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-   -   Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=502259)

ajmargarine 09-16-2007 12:26 PM

Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
UTG has been pretty fishy. MP I haven't noticed at all. Had his stack before I got there.

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

Hero (SB): $145.45
BB: $110.15
UTG: $106.10
MP: $151.05
CO: $197.25
BTN: $54.40

Preflop: Hero is dealt J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (6 Players)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $3.00</font>, MP calls $3.00, 2 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $13.00</font>, BB folds, UTG calls $10.00, MP calls $10.00

Flop: ($40) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $33.00</font>, UTG folds, <font color="red">MP raises to $78.00</font>, Hero...

Unknown Soldier 09-16-2007 12:29 PM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
id raise a little more pre, and im getting it in here because mp looks like a fish.

orange 09-16-2007 12:31 PM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
i'd get it in.

pineapple888 09-16-2007 12:34 PM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
[ QUOTE ]
i'd get it in.

[/ QUOTE ]

Very quickly. If you're beat, you're beat, I wouldn't ever consider folding without some uber-read.

docnuclear 09-16-2007 12:40 PM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
I fold

Jay Riall 09-16-2007 12:43 PM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
Get it in. Would you even consider folding KK here(I wouldn't)? JJ is very similar to KK here.

ajmargarine 09-16-2007 12:48 PM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
[ QUOTE ]
Get it in. Would you even consider folding KK here(I wouldn't)? JJ is very similar to KK here.

[/ QUOTE ]

Would you get it in with 99 here? 99 is very similar to JJ here.

Fletcher19 09-16-2007 12:48 PM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
yeah get it in

spivey 09-16-2007 12:51 PM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
I don't think 99 is very similar to JJ, and I don't think JJ is necessarily very similar to KK. KK beats JJ and QQ, and without reads I could definitely see an unknown play these hands like this.

spivey 09-16-2007 12:51 PM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
That said I get it in.

luckybacon 09-16-2007 12:51 PM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
im almost always the poster that says yah get it in, etc b/c i dont fold. but in this spot i think its a fold.
factors
150 bb deep
very obvious we have an over pair (dont think hes going to bluff b/c i dont think he expects us to fold on an innocent board)
his range is most likely small pairs from preflop action.

ajmargarine 09-16-2007 01:00 PM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
[ QUOTE ]
im almost always the poster that says yah get it in, etc b/c i dont fold. but in this spot i think its a fold.
factors
150 bb deep
very obvious we have an over pair (dont think hes going to bluff b/c i dont think he expects us to fold on an innocent board)
his range is most likely small pairs from preflop action.

[/ QUOTE ]

Ya, when I titled my post "likely standard" it referred to this being a fold, not a puah.

Jay Riall 09-16-2007 01:03 PM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Get it in. Would you even consider folding KK here(I wouldn't)? JJ is very similar to KK here.

[/ QUOTE ]

Would you get it in with 99 here? 99 is very similar to JJ here.

[/ QUOTE ]

Probably not. TT/JJ are pretty likely hands for him to have with this line given pf and flop. Also, AJ/AT have an extra 12% equity vs 99.

Nick Royale 09-16-2007 01:03 PM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Get it in. Would you even consider folding KK here(I wouldn't)? JJ is very similar to KK here.

[/ QUOTE ]

Would you get it in with 99 here? 99 is very similar to JJ here.

[/ QUOTE ]
Many call a raise with JJ/TT preflop. Obv KK&gt;&gt;&gt;99. The differance between KK and JJ isn't insignificant either, because AsKs/AsQs/KsQs/QsJs/KsJs etc will probably make up for a decent part of his range. I'd say KK&gt;JJ&gt;&gt;&gt;99.

Jay Riall 09-16-2007 01:04 PM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Get it in. Would you even consider folding KK here(I wouldn't)? JJ is very similar to KK here.

[/ QUOTE ]

Would you get it in with 99 here? 99 is very similar to JJ here.

[/ QUOTE ]
Many call a raise with JJ/TT preflop. Obv KK&gt;&gt;&gt;99. The differance between KK and JJ isn't insignificant either, because AsKs/AsQs/KsQs/QsJs/KsJs will probably make up for a decent part of his range. I'd say KK&gt;JJ&gt;&gt;&gt;99.

[/ QUOTE ]

Agree. Maybe I came across a bit strong with saying JJ is very similar to KK, but there isn't a huge difference imo.

ReptileHouse 09-16-2007 01:11 PM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
JJ is really, really close. I probably pitch it here without a read. I'm not sure I completely like that answer, though. I snap call (with moderate fist pump) KK. I insta-fold 99.

thedustbustr 09-16-2007 04:14 PM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
well clearly the responses are very divided, which does mean that this is a pretty nasty spot, not at all a snap-anything.

lets consider if there are any other lines we might take where are course of action is not so fuzzy.

how about a flop checkraise?

pineapple888 09-16-2007 08:08 PM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
[ QUOTE ]
well clearly the responses are very divided, which does mean that this is a pretty nasty spot, not at all a snap-anything.

lets consider if there are any other lines we might take where are course of action is not so fuzzy.

how about a flop checkraise?

[/ QUOTE ]

Don't particularly like other lines. Check-through is pretty ugly. With JJ I think you just have to drive the action here.

Regarding why I'm getting it in (apologies for not explaining) we have $100 left and $70 in the middle after our bet. Given that many people overplay their middle pairs in this type of spot, there's no way I'm leaving that money out there. If he's good/bad enough to play AA/KK this way, GG him. So this is typically 99-QQ with other garbage we beat thrown in, plus some sets that we lose to. That makes JJ a pretty easy shove to me. TT is when I would puke and probably fold.

cs3 09-17-2007 12:45 AM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
villain is only raising:
1) hands that have you crushed - QQ+ (hes unknown so big pairs are very possible, and sets (he called a raise and then a reraise, so small pp's very likely)

2) combo draws that have greater equity than JJ (AsXs where X = 4/Q/K)

3) pp's 66-TT (very unlikely because people dont generally [censored] around in 3 bet pots, and especially not in multiway 3 bet pots, and ESPECIALLY not 150bb's

the frequency of (1) + (2) &gt;&gt;&gt; (3)

pretty standard looking fold imo

Lurker. 09-17-2007 01:07 AM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
[ QUOTE ]
i'd get it in.

[/ QUOTE ]
care to elaborate....i'm usually folding in spots like these. I'd like to hear a case for shoving....

pineapple888 09-17-2007 01:52 AM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
[ QUOTE ]
villain is only raising:
1) hands that have you crushed - QQ+ (hes unknown so big pairs are very possible, and sets (he called a raise and then a reraise, so small pp's very likely)

2) combo draws that have greater equity than JJ (AsXs where X = 4/Q/K)

3) pp's 66-TT (very unlikely because people dont generally [censored] around in 3 bet pots, and especially not in multiway 3 bet pots, and ESPECIALLY not 150bb's

the frequency of (1) + (2) &gt;&gt;&gt; (3)

pretty standard looking fold imo

[/ QUOTE ]

Again, we can be clear dogs here and it's an easy shove because there is so much money in the middle. I guess anyone interested can plug in their own numbers and figure it out for themselves.

sightless 09-17-2007 02:01 AM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
[ QUOTE ]
I fold

[/ QUOTE ]

FreakDaddy 09-17-2007 04:39 AM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
A rough guess, you have over 60% equity and 1/3rd of your stack in, it's a shove. The primary problem is, can we take out hands like mid over pairs from his range, and say he isn't raising those hands on the flop, I don't really think you can... thus...

Your pre-flop play kind of stuck you in this spot... it happens.

saxhoe 09-17-2007 04:54 AM

Re: Likely standard flop spot in 3b 3way pot
 
I think this look very much like a set. Since you haven't noticed MP he is probably a nit. You represented 1010+ and still he makes a small "push me raise". I'd fold withóut reads, but maybe the Prima NL100 plays different than FTP...


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