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-   -   AQ SB Playalong (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=529002)

James. 10-22-2007 10:48 PM

AQ SB Playalong
 
a 44/19/1.25 openlimps on the button, i'm in the sb with A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]Q [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. the big blind is sort of unknown but seems tightish and unspectacular.

just so it's a complete play along what's our move?

Amaryllis 10-22-2007 10:51 PM

Re: AQ SB Playalong
 
Raise it up, but ask yourself why a 44/19 guy didn't open raise on the btn.

Harv72b 10-22-2007 11:00 PM

Re: AQ SB Playalong
 
Raise, puke a little when he limp/reraises & the flop comes Q72r.

Ricks 10-22-2007 11:08 PM

Re: AQ SB Playalong
 
I don't think that anyone is going to suggest that you don't raise.

James. 10-22-2007 11:14 PM

Re: AQ SB Playalong
 
okay so i raise they all call.

Flop(6sb): 4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]5 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]6 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

it's on me...

SNOWBALL 10-22-2007 11:20 PM

Re: AQ SB Playalong
 
[ QUOTE ]
a 44/19/1.25 openlimps on the button, i'm in the sb with A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]Q [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. the big blind is sort of unknown but seems tightish and unspectacular.

just so it's a complete play along what's our move?

[/ QUOTE ]

fold obv. What do I win?

SNOWBALL 10-22-2007 11:22 PM

Re: AQ SB Playalong
 
[ QUOTE ]
okay so i raise they all call.

Flop(6sb): 4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]5 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]6 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

checks to me...

[/ QUOTE ]

who checks to you? lol. you are in the sb
I call shenanigans on this post

Harv72b 10-22-2007 11:57 PM

Re: AQ SB Playalong
 
[ QUOTE ]
okay so i raise they all call.

Flop(6sb): 4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]5 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]6 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

checks to me...

[/ QUOTE ]

Check, intending to raise a BTN bet or call a BB bet (or begrudgingly fold to a BB bet followed by BTN raise).

One Outer 10-23-2007 12:28 AM

Re: AQ SB Playalong
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
okay so i raise they all call.

Flop(6sb): 4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]5 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]6 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

checks to me...

[/ QUOTE ]

Check, intending to raise a BTN bet or call a BB bet (or begrudgingly fold to a BB bet followed by BTN raise).

[/ QUOTE ]

Me too.

Amaryllis 10-23-2007 12:32 AM

Re: AQ SB Playalong
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
okay so i raise they all call.

Flop(6sb): 4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]5 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]6 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

checks to me...

[/ QUOTE ]

Check, intending to raise a BTN bet or call a BB bet (or begrudgingly fold to a BB bet followed by BTN raise).

[/ QUOTE ]

Me too.

[/ QUOTE ]

I was gonna say bet, but I like this better.

Allday Everyday 10-23-2007 12:53 AM

Re: AQ SB Playalong
 
Preflop:
I think it's an easy value raise.

[ QUOTE ]
ask yourself why a 44/19 guy didn't open raise on the btn.

[/ QUOTE ]
Doesn't look unusual to me. I think these stats suck, and so does the play. I would be careful though as he could easily have a powerhouse hand.

Flop:
I'd bet my strong hand, trying to get one or both guys to fold their unpaired stuff.

Grease 10-23-2007 01:00 AM

Re: AQ SB Playalong
 
Raise. Force out the BB, and get value from the button. If he LRR's, so be it, but I would need a read to not raise here (even then, I probably would, because he might try to LRR with something like 99 or AJs.)

Grease 10-23-2007 01:01 AM

Re: AQ SB Playalong
 
C/R the aggro button.

If he checks behind, you got a freebie, and you win anyways.

James. 10-23-2007 08:19 AM

Re: AQ SB Playalong
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
okay so i raise they all call.

Flop(6sb): 4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]5 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]6 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

checks to me...

[/ QUOTE ]

who checks to you? lol. you are in the sb
I call shenanigans on this post

[/ QUOTE ]

damn. you called shenanigans.

in accordance with 2p2 playalong doctrine the play-along has come to an end. darn it.

James. 10-23-2007 10:52 AM

And so we continue...
 
okay so i raise they all call.

Flop(6sb): 4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]5 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]6 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

it's on me, i bet, they both call.

Turn(4.5bb): Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

it's on me again. bet or c/r or something else?





as for why i decided to bet the flop.

3handed my hand is very often best and the board is drawy. Checking looks suspicious and might result in the flop checking through. There are times to check after raising pf, this is not one of them.

Sure, I might put myself in a tough spot if I get raised since a fairly wide range of worse hands might play that way given the board texture. That isn’t a reason to not bet. Any 6 out draw I can get to fold is great and if they want to call I make money that way as well.

Amaryllis 10-23-2007 11:03 AM

Re: And so we continue...
 
Keep betting on the turn. You really don't want this to get checked trough.

One Outer 10-23-2007 12:24 PM

Re: And so we continue...
 
[ QUOTE ]
Keep betting on the turn. You really don't want this to get checked trough.

[/ QUOTE ]

Grease 10-23-2007 12:42 PM

Re: And so we continue...
 
Bet?

I assume you get raised here, or why else the playalong?

James. 10-23-2007 02:25 PM

Re: And so we continue...
 
[ QUOTE ]
Bet?

I assume you get raised here, or why else the playalong?

[/ QUOTE ]

you know how sometimes something can seem right the night before, and the next day you wake up and wonder why the hell you did it?

really, there are two of four streets that are interesting in this hand. and i hadn't had a playalong in a while.

Grease 10-23-2007 02:44 PM

Re: And so we continue...
 
[ QUOTE ]
you know how sometimes something can seem right the night before, and the next day you wake up and wonder why the hell you did it?


[/ QUOTE ]
My life since college has been based on this principle.

James. 10-23-2007 02:51 PM

Re: And so we continue...
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
you know how sometimes something can seem right the night before, and the next day you wake up and wonder why the hell you did it?


[/ QUOTE ]
My life since college has been based on this principle.

[/ QUOTE ]

lol. well, i guess i'm going to post the rest of the turn action and river decision.

James. 10-23-2007 02:54 PM

Re: And so we continue...
 
okay so i raise A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]Q [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] from the SB, they all call.

Flop(6sb): 4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]5 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]6 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

it's on me, i bet, they both call.

Turn(4.5bb): Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

it's on me again. i obv. bet obv. BB folds, button calls.

River(6.5bb): 8 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

i...

threeducks 10-23-2007 03:49 PM

Re: And so we continue...
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
you know how sometimes something can seem right the night before, and the next day you wake up and wonder why the hell you did it?


[/ QUOTE ]
My life <font color="red">...</font> has been based on this principle.

[/ QUOTE ]

agree

One Outer 10-23-2007 05:27 PM

Re: And so we continue...
 
[ QUOTE ]
okay so i raise A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]Q [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] from the SB, they all call.

Flop(6sb): 4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]5 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]6 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

it's on me, i bet, they both call.

Turn(4.5bb): Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

it's on me again. i obv. bet obv. BB folds, button calls.

River(6.5bb): 8 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

i...

[/ QUOTE ]

Check/call, because the only other option is bet/fold. I'd rather show down if it's going to cost me the same.

I also think he'll bluff a lot.

Amaryllis 10-23-2007 06:04 PM

Re: And so we continue...
 
I would still bet and call a raise. A 44/19/1.25 player would often (though not always) have done *something* on the flop or turn with oesd. He also would bluff-raise the river some of the times.

One Outer 10-23-2007 06:51 PM

Re: And so we continue...
 
[ QUOTE ]
I would still bet and call a raise. A 44/19/1.25 player would often (though not always) have done *something* on the flop or turn with oesd. He also would bluff-raise the river some of the times.

[/ QUOTE ]

Meh. You would have to explain to me what those numbers mean. I'm still allergic to paying two bets to show down on that board.

Amaryllis 10-23-2007 07:08 PM

Re: And so we continue...
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I would still bet and call a raise. A 44/19/1.25 player would often (though not always) have done *something* on the flop or turn with oesd. He also would bluff-raise the river some of the times.

[/ QUOTE ]

Meh. You would have to explain to me what those numbers mean. I'm still allergic to paying two bets to show down on that board.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't know what they mean EXACTLY, but I know they mean he's GENERALLY not passive. Generally.

You said:

[ QUOTE ]
Check/call, because the only other option is bet/fold. I'd rather show down if it's going to cost me the same.


[/ QUOTE ]

I don't think the only option is folding after he raises the river. Another option is to call. His stats can't tell me exactly what he's gonna do here, but they sway me in making a call a very viable option after he raises.

[ QUOTE ]
I also think he'll bluff a lot.

[/ QUOTE ]

Then you have to let him. Edit: let him bluff raise.

Harv72b 10-23-2007 09:05 PM

Re: And so we continue...
 
[ QUOTE ]
Checking looks suspicious and might result in the flop checking through.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why is that a bad thing? Especially if we agree on the principles that, A) neither opponent is ever folding a better hand than your AQ, and, 2) that neither opponent is ever folding a halfway decent draw. And by "halfway decent" I'm including things like gutshots or 2 good overs.

As far as the turn goes, obviously bet, especially since you led the flop &amp; nobody played back at you.

I like bet/call on the river, although I could easily be convinced to bet/fold if BB raises. I think that BB calls 1 bet with more hands you beat than he overcalls with, and I doubt that BTN is folding any pair or even a weaker ace.

Ricks 10-23-2007 10:00 PM

Re: And so we continue...
 
We are heads up on the river with Btn, Harv.

I like a b/c. Btn would have popped that flop with a 7.

Harv72b 10-23-2007 10:44 PM

Re: And so we continue...
 
[ QUOTE ]
We are heads up on the river with Btn, Harv.

I like a b/c. Btn would have popped that flop with a 7.

[/ QUOTE ]

My bad, that'll teach me to try answering from memory. [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img] Yeah, I like bet/call based on the opponent.

Amaryllis 10-24-2007 01:57 AM

Re: And so we continue...
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Checking looks suspicious and might result in the flop checking through.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why is that a bad thing? Especially if we agree on the principles that, A) neither opponent is ever folding a better hand than your AQ, and, 2) that neither opponent is ever folding a halfway decent draw. And by "halfway decent" I'm including things like gutshots or 2 good overs.


[/ QUOTE ]

If you're talking about the flop, isn't the benefit of them (or one of them) calling with their junk outweighing the downsides of your two points?

Harv72b 10-24-2007 02:27 AM

Re: And so we continue...
 
[ QUOTE ]
If you're talking about the flop, isn't the benefit of them (or one of them) calling with their junk outweighing the downsides of your two points?

[/ QUOTE ]

If we believe that we are in fact ahead a significant portion of the time, and/or that one or more of them will call our flop bet with a weaker hand/unprofitable draw a significant portion of the time, then yes. But my opinion is that neither of these are often the case after a flop like this, nor is it at all likely that either of them will fold a better hand to our bet.

I think we're much better off allowing them to either let us draw for free or to make a bluff with one of those worse hands, especially if we can then isolate on that bluff with a check/raise. Or to allow them to bet, rather than raise our bet, with a made hand.

StrictlyStrategy 10-24-2007 02:43 AM

Re: And so we continue...
 
I bet and I'd call, but if someone told me calling a raise was terrible here I would believe them. It'd just be such a weirdo line for him to get all passive and then try and bluffraise a river.

Who bet-folds the river anymore? I dunno I'm betting the river though. Screw that guy.

James. 10-24-2007 09:07 AM

Re: And so we continue...
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Checking looks suspicious and might result in the flop checking through.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why is that a bad thing? Especially if we agree on the principles that, A) neither opponent is ever folding a better hand than your AQ, and, 2) that neither opponent is ever folding a halfway decent draw. And by "halfway decent" I'm including things like gutshots or 2 good overs.



[/ QUOTE ]

i agree a better hand is close to never folding. but any hand with outs that folds is a good thing.

more importantly, why don't you want to collect bets from worse hands with "decent" draws that are willing to pay to play? so in answer to your question, "why is that a bad thing"(in ref. to the flop checking through), because we lose value! if they want to call, fine. if they want to fold, fine. i don't think my money goes in significantly different(in terms of equity dog or fave) by betting versus c/r. betting just makes SURE it goes in.

as for the ranges, i took the top 50% taking out premium holdings or anything that they would raise/3bet pf. for the bb it's conceivable i could have added more suited hands, but i don't think that it's a big deal for the overall outcome. my equity is pretty robust, and on that flop(this is key) alot of worse hands are calling. we had might as well realize it through betting.

fwiw, i gave these ranges to my opponents:
button(i think he raises anything better):
55-33,A4s-A2s,K9s-K2s,Q9s-Q2s,J3s+,T5s+,95s+,86s+,75s+,65s,A5o-A2o,K9o-K4o,QTo-Q6o,J7o+,T7o+,98o,87o

big blind:
JJ-22,A9s-A2s,KTs-K2s,Q2s+,J3s+,T5s+,95s+,85s+,75s+,65s,ATo-A2o,KJo-K4o,Q6o+,J7o+,T7o+,97o+,87o

James. 10-24-2007 10:03 AM

Re: And so we continue...
 
okay so i raise A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]Q [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] from the SB, they all call.

Flop(6sb): 4 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]5 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]6 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

it's on me, i bet, they both call.

Turn(4.5bb): Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]

it's on me again. i obv. bet obv. BB folds, button calls.

River(6.5bb): 8 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

i check, he bets, i call.

nothing is standard in poker.

that being said, this is a typically aggressive opponent. my "standard" line with a good(not great) hand when first to act on the river against a typically aggressive opponent is as follows.

on a board with multiple draws present, and the primary draw misses but a possible secondary draw completes, i check and call.

i do this because this type of guy bets more hands than he calls with. as a result, this collects value from the busted draws that would fold if i bet in addition to the worse made hands(while simultaneously losing less when behind since i can't bet/fold). these aggressive opponents will valuebet/valuebluff/bluff close to all worse hands that would call a bet. these guys will often feel inclined to widen their betting range and fire on the scare card as well since, based on previous action, there is such a tremendously low probability that i had one of the draws that came in(in this case the straight draw).

it's not like i'm against a good or passive player that will only bet when i'm crushed. also, if this opponent's aggression level was higher, this would be a decent spot to bet with the intention of inducing a bluffraise. while i'm not saying this opponent isn't capable of bluffraising, the frequency with which he(specifically) would do it versus the frequency he's raising a completed draw is too low to attempt it.

Rico Suave 10-24-2007 10:47 AM

Re: And so we continue...
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Checking looks suspicious and might result in the flop checking through.

[/ QUOTE ]

Why is that a bad thing? Especially if we agree on the principles that, A) neither opponent is ever folding a better hand than your AQ, and, 2) that neither opponent is ever folding a halfway decent draw. And by "halfway decent" I'm including things like gutshots or 2 good overs.



[/ QUOTE ]

i agree a better hand is close to never folding. but any hand with outs that folds is a good thing.

more importantly, why don't you want to collect bets from worse hands with "decent" draws that are willing to pay to play? so in answer to your question, "why is that a bad thing"(in ref. to the flop checking through), because we lose value! if they want to call, fine. if they want to fold, fine. i don't think my money goes in significantly different(in terms of equity dog or fave) by betting versus c/r. betting just makes SURE it goes in.

as for the ranges, i took the top 50% taking out premium holdings or anything that they would raise/3bet pf. for the bb it's conceivable i could have added more suited hands, but i don't think that it's a big deal for the overall outcome. my equity is pretty robust, and on that flop(this is key) alot of worse hands are calling. we had might as well realize it through betting.


[/ QUOTE ]

James:

I understand what you are saying here about your equity being robust and all based on their preflop ranges and that board. I understand that. A bet going in on the flop, in general, is probably a good thing. But...

On that particular board, you are getting raised here a pretty healthy percentage, imo. That board is unlikely to have hit you as the preflop raiser...so many will test you with their pair (not unlikely given loose open limp and BB call) decent draw, or (stretching a bit) overcards. Even when you don't get raised, you will be called in 2 spots a very high % of the time b/c if the flop didn't touch them..then they likely have 2 overs and will peel. So, on the flop, there is almost no chance of taking this down with a bet, a decent chance we get raised, highly probable that we get called in 2 spots (admittedly, we are quite often ahead in this situation). So, I can see that overall betting is probably best, but when we consider the turn.

If we bet and get raised, then we are giving up on the turn without a Q or A. OK.

If we bet the flop and get one caller, then we are likley betting most turn cards. OK. But I think there are tons of turn cards where we aren't getting folds, and then we are going to be in a spot on the river where we be putting in another bet on the river on a thin call.

But what are we doing if we bet and get 2 callers and the turn is a K,J,T,9,8,7,3 or a diamond. Are we still betting the turn 3 way with any of those cards?

Now, don't get me wrong, I don't think I am necessarily right here. And just b/c a hand is difficult to play doesn't mean we should take a more passive or "weaker" approach. But being out of position on that board sucks; lots of turn cards are gonna suck; and we have virtually no chance we can take the flop down with a bet. That makes me lean toward considering Harvs line even if and are passing up on a bit of value on the flop.

-Rico

Amaryllis 10-24-2007 10:52 AM

Re: And so we continue...
 
[ QUOTE ]
on a board with multiple draws present, and the primary draw misses but a possible secondary draw completes, i check and call.

[/ QUOTE ]

This has a lot to think about...or maybe I'm just a noob.

Amaryllis 10-24-2007 11:13 AM

Re: And so we continue...
 
[ QUOTE ]
If we believe that we are in fact ahead a significant portion of the time, and/or that one or more of them will call our flop bet with a weaker hand/unprofitable draw a significant portion of the time, then yes. But my opinion is that neither of these are often the case after a flop like this

[/ QUOTE ]

I appreciate all your feedback Harv.

I underestand your point. I think I would be more prone to agree on a 79J flop. On a 456 flop vs a btn open limper and a BB, I think you're better off betting the flop, as you're happy if they fold their junk, and you're happy if they (or better one of them) call with their junk.

When you c/r the btn, what hands do you want to BB to fold when he's faced with the two bets? Over card --&gt; I don't might him calling. Gutshot --&gt; I don't mind him calling. Oesd --&gt; he's not folding anyway.

James. 10-24-2007 11:28 AM

Re: And so we continue...
 
Rico,

good post. i'm at work so i'm going to throw out some quick points and for anything more indepth, i'll have to address later.

don't you think most of the hands that are raising my flop bet are 3betting my c/r?

i'm a showdown monkey. that includes AQ on a draw heavy board against an aggro opponent. if this pot gets HU, i'm showing down UI most of the time for the reasons you stated above(the fact i might get "tested" on the flop an appreciable amount of the time).

sure alot of scarecards come on the turn, but after c/r and getting 3bet i'm in no better shape than simply betting and getting raised. if i bet, get called and then lead the turn and get raised, i can usually find a fold. if i bet the flop, get raised and it gets HU after the flop(say the BB folds the turn), i'm showing down more than you might be assuming. remember, James is a showdown monkey. he doesn't fold many better hands. trust me, my opponents learn this quickly.

Rico Suave 10-24-2007 12:14 PM

Re: And so we continue...
 
[ QUOTE ]
Rico,

don't you think most of the hands that are raising my flop bet are 3betting my c/r?


[/ QUOTE ]

I don't think this is necessarily true. I don't know the button well obviously, but most run of the mill guys are going to raise a flop bet with a much wider range than they will 3-bet a c/r by the sb preflop raiser. I agree that putting in 3-bets on the flop sucks on a drawy board. But the reason I liked considering the c/r is that the button is likely to bet a huge range on that board once checked to him; so I am more willing to put in an extra sb in those instances to shut out bb and get it HU with the loosey. If we don't expect him to bet most of his range on the flop, then I don't care too much for the flop c/r.

[ QUOTE ]
i'm a showdown monkey. that includes AQ on a draw heavy board against an aggro opponent.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is perhaps why we see things differently and why I most likely suck. I am not much of a showdown monkey and I am not necessarily looking at showing down once the flop comes down and we are 3-way. But even so, if our intent is showing down a lot, I wonder if the flop check is still better--given our option to get away if the BB and button show interest, and the ability to isolate the loose (aggro?) button a healthy % of the time. I don't know if the downside of getting 3-bet quite a bit offsets these up sides.

[ QUOTE ]
if i bet, get called and then lead the turn and get raised, i can usually find a fold.

[/ QUOTE ]

By the way, this happens to me about 95% of the time I have ace high oop, HU on a drawy board in a smallish pot. I imagine that I am getting pushed off the best hand a healthy % of the time when this occurs (opponent specific) and I would expect this here to some degree. Not that folding is wrong, just that the whole scenario sucks b/c of board and position.

[ QUOTE ]
if i bet the flop, get raised and it gets HU after the flop(say the BB folds the turn), i'm showing down more than you might be assuming.

[/ QUOTE ]

Seems reasonable to me.


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