Two Plus Two Newer Archives

Two Plus Two Newer Archives (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/index.php)
-   Sports Betting (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/forumdisplay.php?f=42)
-   -   *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 *** (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=455369)

NajdorfDefense 07-19-2007 05:24 PM

*** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
No arbs yet, just starting a new thread now.

New001 07-20-2007 10:26 PM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
LAD +112 WSEX
NYM -111 Pinny

Performify 07-20-2007 10:55 PM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
Thanks, Naj.

calmB4storm 07-29-2007 01:11 PM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
Cincy (+1.5) -105 at SIA.

SueProject 08-08-2007 07:33 AM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
found a little ARB

Soccer / Germany / Regionalliga North (Bundesliga 3)
Kickers Emden (ah -0.75) @ Pinnacle 1.990
Babelsberg 03 (ah +0.75) @ bet365 2.025
Profability: 0.367%

dynacraze 08-08-2007 02:15 PM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
Naj whos that women name in your avator??

Limpfold 08-08-2007 09:04 PM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
Golf PGA championship prop, lowest score of tournament Bodog -120 U 64.5 Pinny +166 O 64.5, hurry up cos people are hammering it..

TomG 08-08-2007 10:45 PM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
Thanks. It was at -130 when I got to it but still fresh enough for a bet.

calmB4storm 08-19-2007 09:40 AM

25 Cent Arb + Middle
 
SIA: Indy +1.5 (1H) +120
* Risk $100 to win $120

Pinny: Chicago -.5 (1H) +105
* Risk $107.32 to win $112.68

Total Profit = $12.68
ROI = 6.12%

Personally I'm just talking the soft side. No Pinny for me.

Thremp 08-19-2007 12:41 PM

Re: 25 Cent Arb + Middle
 
This is why people need SIA. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

calmB4storm 08-20-2007 09:42 PM

Re: 25 Cent Arb + Middle
 
[ QUOTE ]
SIA: Indy +1.5 (1H) +120

[/ QUOTE ]
Never in doubt. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

domer2 08-26-2007 11:43 PM

Re: 25 Cent Arb + Middle
 
America Ferraro to win Best Actress
Matchbook - No +140
Bodog - Yes +110

Trencherman 08-27-2007 01:44 AM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
WTA - US Open
Kira Nagy +3000 BookMaker.com/DSI
Venus Williams -2600 Pinnacle (-2800 5 Dimes)

hedgie43 08-28-2007 10:48 PM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
Longer term Arb:

West Virginia RSW Under 10.5 +135 Bodog
West Virginia RSW Over 10.5 -115 5 Dimes.

dchz 08-30-2007 04:49 AM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
hey guys, i'm a complete n00b, i understand the theory of abitrage

but i am completely lost why are some of these arbitrages?

for example:

"
LAD +112 WSEX
NYM -111 Pinny"

is it because it's +EV if you bet both sides?

whipsaw 08-30-2007 09:40 AM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
[ QUOTE ]
hey guys, i'm a complete n00b, i understand the theory of abitrage

but i am completely lost why are some of these arbitrages?

for example:

"
LAD +112 WSEX
NYM -111 Pinny"

is it because it's +EV if you bet both sides?

[/ QUOTE ]

It is +EV to bet both sides, and even more +EV to bet one side. Why are you surprised that your example is an arbitrage? What do you think arbitrage is, anyway?

Performify 08-30-2007 11:48 AM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
[ QUOTE ]
hey guys, i'm a complete n00b, i understand the theory of abitrage

but i am completely lost why are some of these arbitrages?

for example:

"
LAD +112 WSEX
NYM -111 Pinny"

is it because it's +EV if you bet both sides?

[/ QUOTE ]


Check the FAQ for more on Arbitrage.

If you have questions after reading the arbitrage-related questions/answers/threads linked from the FAQ, then post another thread asking questions.

This thread is for posting arbitrages only, not for questions.

In the example above:

Risk $500 to win $560 on LAD on WSEX
Risk $557.63 to win $502.37 on NYM on Pinnacle

guaranteed profit regardless of outcome (thus the arbitrage): $2.37

dchz 08-30-2007 04:57 PM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
hey guys, i'm a complete n00b, i understand the theory of abitrage

but i am completely lost why are some of these arbitrages?

for example:

"
LAD +112 WSEX
NYM -111 Pinny"

is it because it's +EV if you bet both sides?

[/ QUOTE ]

It is +EV to bet both sides, and even more +EV to bet one side. Why are you surprised that your example is an arbitrage? What do you think arbitrage is, anyway?

[/ QUOTE ]

arbitrage is like money in the streets, just basic market or in this case sports book inefficiencies that people can take advantage of....

if i had sat down and worked out the math, i wouldn't have posted, i'm sorry guys, i will only read and post arbitrage on this thread from now on,

basically i did the math wrong and didn't think it was an arbitrage opportunity, next time i'll do it 2x

carry on, sorry for the interruption

TomG 08-31-2007 01:32 PM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
Soft line on SIA (surprise, surprise)

Navy at Temple
Temple +21.5 -105

Pinny has the other side priced at +115. Good for a 2.32% arb or much better 7.29% ROI for non-hedgers by just betting the SIA side.

Limpfold 08-31-2007 02:00 PM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
Thanks Tom.

TomG 08-31-2007 06:31 PM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
This is a long term but very profitable arb... 6.64% ROI.

Houston RSW Ov 6.5 -105 on 5Dimes
Houston RSW Un 6.5 +135 on Bodog

dynacraze 08-31-2007 11:51 PM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
where do u see that on 5dimes?

TomG 09-01-2007 12:13 AM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
[ QUOTE ]
where do u see that on 5dimes?

[/ QUOTE ]
Football --> Props --> HOU Reg. Season wins ov 6.5 -105

TomG 09-01-2007 12:14 AM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
E Carolina at Virginia Tech
E Carolina +17 +103 (1st Half) at Pinny
Virginia Tech -14.5 -110 (1st Half) at VIP

Pretty nice middle opportunity or of course a very soft line courtesy of VIP. Those who can't bet at Pinny should either be happy with VIP's price on V-Tech or hedge it with E Carolina +17 -105 found at most books.

NajdorfDefense 09-06-2007 07:35 PM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
never mind

TomG 09-07-2007 11:10 AM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
New England Patriots at New York Jets
NE -7 +116 at Pinny
NYJ +7 -110 at SIA

1.34% arb, although I recommend betting the NYJ side unhedged.

ensign_lee 09-07-2007 12:04 PM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
[ QUOTE ]
This is a long term but very profitable arb... 6.64% ROI.

Houston RSW Ov 6.5 -105 on 5Dimes
Houston RSW Un 6.5 +135 on Bodog

[/ QUOTE ]

Houton OVER 6.5 is available at BetJamaica for +130. 65 CENT SCALP?!?!?!

Performify 09-07-2007 12:10 PM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
Most likely a bad line, very likely to be cancelled, watch your exposure.

TomG 09-07-2007 12:35 PM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
It's possible it's an errant line, but BetJamaica has had their RSW Totals up for weeks... If you are concerned you should email them 1st to confirm. Then hit it for the max. Great find.

NajdorfDefense 09-07-2007 06:27 PM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
Pinny had been at +115 for a while, that doesn't surprise me.

ensign_lee 09-08-2007 04:39 PM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
[ QUOTE ]
Most likely a bad line, very likely to be cancelled, watch your exposure.

[/ QUOTE ]

That's what I thought for a little bit as well, but I think that BetJam's exposure on the under is just really big. I saw the line go from +100 to +105 to +110, then didn't pay attention for a bit and then went to +130.

NajdorfDefense 09-09-2007 03:59 PM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
Chi +110 sia
SDG -105 betonline

NajdorfDefense 09-09-2007 07:45 PM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
nyg +7 +105 sia
dal -6.5 -105 betonline

calmB4storm 09-09-2007 08:12 PM

Re: *** Official Arbitrage Posting Thread - July + Aug+ Sept 2007 ***
 
First Half Arb, Hurry!

NYG +3.5 +120 at BetJam
DAL -3.5 -112 at Pinny

Edit: Down to +115 at BetJam. 2 Minutes! [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

NajdorfDefense 09-14-2007 06:14 PM

***Arb - not using SIA!**
 
GB +1.5 +110 dimes
NYG -1 -105 betonline

TomG 09-14-2007 07:21 PM

Re: ***Arb - not using SIA!**
 
Thanks very much... NYG -1 -110 also available at VIP for the middle opportunity without any arb juice.

New001 09-16-2007 10:03 AM

Re: ***Arb - not using SIA!**
 
1H Bears/Chiefs o17 -110 WSEX
u17 +111 Pinny

Mediocre_Player 09-16-2007 10:35 AM

Re: ***Arb - not using SIA!**
 
Indy -7 +104 Pinny
Tenn +7 +105 SIA


I think SIA got knocked down to +100 now though

Mediocre_Player 09-16-2007 10:42 AM

Re: ***Arb - not using SIA!**
 
Looks like SIA is asleep at the wheel

Cle +7.5 +100 SIA
Cin -7.5 +105 Pinny

I have my entire SIA roll arbed out for the 1pm games, might as well go hit the gym and then tug it b4 lunch.

Galyan 09-16-2007 11:22 AM

Arb using SIA
 
Matchbook Ind -7 +112
SIA Ten +7 +100


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:43 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.