Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

Ok some of you may remember my previous post where I explained the simply insane number of bad beats I am expected to tolerate on a daily basis. Well I played through that bad patch and actually had a nice upswing where I actually won with my sets etc which took me back up to break even and restored my br to it's former glory.

Finally I thought, I can start building my br up to 1k and move up to NL50. How silly of me to naively believe my tangle of variance biatch slapping me in the face was over. Yesterday I won only 50% of my big pots and I was favourite in 90% of them.

Today I thought I would start keeping track of things. And it is the same. 50% OF MY BIG POTS I LOSE. Below is a graph of todays results. Every medium to big pot I lose where I am favourite up to river (and where they are not all ins I have made big bets to give opponents incorrect odds... I almost never slow play at NL25 fullring) I HAVE MARKED IN BLUE POTS I SHOULD HAVE WON. Every single big pot I won I did not suck out on people and that's fine because I don't play cards that way where suckouts are more than slightly likely, I'm just saying I wasn't lucky in those pots. The green vertical lines are pots where I admit I wasn't favourite and deserved to lose.

http://img236.imageshack.us/img236/2689/zzzkc7.jpg

I don't see the point of giving hand histories for all but off the graph and a hand I just finished playing I had top two pair against an over aggro opponent. I put a chunky overbet on the flop and a big bet on the turn. By the river the board is AK610J I had AK and he raised me all in and I folded and he showed a Q6.

Every generic bad beat you can imagine not involving quads I have had in the last two weeks.

This can't keep going on.

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

[ ] (. )( .)
[x] nitring
[x] OP plays for candybars

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

So you are bitching about losing three BIs and then getting back to even?

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

You can't read or are extremely stupid.

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

[x] (. )( .)

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

[x] OP sucks
[x] OP needs friends

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

[ QUOTE ]
[x] OP sucks
[x] OP needs friends

[/ QUOTE ]

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

I don't care what you all say. I'm posting this as a future reminder to myself. Only I know here I am experiencing an incredible run of bad luck. If I was having this run of bad luck at a level where the opponents are good I would be like 50 buyins down.

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

You were down 77$ not 77k right?

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

[ ] OP is winning player
[x] ????
[ ] PROFIT!!11

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

OP calls us stupid but plays 25nl. lol

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

Just get a job and deposit $1k in

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

Move up where they respect your raises.

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

[ QUOTE ]
[x] (. )( .)

[/ QUOTE ]

That looks amazingly accurate lol

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

He already had the "STORYOFMYLIFE" thread ready to post probably.

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[x] ( . )( . )

[/ QUOTE ]


[/ QUOTE ]

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

[ QUOTE ]
So you are bitching about losing three BIs and then getting back to even?

[/ QUOTE ]

OP stop posting about this. 3 buy in downswings in 1500 hands are utterly standard, this happens to everyone and its definitely nothing to post about. if you cant handle the swings then stop playing poker. period.

by the way the swings get bigger as you move up in limits.

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

upswing of justice reminded me of fist of potential.

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

OP,

Your SN is very fitting. Wise choice.

all the best,
keikiwai

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

by the way the swings get bigger as you move up in limits.

[/ QUOTE ]

Stop it your scaring me

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

This isn't a "downswing".

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

swong?

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

Looks like japanese candlesticks

meeting resistance at 0 dollars. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

Wow, this is like a typical 3 hours of play.

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

ysscky

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

hahaha

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

You should probably just post every single hand you ever play and save us the suspense.

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
So you are bitching about losing three BIs and then getting back to even?

[/ QUOTE ]

OP stop posting about this. 3 buy in downswings in 1500 hands are utterly standard, this happens to everyone and its definitely nothing to post about. if you cant handle the swings then stop playing poker. period.

by the way the swings get bigger as you move up in limits.

[/ QUOTE ]

You didn't read what I said. THIS HAPPENS EVERY DAY. EVERY DAY FOR THE LAST TWO WEEKS EXCEPT A THREE DAY GAP I HAVE LOST OVER 50% OF THE BIG POTS WHERE I AM FAVOURITE.

Typical example just happened five minutes ago:

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero ($23.50)
BB ($13)
UTG ($13.50)
UTG+1 ($24.65)
MP1 ($4)
MP2 ($41.30)
MP3 ($18.45)
CO ($20.55)
Button ($10.85)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $0.75</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 raises to $1.25</font>, MP2 calls $1.25, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, Hero calls $1.15, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG calls $0.50.

Flop: ($5.25) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $4</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $12.25</font>, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, Hero calls $8.25.

Turn: ($29.75) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>

River: ($29.75) T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>

Final Pot: $29.75
(He had JK off suit)

Since I posted this topic I have had four big pots (including the above) where I was big favourite. I won one, lost three. I keep playing hoping my luck will go back to normal how it used to but day after day the same pattern of getting sucked out on has ripped my still bearting heat out in one fluid motion and thrown it against the bedroom wall at the force of 13 tomahawk missiles... thereby crushing my spirit.

And literally just this second my aces get cracked AGAIN. I want to know wtf is going on here.

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

:P

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

lol

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

I don't believe poker is rigged. But hundreds of thousands of people play. For every very ultra lucky person out there who keeps hitting his outs an abnormal number of times there is poor shmuck like me who repeatedly suffers severe pawnage at the hands of 72 offsuit. If you are one of those abnormal luckers please take a break for a second and thank that hoe called variance.

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

[x]print screen

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

[ QUOTE ]
You didn't read what I said. THIS HAPPENS EVERY DAY. EVERY DAY FOR THE LAST TWO WEEKS EXCEPT A THREE DAY GAP I HAVE LOST OVER 50% OF THE BIG POTS WHERE I AM FAVOURITE.


[/ QUOTE ]

well post a graph with you having a real downswing and people might be a tiny bit more sympathetic

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

[ QUOTE ]
I don't believe poker is rigged. But hundreds of thousands of people play. For every very ultra lucky person out there who keeps hitting his outs an abnormal number of times there is poor shmuck like me who repeatedly suffers severe pawnage at the hands of 72 offsuit. If you are one of those abnormal luckers please take a break for a second and thank that hoe called variance.

[/ QUOTE ]

[x] Die

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

OP,

i won 35k yesterday. in 208 hands. suck my balls haha

regards,

jeff

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

OP your actually really lucky. You have a great opportunity ahead of you...

Simply watch for your luck to change, be it poker, or just walking down the street and finding a $5 bill. When this happens move up a few levels and profit a ton.

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

theres a bbv thread in uNL.. go find it=D

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

[X] upswing of justice

Re: Downswing Pt 2 - Graph of today
 

6 big pots today I lose 4 and win 2. I should have won five of them. The one I was behind was KK vs AA on a dry flop and I had KK... even that is just typical of my luck.

Two of the four I lose both went exactly the same way:

Hit a set on drawy board, put in big raise, donk puts me all in, I call, he hits his straight on the river. One was open ended and the other wasnt. That has has happened five times in a row.

I will play for two or three more days. If it continues I will take a break.

I found this program Poker EV I am going to put my results into it now.