. By check/raising a pair of aces, villain would be folding out my worse hands and getting calls from my better ones. And if he has something like TT[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] I think he'll be trying to get to showdown and not turning his hand into a semibluff. The only semibluffs left are hands like K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]Qx, and I believe that these hands are possible but there are not a lot of combinations of them, as he would probably need the K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] or at least the Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] to semibluff.

So I just called, and checked behind on the river (under the assumption he had air/flush). Villain had JTo (no [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]), and said that he check/raised the turn because he thought I had air there so often. I agreed, saying that it's safe to assume I would rep the flush with every weak hand in my range, and probably only bet out the made flush for value.

This train of thought led me to the conclusion that by not betting the turn with non-flush made hands, I become too susceptible to check-raises (counter-intuitive, eh?). Therefore, checking behind the turn for pot control is NOT a viable option, even though it makes the hand easier to play, and seems reasonably +EV.

I definitely believe that conclusion is up for debate, and that it might not be the same for someone with a different overall game plan.

Ya dig?

Noam Chomsky 10-24-2007 01:15 PM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
please everybody stop telling nits to c/r bluff more. ty.

JonnyCosMo 10-24-2007 05:17 PM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
Max likes men

Proof: http://www.liquidpoker.net/staff/Jon...axLikesMen.jpg

Get off me f@g

cowpig 10-24-2007 11:29 PM

Re: Two hands of interest
 
lol wtf


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