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-   -   Teaser NFL WEEK 1 (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=496908)

Meeks2 09-09-2007 05:49 AM

Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
I looking at a four team, 12 point teaser:

Denver @ Buffalo: Denver +10
Steelers @ Browms: Steelers +8.5
Patriots @ Jets : Pats +6.5
Bucs @ Seattle: Hawks +7

good bet?

rsigley 09-09-2007 09:55 AM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
nope

Meeks2 09-09-2007 10:37 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
Of course its a good bet. I covered all spreads by atleast 8 points today and I am 6-1 this year at teasers. know your roll donk

brendanb438 09-09-2007 10:52 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
OP how about you go and jump off a bridge TARD.

Continue to cross the zero with these DONK teasers. You will go broke you DONKEY.

siccjay 09-09-2007 10:56 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
Looked like a pretty good bet to me.

kdog 09-09-2007 10:57 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
[ QUOTE ]
Of course its a good bet

[/ QUOTE ]

No, bad bets can win too and fortunately for you that's what happened in this case. Here are some reasons it was a bad bet:
1- 4 team 12 pt teasers are -EV to start with
2- on all 4 of these games you wasted a point crossing the 0
3- even with 12 pts/game you failed to capture the 7 with NE and only got half of it on another game

Meeks2 09-10-2007 12:16 AM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
Bad Bet?

[censored] the -EV
there was no way possible that i could lose.
All of these teams with these spreads were absolutly without a doubt locks. There was no way that the favorites here were not going to cover getting atleast a touch down. They didn't even need the points they all covered by a huge margin, didnt even have to sweat one game out. I'll take this bet all day. Like i said i'm 6-1 this year playing this type of teasers. Now In college football where there is a larger varience in scoring margins, then yeah its tougher. But the favorite getting a touch down or more in the NFL is money in the bank. So you can keep hating on the odds but you can't deny the results.

B-P-L 09-10-2007 01:38 AM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
I agree with Meeks. I understand the theoretical reasons as to why this bet 'might' be -eV. But c'mon, those were all LOCKS.

ActionTodd 09-10-2007 09:31 AM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
so how much did you bet?
and how much did you win?

prad 09-10-2007 11:29 AM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
[ QUOTE ]
Bad Bet?

[censored] the -EV
there was no way possible that i could lose.
All of these teams with these spreads were absolutly without a doubt locks. There was no way that the favorites here were not going to cover getting atleast a touch down. They didn't even need the points they all covered by a huge margin, didnt even have to sweat one game out. I'll take this bet all day. Like i said i'm 6-1 this year playing this type of teasers. Now In college football where there is a larger varience in scoring margins, then yeah its tougher. But the favorite getting a touch down or more in the NFL is money in the bank. So you can keep hating on the odds but you can't deny the results.

[/ QUOTE ]

If these were such locks then it would have been better to bet all 4 straight up. There are no such things as 4 locks in one week of NFL football, even when teased to 12 pts. These are fun to sweat, but I wouldn't plan on consistently building your roll with this these plays.

Daliman 09-10-2007 12:20 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
Ladies and gentlemen, I present to you the reason books still offer teasers.

TheNoodleMan 09-10-2007 12:23 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
[ QUOTE ]
Of course its a good bet. I covered all spreads by atleast 8 points today and I am 6-1 this year at teasers. know your roll donk

[/ QUOTE ]

Maybe before you start calling people donks you could at least tell us what odds you got.

B00T 09-10-2007 01:35 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
this forum has been injected with a huge dose of retardedness the last 2 weeks

make it stop

kaboshedx 09-10-2007 02:21 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
i love it, more info to fade.

Homer 09-10-2007 02:39 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
i don't like that i'm recognizing bbvtard avatars in the sports forum.

brendanb438 09-10-2007 03:07 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
The beginning of Football season always brings in the tards.

Can this forum be setup so that someone first posting here has to check off that they read the FAQ? This way when they start these dumbshiat posts they can be banned right away?

Meeks2 09-10-2007 04:36 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
No Donk...they were not locks without teasing the 12 points. If i bet them straight up then i would have had to sweat them out. With teasing they became without a doubt locks. Doing these teasers is the easiest money i have ever made. Swinging 12 points in the NFL makes it just too easy... 8-1 this year playing this type of teaser and going 9-1 after tonights games. I completly understand you don;t like -EV, but New England GETTING a touchdown against the Jets (which they murdered) I dont see the problem.

dippydoo 09-10-2007 04:41 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
[ QUOTE ]
No Donk...they were not locks without teasing the 12 points. If i bet them straight up then i would have had to sweat them out. With teasing they became without a doubt locks. Doing these teasers is the easiest money i have ever made. Swinging 12 points in the NFL makes it just too easy... 8-1 this year playing this type of teaser and going 9-1 after tonights games. I completly understand you don;t like -EV, but New England GETTING a touchdown against the Jets (which they murdered) I dont see the problem.

[/ QUOTE ]

It is your money, so there is no problem. Do with it what you like.

However, I am worried for you since, you talk about "locks" rather than value. Picking a high percentage of winners on 12 pt teasers is easy, but making money (long term) from doing so is not.

brendanb438 09-10-2007 04:42 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
Meeks, really STFU you are sounding dumber with each post you make here.

selurah 09-10-2007 05:06 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
[ QUOTE ]
Bad Bet?

[censored] the -EV

[/ QUOTE ]

Bwhahaha, yeah that math [censored] has no business in gambling man.

[ QUOTE ]

there was no way possible that i could lose.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah b/c the books would definitely offer 12 point teasers if the player "couldn't lose" playing them.

[ QUOTE ]

All of these teams with these spreads were absolutly without a doubt locks.

[/ QUOTE ]

Anybody who uses the word "lock" when they bet is either a tout or an absolute noob.

[ QUOTE ]
With teasing they became without a doubt locks. Doing these teasers is the easiest money i have ever made. Swinging 12 points in the NFL makes it just too easy

[/ QUOTE ]

Yep, locks and easy money. Thats why offshore books spring up like dandelions.



[ QUOTE ]
I dont see the problem.

[/ QUOTE ]


This is very obvious.

-----------

The beginning of every major sports season brings out the sports betting legends who never have losing weeks and have their "special" plays (like your 12 point teasers) that are absolute locks. Amazing how few of these guys are left standing come playoff time.

prad 09-10-2007 05:54 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
My prediction is the "The Locksmith" Meeks will not be heard from after week 3. Everyone is a Donk and Meeks has it figured out seems to be his attitude. Books Beware!!!!

Meeks2 09-10-2007 07:15 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
So you theres no way you would put $300 on New England Getting 6 1/2 against the Jets at New Endland and Pittsburg getting 8 1/2 against Cleveland?

If not your retarded....that is the easiest money ever made...there is no way to argue that this is an easy win

kaboshedx 09-10-2007 07:19 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
[ QUOTE ]
So you theres no way you would put $300 on New England Getting 6 1/2 against the Jets at New Endland and Pittsburg getting 8 1/2 against Cleveland?

If not your retarded....that is the easiest money ever made...there is no way to argue that this is an easy win

[/ QUOTE ]

ok gimmick account is played out

kdog 09-10-2007 08:48 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
[ QUOTE ]
So you theres no way you would put $300 on New England Getting 6 1/2 against the Jets at New Endland and Pittsburg getting 8 1/2 against Cleveland?

If not your retarded....that is the easiest money ever made...there is no way to argue that this is an easy win

[/ QUOTE ]

With two other teams also having to win? No I wouldn't. Especially New England. You think they couldn't lose by a touchdown? On the road against a playoff team who also happens to be their biggest rival? This is the NFL dude. Any team CAN win any week against anybody.

But, whatever. You obviously know more than the rest of us so carry on.

Thremp 09-10-2007 09:07 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
[ QUOTE ]
So you theres no way you would put $300 on New England Getting 6 1/2 against the Jets at New Endland and Pittsburg getting 8 1/2 against Cleveland?

If not your retarded....that is the easiest money ever made...there is no way to argue that this is an easy win

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, you'll book this at 10-1 for me?

NajdorfDefense 09-10-2007 11:17 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
[ QUOTE ]
I agree with Meeks. I understand the theoretical reasons as to why this bet 'might' be -eV. But c'mon, those were all LOCKS.

[/ QUOTE ]

No, this is a lock:
http://img131.imageshack.us/img131/480/tequilaqd7.jpg

IggyWH 09-10-2007 11:28 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
4, 2, then it doesn't make a difference.

Thremp 09-10-2007 11:46 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
Iggy,

4>2>3>5>>>>>6>>>& gt;>>>>>>>>>>>&gt ;>>>>>1


5 is very unknown. Her arm doesn't look fat so I'll give her the benefit of my imagination.

IggyWH 09-10-2007 11:53 PM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
After 4, they would be getting it doggie, so it really doesn't matter at that point. 1 looks like she could have some good hangers for that.

Thremp 09-11-2007 12:00 AM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
Meh, 3 looks pretty hot, but it might just be that I'm imagining if I stare any harder that the last .75 inches of bikini bottom will disappear.

LBJ 09-11-2007 12:11 AM

Re: Teaser NFL WEEK 1
 
3 and 4 are the hottest.

Naj, with this picture and the chick I stare at in your avatar every day, I think I'd give my left leg to own your Photobucket account.


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