9/27 NCAA Football
 

I just took Boise State at -10.5 on the greek, knowing I missed 10 earlier in the week. I am also thinking of taking the over of 50.5, just being that Boise State is a beast at home.

As far as the other game, Memphis and Arkansas State, I don't really know anything about these teams. I will admit I was initially surprised to see Arkansas State a 4 point favorite, but like I said, don't know anything about these teams. Was hoping to hear some opinions I could shadow.

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

Boise St -10.5 v S Miss bet 1.05u to win 1u
my indexes have BSU 10,9, and 7.5 better on a nuetral field

Arkansas St -4.5 v Memphis bet 1.05u to win 1u
I'm just playing the Pinny Lean here

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

ND +21.5, 1u
Troy -12.5/-105 1u
USF +7/-105

I took ArkSt -4/-110 last night, also for 1 unit.

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

[ QUOTE ]
S. Miss is 19-9 ATS on the road in the month of September. Boise St is 0-4 ATS in their 4th game of the season. Boise St is also 2-6 in their last 8 games as a favorite.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm waitin and hopin the line keeps climbin before I make my bet. And I have Arkansas -5.

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

I posted a lot of my amateurish thoughts on ARK ST vs. MEM towards the end of the Week 5 Early Lines thread.

I'm a big believer in the general suckitude of MEM and that ARK ST might be a tad undervalued by the public.
I love ARK ST at -4 and am still okay with them at -4.5

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

[ QUOTE ]
Boise St is 0-4 ATS in their 4th game of the season.

[/ QUOTE ]


hilarious.

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

In over/under thoughts on either of these games tonight?

YUCK: I missed the boat on Memphis Ark State...it's up to 5.5...Any value on this bet at all for taking Ark State anymore?

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

not exactly a gigantic difference between 4.5 vs. 5.5.

Not like it's incredibly likely they win by exactly 5 obviously. I don't know the exact math but if it's decent at 4.5 I have to think it's still not terrible at 5.5.
Obviously once it gets to 6 that's an entirely different story.

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

Pretty much just freeloading everyone's advice and thought here. Unfortunately I'm still on Bodog so I don't have the chance to line shop in case you were wondering why I took huge vig on some of these...

Ark St. -4 -110 2u
Alabama +3 -125 1u
Oregon -5 -110 2u
NDame +22.5 -125 2u
San Diego St. +14 -110 1u
Colorado St. +10.5 -110 1u
Michigan State +7.5 -110 1u
South Florida +7 -110 1u

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

[ QUOTE ]
In over/under thoughts on either of these games tonight?

YUCK: I missed the boat on Memphis Ark State...it's up to 5.5...Any value on this bet at all for taking Ark State anymore?

[/ QUOTE ]

Not sure if these are respectable books or not but JustBet and BetGuardian still have Ark State -3.5 -110.

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Boise St is 0-4 ATS in their 4th game of the season.

[/ QUOTE ]


hilarious.

[/ QUOTE ]

yes...this line might even top the doubling up 7 times idea

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

Oklahoma -22, 3.3u
Clemson -3, 2.1u (Greek)
Alabama +2 1/2, 2.2u
Duke +24, 2.1u (Bodog comes through with low vig for a change.)

Also, I can't place this bet as I'm a Duck fan, but I like Cal straight up at +205. I think it's a better deal than betting the spread, even at +6, as Oregon has had only two losses of 8 points or less since November of 2004.

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

[ QUOTE ]
Pretty much just freeloading everyone's advice and thought here. Unfortunately I'm still on Bodog so I don't have the chance to line shop in case you were wondering why I took huge vig on some of these...

Ark St. -4 -110 2u
Alabama +3 -125 1u
Oregon -5 -110 2u
NDame +22.5 -125 2u
San Diego St. +14 -110 1u
Colorado St. +10.5 -110 1u
Michigan State +7.5 -110 1u
South Florida +7 -110 1u

[/ QUOTE ]


I go to SDSU and even I wouldn't bet on state even with +14, I guarantee you that we get absolutely killed. Qualcomm isn't exactly a home field advantage, about 1k students show up. Bet CINCY.

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

"yes...this line might even top the doubling up 7 times idea"


link please????

Also, I'm waiting for stats on how USM performs in stadiums that have 3 lights-towers across the main grandstand instead of 4.
i believe USM has a tendency to perform better on fields that are slightly lighter green than darker green. Since BSU's field is blue I would assume this trend would remain constant....but it could depend on the percentage of USM players, coaches and alums that are partly or completely color-blind.
Also may depend on the percentage of USM players who could successfully identify Idaho on a map vs. the number of BSU players who can successfully identify Mississippi.

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

[ QUOTE ]

"yes...this line might even top the doubling up 7 times idea"


link please????

Also, I'm waiting for stats on how USM performs in stadiums that have 3 lights-towers across the main grandstand instead of 4.
i believe USM has a tendency to perform better on fields that are slightly lighter green than darker green. Since BSU's field is blue I would assume this trend would remain constant....but it could depend on the percentage of USM players, coaches and alums that are partly or completely color-blind.
Also may depend on the percentage of USM players who could successfully identify Idaho on a map vs. the number of BSU players who can successfully identify Mississippi.

[/ QUOTE ]

Idaho's panhandle gives it away, unlike Mississippi, which pretty much looks like Arkansas, Louisiana, Georgia and Alabama to the geographically challenged.

As far as the doubling seven times up idea: Witness a wonderful thread.

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

I'll take the -5.5 then. I guess you are right bob about 4.5 to 5.5, those aren't likely football numbers. Here's to Alabama State winning 25-20, lol

Plays tonight then Boise State -10.5 and Ark State -5.5

YTD
NFL 1-1 (+.3)
NCAA 0-0

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

Ark St 3.45u to win 3.0
Boise St 1.1u to win 1.0

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

Memphis +5.5 (+105) @ Arkansas St 2 Units
Memphis ML +200 @ Arkansas St 1 Unit
Memphis/Arkansas St Under 62 1 Unit

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

Boise St. ML + Ark St. ML 1 unit to win .75 units
Boise St. -4 + Boise Over 43.5 Teaser at 1.1 to win 1 unit
Boise St. -10 1.11 Unit to win 1 unit
Ark St. -3.5 1.15 units to win 1 unit
Ark St. -5.5 2.1 units to win 2 units

Hate playing both public teams tonight but I don't see any reason to like the away dogs + points tonight.

Hate being an action junkie. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

[ QUOTE ]
ND +21.5, 1u
Troy -12.5/-105 1u
USF +7/-105

I took ArkSt -4/-110 last night, also for 1 unit.

[/ QUOTE ]

USF +7.5/-110 1 more u
Oregon -5.5/-105 1u
lean UNC, ECU, Pitt +7

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

Memphis vs Arkansas State (-5.5) 2.1u to win 2u
S.Miss vs Boise -4.5 & O44 .95u to win 1u

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

[ QUOTE ]
Here's to Alabama State winning 25-20, lol

[/ QUOTE ]


Alabama != Arkansas

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

Is the Memphis/ASU game on TV anywhere?

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

[ QUOTE ]

Idaho's panhandle gives it away, unlike Mississippi, which pretty much looks like Arkansas, Louisiana, Georgia and Alabama to the geographically challenged.


[/ QUOTE ]


Obviously that is what makes the stat so critical.
If you still have more BSU players able to identify Miss than vice-versa even though Idaho is easier to find on the map then that makes it pretty obvious who is going to win the game and that you should bet the ML.

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Pretty much just freeloading everyone's advice and thought here. Unfortunately I'm still on Bodog so I don't have the chance to line shop in case you were wondering why I took huge vig on some of these...

Ark St. -4 -110 2u
Alabama +3 -125 1u
Oregon -5 -110 2u
NDame +22.5 -125 2u
San Diego St. +14 -110 1u
Colorado St. +10.5 -110 1u
Michigan State +7.5 -110 1u
South Florida +7 -110 1u

[/ QUOTE ]


I go to SDSU and even I wouldn't bet on state even with +14, I guarantee you that we get absolutely killed. Qualcomm isn't exactly a home field advantage, about 1k students show up. Bet CINCY.

[/ QUOTE ]

You're too close to the situation and you're overreacting emotionally.

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

[ QUOTE ]
Is the Memphis/ASU game on TV anywhere?

[/ QUOTE ]


I doubt it. It's the make-up of a game that got PPD due to t-storms a couple weeks ago so this would be some last-minute coverage if somebody wanted to do it.
If it's on anywhere I sure don't know about it.

Probably live-radio feed via yahoo or something if you're desperate.


Can't believe this line moved all the way to 6. I could swear it was off when I first saw it at 4 but I'm so used to seeing lines go the other way on me that I'm kind of happy that I apparently got on the 'good' side of this line.

I also decided to take BSU at -10.
Not really sold on them...and I also think USM is decent but it's such a long trip into a hostile environment that should be more hostile on a Thurs nite.
Like BSU's chances at 10.

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

ha. right side of the line-move. wrong side of the game.

MEM is already up 10-3.

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

You can get a vid feed for $8 through espn for the mem/ark st game.

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

Oh yeah, Boise is up up up! [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
Oh noes, Ark State is down by 14 [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

2nd and goal for Arky St. They can't get the ball into the damn endzone. Need to cut that lead down now.

Another damn FG. They had 1st and G on the 4 and couldn't score a TD. Damn

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

LOL DrBob is running cold. 31-6. Wait, I bet them also. Damnit.

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

When it moved that much I assumed it must have been a Dr. Bob pick.
Jeez, time to start fading Dr. Bob it looks like. He's the freaking kiss of death.

Kudos to MEM for getting their act together and playing better after their horrid loss at UCF.

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

dammit...it was a Dr Bob pick?
[censored] christ

Bob seems to be posting the wrong way...my math models have disagreed with such a large number of his picks

looks like Bob is cashing in

I had Memphis -3 @ Ark St as a 3 unit play in week 2

went Ark St this afternoon, because I say Pinny leaning

forgot it was Dr Bob time when I looked.

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

the Boise/SMU announcing is seriously tilting me

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

ARK ST has pulled to within 31-28.

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

ARK ST gogogogogogogoooooooooooooooo!

PS: My eyez are bleeding after watching Boise's blue turf for 2 quarters.

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

holy s#!t nice comeback

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

Jeeze, how do you get outscored 31-6 and then score 29 straight?

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

This game is ridiculous.
Down 31-6 at half...now ARK ST leads 35-31.
Where the hell was this team in the first half?

I have most of my action on ARK ST at -4 but did add on a little more at -5.

Re: 9/27 NCAA Football
 

5.5 here, I watched Office and Earl thinking this was over...come back...and we have a game!!