June MLS
 

First shot at beating MLS.

New York -0.5 +140 on WSEX 6-6-07.

Re: June MLS
 

YOU!

I've missed you and your free monies. gogogoogogo

Re: June MLS
 

Glad I didn't watch this one, I would have been throwing things after about 65'. Also a shame I didn't size this one, my system called for one of those gigantic bets I hate making.

1-0, +1.4u. Thanks Angel.

Re: June MLS
 

For this weekend, a trio of road teams.

Chivas +205
LA Galaxy +310
New York +180

All -0.5 (3-way lines).

Re: June MLS
 

ty for the plays. look into getting an account with 5dimes though. chivas is +245 and galaxy +365.

thx again

Re: June MLS
 

Thanks. WSEX is all I can do for now, but 5dimes is probably next for me when I can.

Re: June MLS
 

Chivas pulls of the upset, LA Galaxy go down. 1-1, +1.05u.

Overall, 2-1 for +2.45u.

NY plays tomorrow.

Re: June MLS
 

NY loses big after going in at halftime tied. IIRC, LA Galaxy was tied at halftime as well yesterday. Oh well.

2-2, +1.45u.

Re: June MLS
 

No plays this weekend on WSEX.

NE -145 and Chivas +100 are the closest, both basically 0EV if you want action.

Re: June MLS
 

Okay, I need to get money into my account at 5dimes. Thanks for convincing me. WSEX might not have any plays, but 5dimes do. These will count in my record.

KC Wizards +260
NY/KC o2.5 -135 (1.35u to win 1u)

Re: June MLS
 

Crazy game that breaks us even. The over was good by halftime, but the 90' goal by NY to tie the game spoils the fun. Yuck.

3-3, +1.45u.

Re: June MLS
 

I like Chivas +230 on WSEX. It'll probably be better on 5dimes when it's available.

Re: June MLS
 

I got excited when I heard a bunch of futbol24.com dings from the other room with Chivas down 1-0, but uh, they just suck ass instead.

3-4, +0.45u.

Edit: No plays on WSEX this week.

Re: June MLS
 

Taking NY +230 on WSEX. I'm sure a better line is out there, and I'd play it at 2u at +240 or better.

Re: June MLS
 

I'm joining the MLS train - wrote a little something that I posted about in the WNBA thread to help predict. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] So far 2-0 for +2.09 units. All of my picks will probably be money line BTW as that's what I'm used to betting on soccer, unless otherwise stated. I'll also post the line I bet at, and the minimum line to go by. So if I say something like "-125 at Pinny, don't go below -128"....don't go below -128 [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] All bets 1 unit unless stated otherwise.

And with that....let's start off with Saturdays MLS.

New England to beat Chivas. -110 at Bet365, don't go below -128. 2 units.
Columbus to draw with Real Salt Lake. +240 at Will Hill, don't go below +200.

Re: June MLS
 

Also over 2.5 in Kansas vs LA Galaxy @ -133. Don't go below -133.

Re: June MLS
 

Just ran the games through my system to see how it compares. I'd go below -128 if it's a pk, -110 looks very strong. I'd play until -142. I'll be on that large if I can at WSEX. On the draw, I'm staying away, but my system is very pessimistic regarding the draws. I'd play it if you gave me another 100c to work with. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

I'll throw out my plays once WSEX hangs some lines, probably tomorrow sometime.

Edit: Just saw your second post. -133 is my system's breakeven point for the o2.5 (we must be working with something quite similar) but I won't play it worse than -113 with the safety margin I've built in.

Re: June MLS
 

Mr. Blue,

FYI, BetJamaica does have moneyline for MLS. It would seem the lines come up fairly late compared to your existing outs, but FWIW they have been stellar to work with. Gogogogo MLSbot!

Re: June MLS
 

I just took Toronto +240 at Chicago for today. NY lost last night to bring the YTD record at -0.55u.

Re: June MLS
 

[ QUOTE ]
Just ran the games through my system to see how it compares. I'd go below -128 if it's a pk, -110 looks very strong. I'd play until -142. I'll be on that large if I can at WSEX. On the draw, I'm staying away, but my system is very pessimistic regarding the draws. I'd play it if you gave me another 100c to work with. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

I'll throw out my plays once WSEX hangs some lines, probably tomorrow sometime.

Edit: Just saw your second post. -133 is my system's breakeven point for the o2.5 (we must be working with something quite similar) but I won't play it worse than -113 with the safety margin I've built in.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks for the analysis from your system, and please keep it coming [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] Very interesting to see how our systems differs, and also fun to see when they are similar.

[ QUOTE ]
I just took Toronto +240 at Chicago for today. NY lost last night to bring the YTD record at -0.55u.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm getting the breakeven point at +250 for that one, so I don't think I'd be on it till um...well I'm still not sure how high a safety margin I'd go with, so possibly +285. Do you have any set guidelines for the safety margin?

Re: June MLS
 

Yesterday we went 1-2, for a loss of 2.25 units.

YTD:

3-2, -0.16 units

Today, depending on what sportsbook you use, you are able to get Houston at +100, although the more popular lines are -105 to -100. My bot feels the line is -132, so definite value there, so I'm recommending a 1 unit play, but wouldn't go lower than -105. You might as well take the -0.5 line. I'm on at +103 at Pinny.

Re: June MLS
 

I've got the other side with DC United at +268 from 5dimes. Might try to make my way to the game, enjoy.

Re: June MLS
 

Last week was a victory.

YTD:
4-2, +0.87 units.
[/b]

2 bets this week. Chivas to beat Columbus, I'm on it at +110 at Skybet, don't go below -110. DC United to beat Dallas, I'm on +120 at Skybet, don't go below evens.

Re: June MLS
 

Last time we went 1-1, for a slight profit.

YTD:

5-3, +0.97 units.

On Thursday, New York to beat Chivas, -0.5, +100. Should be some more later.