Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

Would this be an acceptable 6pt. teaser this weekend?

San Diego +7.5
Kansas C. +8
Tennesse -2.5

Also, can a game ever be wongable if the line is exactly on 3 or 7. I have gotten two different repsonses for this.
For example, a home team is a three point dog. Can going from +3 to +9 be considered a wong or is that not "crossing" the 3?

-j

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

There is a FAQ question thread just for questions like these.

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

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There is a FAQ question thread just for questions like these.

[/ QUOTE ]

There is, and he's probably read it. Would it kill you to write "yes"?

Yes that qualifies as a Wong teaser.

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
There is a FAQ question thread just for questions like these.

[/ QUOTE ]

There is, and he's probably read it. Would it kill you to write "yes"?

Yes that qualifies as a Wong teaser.

[/ QUOTE ]

If he already read it why would he be bringing up questions that have already been highly discussed in that thread? Also, would it kill you to actually know the correct answer to his question? Sounds like you haven't read the FAQ either.

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

Instead of doing a 3 team teaser do three 2 teamers in a round robin.

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

Bodog has San Diego at PK...

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

I also think New Orleans may wake up this week at home. Some books have them at -2.5 so I think that might be a good play as well.

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

Not a wong, but I am using New Orleans and Green Bay in a 6.5 point teaser to move off the -3 and through to +3.5 moving through 2 key numbers.

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

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Not a wong, but I am using New Orleans and Green Bay in a 6.5 point teaser to move off the -3 and through to +3.5 moving through 1 key number and one all-but-useless number .

[/ QUOTE ]

FYP

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

OP where did you get SD +7.5?

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

I'm throwing several units on this teaser:

KC +8
TEN -1.5

at 10/11 odds

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Not a wong, but I am using New Orleans and Green Bay in a 6.5 point teaser to move off the -3 and through to +3.5 moving through 1 key number and one all-but-useless number .

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FYP

[/ QUOTE ]

I am not talking about the zero. I am talking about both 3's obviously.

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

we know what you are talking about, it's still stupid

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

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we know what you are talking about, it's still stupid

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but where's the SDG +1.5?

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

The SDG line opened between +1.5 and +2 for the Chargers. It has since moved to between +1 and even. I don't see any online books still offering +1.5.

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

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we know what you are talking about, it's still stupid

[/ QUOTE ]

Not when the -3 you are moving off of is like -120 to begin with, do you see why?

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

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[ QUOTE ]
we know what you are talking about, it's still stupid

[/ QUOTE ]

Not when the -3 you are moving off of is like -120 to begin with, do you see why?

[/ QUOTE ]

Teasing across the zero is almost always an -EV play

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
we know what you are talking about, it's still stupid

[/ QUOTE ]

Not when the -3 you are moving off of is like -120 to begin with, do you see why?

[/ QUOTE ]

Teasing across the zero is almost always an -EV play

[/ QUOTE ]

Evidence.

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

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Not a wong, but I am using New Orleans and Green Bay in a 6.5 point teaser to move off the -3 and through to +3.5 moving through 2 key numbers.

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What odds did you get on this?

It is likely -EV because the numbers between the -3 and +3 are almost worthless, while crossing the 4 and 6 in a "Wong teaser" adds more value; I'm also guessing you are paying worse than 11/10 for the extra half point you got.

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
we know what you are talking about, it's still stupid

[/ QUOTE ]

Not when the -3 you are moving off of is like -120 to begin with, do you see why?

[/ QUOTE ]

Teasing across the zero is almost always an -EV play

[/ QUOTE ]

Evidence.

[/ QUOTE ]

You are paying 2 full points just to cross the zero.

And note, I said almost

BTW Thremp, do you ever post anything constructive? Or do you just rack up posts posting 1 line rips on people?

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

Schwatt,

I think I've posted some of the most constructive things written on this board including v v recently.

I'm asking for you to provide evidence to back up a random assertion.

Also your reason is wrong BTW. You chop the 1s there which do have some value though a small amount.

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

i think teasing SD to +6 is the correct bet here, SD or Denver who gives a [censored], this one is gonna be a close "close" field goal game.

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

Forgot to add, the second 3 is not worth as much as the first. That is to say, a ~3 pt fav wins by 3 more often than loses by 3.

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

Jazzy3113:
San Diego +7.5
Kansas C. +8
Tennesse -2.5
badadd teaser, the only think i don't like is Titans -2.5, ill take Falcons to +16.5 or something like that man.

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

Somebody needs a lesson in Wong Teasers.

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

zoro never fails

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

i just don't like Titans -8 or -1 pick, its better to give the points to Atlanta.

its just my poor opinion.

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

[ QUOTE ]
Forgot to add, the second 3 is not worth as much as the first. That is to say, a ~3 pt fav wins by 3 more often than loses by 3.

[/ QUOTE ]

do you have data to support this or is this a random guess?

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Forgot to add, the second 3 is not worth as much as the first. That is to say, a ~3 pt fav wins by 3 more often than loses by 3.

[/ QUOTE ]

do you have data to support this or is this a random guess?

[/ QUOTE ]
Common sense that Vegas will hit the number more often than be off by 6 points.

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

random guess then, figured

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

My data so far indicates that a 3pt fav should win by 3 more than they should lose by 3.

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

think about the entire post very carefully, he's saying the 3 is worth significantly less to a -8 fav than to a -4 fav

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Forgot to add, the second 3 is not worth as much as the first. That is to say, a ~3 pt fav wins by 3 more often than loses by 3.

[/ QUOTE ]

do you have data to support this or is this a random guess?

[/ QUOTE ]

This is mentioned in SSB. But it should be obvious - favs win more often than they lose.

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

Not the results I was expecting to see, but teasing a 3-point favorite 6.5 points (yes, across the zero) looks about break-even.

My book pays 5/6 on a 6.5 point 2-teamer. So break even is 6/11 wins, so each leg needs at least sqrt(6/11) = 73.85% to win. I have 783 examples of a 3-point favorite from 1985 to 2006, and 73.95% of those have covered the 6.5-point teased line.

454 times the home team was favored, and covered the teased line 74.23% of the time. 329 times the road team was favored, and covered the teased line 73.56% of the time.

-Ritmo

Re: Wongable Teasers for this Weekend
 

ding ding ding!

someone who actually bothered to research before speaking..

NOW HUSH