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-   -   25/50 intressting turn situation. (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=501140)

beach1e 09-14-2007 04:09 PM

25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
Couldnt find any converter for bossmedia network.
Is there any?

Fi is a 30/22/2 with almost who plays very aggresive.
Have only played 1k hands against him but he seems to play pretty well.

BossMedia Game #753376766: Table Table TH 708 - $25.00/$50.00 - No Limit Hold'em - 19:02:41 - 2007/09/14
Seat 1: EL-MILAGRO ($5435.00)
Seat 2: afkagain ($5000.00)
Seat 3: Alusch54 ($5441.00)
Seat 4: HERO ($4894.00)
Seat 5: olemandus1 ($9706.44)
EL-MILAGRO posts the big blind of $50.00
olemandus1 posts the small blind of $25.00
HERO is the button
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to HERO [Ah Th]
afkagain folds
Alusch54 folds
HERO raises $150.00
olemandus1 calls $150.00
EL-MILAGRO calls $150.00
*** FLOP *** [Ts Ad 9d]
olemandus1 checks
EL-MILAGRO checks
HERO bets $350.00
olemandus1 calls $350.00
EL-MILAGRO folds
*** TURN *** [Ts Ad 9d] [Qc]
olemandus1 checks
HERO bets $800.00
olemandus1 raises $6300.00

revlis87 09-14-2007 04:34 PM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
flip a coin I think, probably fold.

king_of_drafts 09-14-2007 05:05 PM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
call pretty fast

RandomUser 09-14-2007 05:55 PM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
Has he overbet this much before?

I would probably call here because I think you are a marginal favorite against his range, but the size of the bet makes it extremely high variance when you are probably 55-60% at most.

Many of the hands that are ahead of you would probably have reraised preflop (AQ and any set) which makes it a more difficult call.

beach1e 09-14-2007 06:44 PM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
same action and we hold A9?

AAismyfriend 09-14-2007 07:02 PM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
[ QUOTE ]
call pretty fast

[/ QUOTE ]

captZEEbo 09-15-2007 12:05 AM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
call pretty fast

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]what kind of range are you guys putting him on for this shove to make it a call fast?

freeucm 09-15-2007 01:51 AM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
Wow no wonder why people say hey 350 to stack him with gutshot if you suggest shoving. Thats so bad... to call here. I mean seriously what do you beat AJ?
This guy probably has JK, AQ, 99 25 combos right there, lets not get crazy and add into the mix QQ. Noone does this with AK if they do they are a bad player.

greg nice 09-15-2007 02:37 AM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
if you are thinking KJ is that possible then QT, Q9, Jx diamonds, etc tons of other combos he can have just as easily wtf

raptor517 09-15-2007 04:03 AM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
[ QUOTE ]
BossMedia Game #753376766: Table Table TH 708 - $25.00/$50.00 - No Limit Hold'em - 19:02:41 - 2007/09/14
Seat 1: EL-MILAGRO ($5435.00)
Seat 2: afkagain ($5000.00)
Seat 3: Alusch54 ($5441.00)
Seat 4: HERO ($4894.00)
Seat 5: olemandus1 ($9706.44)
EL-MILAGRO posts the big blind of $50.00
olemandus1 posts the small blind of $25.00
HERO is the button
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to HERO [Ah Th]
afkagain folds
Alusch54 folds
HERO raises $150.00
olemandus1 calls $150.00
EL-MILAGRO calls $150.00
*** FLOP *** [Ts Ad 9d]
olemandus1 checks
EL-MILAGRO checks
HERO bets $350.00
olemandus1 calls $350.00
EL-MILAGRO folds
*** TURN *** [Ts Ad 9d] [Qc]
olemandus1 checks
HERO bets $800.00
olemandus1 raises $6300.00

[/ QUOTE ]

hahahahahahha call really really fast.

Sasuke 09-15-2007 04:24 AM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
Looks pretty much like 8j..

RandomUser 09-15-2007 06:41 AM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
AQ QQ 99 probably reraise preflop.

I think he is more likely to have a huge combo draw or pair+draw. Yes, he could have J8 or KJ suited, but he could just as easily have Jxdd or QJdd or similar and trying to push you off your A with a semibluff.

I think it is a marginal call, but still a call.

Kirkrrr 09-15-2007 06:48 AM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
I was in the insta-call camp at first but thinking about this some more I'm really not that sure... he should have figured out by the turn that you're not screwing around and have a big enough hand, and that turn card hits your whole range perfectly so he should realize it's a pretty horrible card to make a move on... I don't know, I probably wouldn't be able to get away from this but it's anything but an insta-call, if you think about it.

Kirk

freeucm 09-15-2007 06:50 AM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
[ QUOTE ]
AQ QQ 99 probably reraise preflop.

I think he is more likely to have a huge combo draw or pair+draw. Yes, he could have J8 or KJ suited, but he could just as easily have Jxdd or QJdd or similar and trying to push you off your A with a semibluff.

I think it is a marginal call, but still a call.

[/ QUOTE ]

Its a bad call.

HeheOkok 09-15-2007 11:19 AM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
[ QUOTE ]
Looks pretty much like 8j..

[/ QUOTE ]

klownage 09-15-2007 12:16 PM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
calling is really marginal at best....

greywolf 09-15-2007 12:28 PM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
This is marginal either way. The queen hits your range well and villains flop call is weak so he if he balanced he should CR when he hit his straight draw and some of his drawing hands since you will be betting the turn alot, esp a queen turn. Maybe also flopped sets if he doesnt reraise pre with 99 or TT.

AT here is IMO kind of a drawing line to where you should be calling.

omikron 09-16-2007 09:57 AM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
I think this is a straight or a combo draw with great equity. The only two pair is AQ.

Tough spot. I'd lean towards folding.

buddha01 09-16-2007 01:05 PM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
I would have bet more on the flop fearing the flush draw, what normally happens when you have two pair and there is a flush draw is you bet light and a big fear card comes down, I dislike that a lot and so bet hard in those spots,

The queen is a big danger card for you, if the guy has trips so be it but a big bet on the flop A BIG BET on the flop would have been better and then if nothing peels off on the turn you have to be able to easly make a pot sized bet or take a pot sized bet, the guy going all in is scary I would lay it down Its to much money and that tied with me not protecting "My pot"..

Its a fold for me but of course you were in top shape on the flop, I get the feeling he would have called an all in bet from you on the flop,, straight and flush draw? ,

what ever what do I know, results?

MadeHand 09-17-2007 06:57 AM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
I'm folding. Funny I had the same situation last night, 2 pair and I put him on the straight, called though as we weren't deep. Sure enough he had it only it was the junk end but he had it nonetheless. J8.

van_exel_fan 09-17-2007 11:52 AM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
I only see AQ and J8 to make sense. Both those hands raise big because there are several river cards that weaken their hand (board pairing, king, jack, diamond).

AB_illusive 09-23-2007 06:52 AM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
Against most people, he's not doing this often with draws, and the rest of his range, you're crushed against it, drawing to 2 or maybe 4 outs. But it depends heavily on how he views you.. so some info on your own stats, maybe sn if you like, would help.

- AB

praios 09-23-2007 04:14 PM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
i call but its close

markuisis 09-24-2007 10:49 AM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
I think most sets and two pair hands re-raise flop in a multi-way hand on a board like that, I don't think KJ chases the gutter here and if he had KJ of diamonds, I think he's re-raising the flop to try and fold an ace or get it in there as he is roughly a coinflip versus ur range, I think he does this with any other combo/big draws on the flop (qjd etc). So what hands do u guys put him on? Do u think hes flat calling pre-flop with AQ or QQ? What about the other hands that might play like this: Q10, Q9, J8, is he calling out of the sb with these? I'm just not sure what u guys think he has here since I think most big hands (big draws, sets, combo draws, two pairs) play that flop pretty fast, so I think the queen must have changed the situation but for that to be the case he must either be calling oop pf with some pretty junky hands (Q10, Q9, J8), or smooth calling
pf oop with AQ or QQ - both seem unlikely

markuisis 09-24-2007 11:25 AM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
I think the most likely hands here are J8s and AQ though so I would fold, both would prob play this way if he cold calls pf with AQ sometimes.

rand 09-24-2007 03:30 PM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
call, he could be shoving so many things here that have reasonable Equity (gutters + FD + Pairs) against a call knowing that you cant call without the eff nuts

ghbond 09-25-2007 10:22 AM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
Looks like KJ, trips, or combo draw. You are behind two of those and you've shown him only A, so villain is sure you don't have str8 and wants you to shut up and ship.

If he has 2 pr should have raise flop. To put him on bluff you would have had to see him do similar b4, and with QT9 on board he has to have considered 2 pr are likely, making call to his shove a high danger.

If behind, 4 outs. Fold it.

09-28-2007 03:40 PM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
I'd fold here. I almost always see a better hand when I call in a spot like this one.

delegator 10-04-2007 04:59 PM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
If anyone wonders i had j8 and hero called. i thaught he had set so i went allinn for value.

riverboatking 10-04-2007 09:59 PM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
[ QUOTE ]
If anyone wonders i had j8 and hero called. i thaught he had set so i went allinn for value.

[/ QUOTE ]

you weren't trying to bluff him off KJ?

delegator 10-05-2007 12:31 AM

Re: 25/50 intressting turn situation.
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
If anyone wonders i had j8 and hero called. i thaught he had set so i went allinn for value.

[/ QUOTE ]

you weren't trying to bluff him off KJ? [/quote
Haha
[img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]


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