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-   -   std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=486995)

Maulik 08-26-2007 09:25 PM

std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $283.80
BB: $47.00
UTG: $200.00
Hero (MP): $207.00
CO: $50.45
BTN: $620.50

Reads: <font color="blue">An overpair to the board. Should I follow up w/ a turn vb?</font>

Preflop: Hero is dealt J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (6 Players)
<font color="red">UTG raises to $7.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $21.00</font>, 4 folds, UTG calls $14.00

Flop: ($45) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $25.00</font>, UTG calls $25.00

Turn: ($95) 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
UTG checks, Hero checks

River: ($95) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">UTG bets $48.00</font>

futuredoc85 08-26-2007 09:26 PM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
call

Fonkey123 08-26-2007 09:30 PM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
Bet turn, call now.

sh58 08-26-2007 09:51 PM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
reads?

i think your line is good. balances pot control v getting value on the river. it is just a very bad river card for you

readless.... i would say you have to fold the river. even if it is a blocking bet, QQ would be the most obvious candidate to do that. AK obviously is the main contender.

ASPoker8 08-26-2007 10:07 PM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
I vote fold river

I also think his line is fine (ie dont bet turn)

jk3a 08-26-2007 10:07 PM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
[ QUOTE ]
Bet turn, call now.

[/ QUOTE ]

13_Xerxes 08-26-2007 10:28 PM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
That's fine to bet so small on this good flop ?

dragonystic 08-27-2007 12:18 AM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
$35+ on the flop.

turn is fine.

i go with my gut on these kinds of rivers. this is very read dependent. id lean towards folding.

Bulletproof Monk 08-27-2007 12:21 AM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
you cant valueshove the river because the K is a scarecard for him. just call it

Shes92 08-27-2007 12:23 AM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
[ QUOTE ]
Bet turn, call now.

[/ QUOTE ]

pineapple888 08-27-2007 12:26 AM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
I generally bet the turn. The only reason not to do so is to induce a bluff/block by an aggro player with an underpair, so of course call the river as played.

ASPoker8 08-27-2007 12:32 AM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
I think betting the turn is pretty bad.

He raised UTG, called 3bet, then c/c'ed flop.

He can very easily be very strong and if you are betting turn, you should be bet/folding imo and that sucks.

ASPoker8 08-27-2007 12:32 AM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
Also river seems like a fold.

What does he take this line with that we beat besides some random bluff?

Hes never valuebetting worse

pineapple888 08-27-2007 12:50 AM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
[ QUOTE ]
I think betting the turn is pretty bad.

He raised UTG, called 3bet, then c/c'ed flop.

He can very easily be very strong and if you are betting turn, you should be bet/folding imo and that sucks.

[/ QUOTE ]

OP gave him reasonable set odds, for better or worse.

So a float on this flop is vv std vs a Hero who knows to CBet, if Villain is good.

And if Villain is not good, he could have random overcards or KT or whatever so value bet now.

And what exactly is wrong with bet/folding vs a good player?

P.S. we need reads for all this, not sure why OP garbled that up.

ASPoker8 08-27-2007 12:54 AM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
[ QUOTE ]
OP gave him set odds, for better or worse.

[/ QUOTE ]

wtf?

[ QUOTE ]
So a float on this flop is vv std vs a Hero who knows to CBet.

[/ QUOTE ]

yes lets just randomly float someone who 3bet our UTG raise and cbet with a marginal strength hand, seems about right. oh yeah, we're OOP as well.

[ QUOTE ]
And what exactly is wrong with bet/folding?

[/ QUOTE ]

it blows

pineapple888 08-27-2007 12:56 AM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 

[ QUOTE ]
And what exactly is wrong with bet/folding?

[/ QUOTE ]

it blows

[/ QUOTE ]

Nice analysis, fool. I'm done.

futuredoc85 08-27-2007 12:58 AM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
[ QUOTE ]

[ QUOTE ]
And what exactly is wrong with bet/folding?

[/ QUOTE ]

it blows

[/ QUOTE ]

Nice analysis, fool. I'm done.

[/ QUOTE ]

it blows b/c it takes all the value out of our hand. TX/99 is much more likely to bet the river/call a river bet than call 2 barrels on the flop and turn.

carrotsnake 08-27-2007 12:59 AM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
pineapple, I completely aggee with AS, fold river, don't bet turn

shpanko 08-27-2007 05:11 AM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
River is a fold.

This hand brings up a common situation which I hate: UTG opens, I repop with JJ or maybe TT, if he calls and is a decent player I'm boned the majority of the time, yet just calling his open pf sucks because we usually have the best hand.

I hate playing JJ to UTG opens.

therealpk 08-27-2007 05:14 AM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
looks standard, i like it. sometimes he has a weird K like AK/KQ spades, but a lot of the time he just sees the K as a bluff card.

Isura 08-27-2007 08:57 AM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
[ QUOTE ]
call

[/ QUOTE ]

traz 08-27-2007 10:20 AM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
turn check is ok provided you call river. We fell behind AK, but I think spades/low pp's may donk bet here to try and steal the pot away.

Andykay 08-27-2007 10:19 PM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
Um, it's pretty unlikely he's bluffing this spot. When people 3bet preflop, cbet a low board, then check the turn, everyone always puts them on AK. So when the K hits on the river and he bets anyway, he's basically yelling "I hope you have AK and will call".

He's at least got AK himself but probably better.

-Andy

tubasteve 08-27-2007 11:00 PM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
i think calling is probably pretty neutral EV.

ASPoker8 08-27-2007 11:58 PM

Re: std, re-raised pot, JJ w/ position
 
Like i've been saying this entire thread, betting the turn sucks, calling the river is probably bad


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