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-   -   bluffing with no reads or history (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=526411)

jfish 10-19-2007 07:38 AM

bluffing with no reads or history
 
villain is 26/22, 22wtsd, 54wwsf, 3.62/6.88/17/3 AF over 1.2k hands. only read i have are those stats. he is running at 26ptbb over this sample.


Full Tilt Poker, $10/$20 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LegoPoker Hand History Converter

UTG: $3,072
MP: $2,048
CO: $4,112.50
Hero (BTN): $1,970
SB: $2,058
BB: $2,000

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $60</font>, SB folds, BB calls $40

Flop: ($130) 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $100</font>, <font color="red">BB raises to $300</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $600</font>

brianpower 10-19-2007 08:37 AM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
54wwsf, this looks super high to me, are some of the stats from HU? Otherwise he must be trying to take down pots at all costs.

Is this why you poped him?

ArturiusX 10-19-2007 09:02 AM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
Looks good.

Yentz 10-19-2007 09:12 AM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
When I continue with air in these spots I usually float the checkraise, planning on taking it away if he checks or bet smallish on turn, since a small flop 3bet seems to represent a pretty narrow range and looks kinda bluffy.

Maybe I am wrong though, maybe your small raise actually looks like a really strong reverse Yeti? How would you play jj+ here?

snakekilla88 10-19-2007 09:16 AM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
it seems like a good spot to get rebluffed.

I guess your raise really depends on the dynamic of the match, but I would prefer actually having a hand if I take this line.

FionnMac 10-19-2007 09:19 AM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
does he know yeti theorum? floating and shoving turn/betting when checked to looks better than this, no?

carol-ann 10-19-2007 09:41 AM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
the flush is out so yeti does not fully apply (it's still a dry board so it's not completely out)

if you would do the same with JJ+ often then I don't mind this; floating him to steal on turn may be OK too

ttgirl 10-19-2007 09:49 AM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
[ QUOTE ]
the flush is out so yeti does not fully apply (it's still a dry board so it's not completely out)

if you would do the same with JJ+ often then I don't mind this; floating him to steal on turn may be OK too

[/ QUOTE ]

they have no hands together so how does balance matter here?

Ship Ship McGipp 10-19-2007 09:56 AM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
call when he shoves

FlyingStart 10-19-2007 10:18 AM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
[ QUOTE ]
call when he shoves

[/ QUOTE ]

I was gonna say something along these lines, because otherwise you are just giving diamonds a pass at free money here (by getting alot of your stack with the worst hand without racing). That said I dont like to get it in here, so I guess I dont like the play very much

Ship Ship McGipp 10-19-2007 10:23 AM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
it's so much better with aJ

Dmunnee 10-19-2007 10:25 AM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
do you ever make this play with AA, AT, or a 3?

g-p 10-19-2007 11:05 AM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
id rather 3bet with KT here

anyone like calling the flop c/r ?

TomChan 10-19-2007 11:12 AM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
ye, if also prefer calling and shoving the turn.

dangerfish 10-19-2007 11:45 AM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
You have no read that his donk is a weak/ probe bet. He is killing it over a small sample. There is a diamond draw out which if he has he is probably moving in on you and yet the only options I am hearing are float and bluff turn or bluff flop which looks more like a bluff than anything else. I like a fold here on the flop until I know what a donk from him means.

Dmunnee 10-19-2007 12:28 PM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
[ QUOTE ]
id rather 3bet with KT here

anyone like calling the flop c/r ?

[/ QUOTE ]

Only if he isn't that likely to fire the turn again and we can pick up the pot there.

xorbie 10-19-2007 12:47 PM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
[ QUOTE ]
do you ever make this play with AA, AT, or a 3?

[/ QUOTE ]

not really an issue at this point since there is no history. the issue is whether he thinks you would.

xorbie 10-19-2007 12:47 PM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
also probably a good flop to check with this particular hand.

g-p 10-19-2007 12:50 PM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
id rather 3bet with KT here

anyone like calling the flop c/r ?

[/ QUOTE ]

Only if he isn't that likely to fire the turn again and we can pick up the pot there.

[/ QUOTE ]
well duhhhhh, but all we know is that hes unknown

rand 10-19-2007 12:56 PM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
i think a flop check may be kinda standard
but w/e that doesnt really matter...

if my read was that he can let this go i think i would float the CR-but either way this gets kinda gross-which is why i think i ilke a flop check

Dmunnee 10-19-2007 01:15 PM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
id rather 3bet with KT here

anyone like calling the flop c/r ?

[/ QUOTE ]

Only if he isn't that likely to fire the turn again and we can pick up the pot there.

[/ QUOTE ]
well duhhhhh, but all we know is that hes unknown

[/ QUOTE ]

Then I don't understand why you would ask that, being that there is no good answer since duhhhhhhh he is unknown.

g-p 10-19-2007 01:16 PM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
sure there can be a good answer, you can still make assumptions based on unknowns

Dmunnee 10-19-2007 01:35 PM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
ok fair nuff. Against a complete unknown I wouldn't call the flop c/r because I think it's too high variance without knowing anything about villain. I'm curious about your thoughts.

Triumph36 10-19-2007 01:40 PM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
always be the first to bluff

i sincerely doubt you are getting rebluffed here, though your line is super bluffy

AAismyfriend 10-19-2007 02:24 PM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
[ QUOTE ]
call when he shoves

[/ QUOTE ]

aislephive 10-19-2007 02:29 PM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
I think calling and shoving over his turn bet (on a blank) is better than 3bet bluffing this particular flop, imo.

You'll get more money out of him when he is bluffing by taking this line although you do risk a little more. With a W$SF that high though he is probably super aggressive and is bluffing the flop very often.

Just to be clear, are you calling or folding if he shoves over your flop 3bet?

d2themfi 10-19-2007 02:38 PM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
I like it and probably call a shove, but agree calling a shove would be way better with AJ

jfish 10-20-2007 02:39 AM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
call when he shoves

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

are you guys being serious?

i folded to a shove.

Lefort 10-20-2007 02:45 AM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
[ QUOTE ]
I think calling and shoving over his turn bet (on a blank) is better than 3bet bluffing this particular flop, imo.

You'll get more money out of him when he is bluffing by taking this line although you do risk a little more. With a W$SF that high though he is probably super aggressive and is bluffing the flop very often.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah.. it sucks making bluffs when you can be re-bluffed and taken off of the "best hand"..

I'd much rather call and shove turn if I'm getting frisky... which is something I rarely do against unknowns..

Isura 10-20-2007 02:53 AM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
Terrible advice in this this thread. WTF at calling a shove. And we shouldn't care too much if he rebluffs us here, and I don't think he has a FD too often either.

king_of_drafts 10-20-2007 05:02 AM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think calling and shoving over his turn bet (on a blank) is better than 3bet bluffing this particular flop, imo.

You'll get more money out of him when he is bluffing by taking this line although you do risk a little more. With a W$SF that high though he is probably super aggressive and is bluffing the flop very often.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah.. it sucks making bluffs when you can be re-bluffed and taken off of the "best hand"..

I'd much rather call and shove turn if I'm getting frisky... which is something I rarely do against unknowns..

[/ QUOTE ]

I think this is best

jfish 10-20-2007 05:04 AM

Re: bluffing with no reads or history
 
i like checking flop more i think


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