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-   -   Week 4 NCAA early lines thread (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=502256)

bills217 09-16-2007 12:13 PM

Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
Schedule is here: http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/schedu...amp;groupId=80

Projecting: Kentucky @ Arkansas -6.5, O/U 68.5

also

Florida -20 @ Ole Miss
UGA @ Alabama -4
Syracuse @ Louisville -35
South Carolina @ LSU -12

More to come later. A game that really intrigues me is New Mexico State at Auburn. NMSU can put points up. If Auburn's offense is really THAT bad...this could be dangerous.

NajdorfDefense 09-16-2007 01:11 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
Mich even?
Miami -1?

bills217 09-16-2007 01:13 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
I'm thinking PSU has to be favored against Michigan. -3ish?

Also - does Michigan get to play all their games at home this year?

NajdorfDefense 09-16-2007 01:17 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
is Henne going to play? I guess I could see PSU -2 if not.

NajdorfDefense 09-16-2007 01:18 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
Troy -13

gila 09-16-2007 01:20 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
[ QUOTE ]
I'm thinking PSU has to be favored against Michigan. -3ish?

Also - does Michigan get to play all their games at home this year?

[/ QUOTE ]

"Just" 8 of them.

bills217 09-16-2007 04:43 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
Upon further review, 35 may not be enough for Syracuse against Louisville.

bills217 09-16-2007 04:55 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
Does anyone know if Marcus Monk is going to play for Arkansas against Kentucky?

bills217 09-16-2007 05:03 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
Michigan State @ Notre Dame anyone? MSU -11?

Austiger 09-16-2007 05:09 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
[ QUOTE ]
Does anyone know if Marcus Monk is going to play for Arkansas against Kentucky?

[/ QUOTE ]

He will not.

bills217 09-16-2007 05:12 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
If Monk is certain not to play, I revise my projections for that game down to 4.5 and 66.5, respectively.

MicroBob 09-16-2007 05:21 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
[ QUOTE ]
Upon further review, 35 may not be enough for Syracuse against Louisville.

[/ QUOTE ]


I know SYR is bad and LOU is even more motivated now. But the way LOU has played in back to back weeks I just don't think this many points is justified.

bills217 09-16-2007 05:25 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
But have you seen the way Syracuse has played? They have not been remotely competitive against mediocre competition playing in the Carrier Dome.

Louisville is notorious for absolutely annihilating weaker opponents at home (MTSU notwithstanding), and the Syracuse offense has been so bad, I can't see them getting more than about 17-20 against even U of L's D.

U of L will be pissed off, and trying to stay in the BCS race and keep Brohm in the Heisman race with about 6 TD's.

More than 35 would be a bit much, but I'm hopping on at 31, for example. Prolly at 35 too.

bills217 09-16-2007 05:28 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
Judging from articles/box scores, I think BYU is likely to be underrated and Air Force overrated at this juncture, but the problem is I don't know what to expect the spread to be...BYU -10?

MyTurn2Raise 09-16-2007 05:51 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
Gus Malzon(sp?) is a genius. That Tulsa offense v BYU was unreal. He's the coach that should get a head spot next.

MyTurn2Raise 09-16-2007 05:51 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
I hate wasting a half hour hitting refresh....put the damn lines up

bills217 09-16-2007 05:57 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
[ QUOTE ]
Gus Malzon(sp?) is a genius. That Tulsa offense v BYU was unreal. He's the coach that should get a head spot next.

[/ QUOTE ]

Malzahn I think. BTW, BYU had 694 yards of offense and lost.

Edit: Also nearly doubled UCLA in yardage and lost.

pirateboy 09-16-2007 06:30 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
Illinois at Indiana? PK? I wonder....

pirateboy 09-16-2007 06:32 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
Bookmaker is now open for NCAA

gila 09-16-2007 06:33 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
Curious what lsu/s.c. will be. Guess?

Austiger 09-16-2007 06:36 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
[ QUOTE ]
Curious what lsu/s.c. will be. Guess?

[/ QUOTE ]

-17

pirateboy 09-16-2007 06:36 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
It's up as -17

pirateboy 09-16-2007 06:37 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
Wow Illinois went from PK to -3 in about 3 minutes.

NajdorfDefense 09-16-2007 06:37 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
TxAM +3

NajdorfDefense 09-16-2007 06:38 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
MichSt -12.5, 2u

pirateboy 09-16-2007 06:38 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
Jumped on:

Cal -17
Kentucky +7
Pitt -7.5
San Jose State +1
Purdue -11.5

NajdorfDefense 09-16-2007 06:41 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
Troy -8, 2u

iggymcfly 09-16-2007 06:44 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
I'm not doing any Sunday bets this week, but Oregon -17 vs. Stanford and South Carolina +17 vs. LSU both look good.

MyTurn2Raise 09-16-2007 06:45 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
argh...just missed Purdue -11.5

MyTurn2Raise 09-16-2007 06:46 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
POTW: Indiana +3 v Illinois bet 3.3u to win 3u
Purdue -13.5 @ Minny bet 2.2u to win 2u
tOSU -23.5 @ N'Western bet 2.2u to win 2u
Kansas -30 v FIU bet 2.2u to win 2u

MyTurn2Raise 09-16-2007 06:47 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
Purdue at 11.5 would've been my pick of the week

gila 09-16-2007 06:49 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
What book are you guys getting these "first" lines at? Bookmaker?

pirateboy 09-16-2007 06:51 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
i said that earlier

MyTurn2Raise 09-16-2007 06:51 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
yeah

NajdorfDefense 09-16-2007 06:53 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
Hate to lay the wood on the road, but:
PSU -3, 1u

bills217 09-16-2007 06:53 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
#@!#$!#$#$! BOOKMAKER

I had Michigan State -9.5 at the confirm screen AND THEY #$1@#!#$#$! CHANGED IT $#!$#!$#!#$!

NajdorfDefense 09-16-2007 06:54 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
[ QUOTE ]
Troy -8, 2u

[/ QUOTE ]

Troy -9.5, 1u. I see where this is going.

bills217 09-16-2007 06:55 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
Very active week for me. Will post plays when things slow down.

NajdorfDefense 09-16-2007 06:56 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
UCF -7, 1u

MyTurn2Raise 09-16-2007 06:57 PM

Re: Week 4 NCAA early lines thread
 
[ QUOTE ]
Hate to lay the wood on the road, but:
PSU -3, 1u

[/ QUOTE ]

yep, I just did that
plus
Georgia +4 for 1u

both make me sick


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