NL200 - Another AA post
 

Stats on villian are 50/10/1 after about 50 hands. My stats at this point are probably about 16-18/8/1.5.

I've got about $196 and he has me covered.

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $1/$2
9 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
<font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $6</font>, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, 4 folds, SB calls, BB calls.

Flop: T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($30, 5 players)
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $22</font>, UTG+1 calls, 3 folds.

Should I have bet more / less here?

Turn: 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($74, 2 players)
Hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 bets $30</font>, Hero...

Is checking correct? Can I call? With him playing half his hands so far (based on limited info I realize) he could have anything.

Thanks

Re: NL200 - Another AA post
 

I'm not sure I understand the check. Thoughts?

Re: NL200 - Another AA post
 

[ QUOTE ]
I'm not sure I understand the check. Thoughts?

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm oop and don't want to build a giant pot. I'm thinking WA/WB. If I lead out with say $40 - $55 and he calls what do I do on the river? Say I bet $40 on the turn and he makes it $80...what then? Auto fold?

There's my thoughts. Are they wrong?

ps. Should I have lead out on the turn with a small bet, like $20 and see how he reacts?

Re: NL200 - Another AA post
 

I admit I fire a second barrel, and yeah, if I get raised I am probably tossing it. It's hard to say because the aggro factor is probably incorrect with only 50 hands, but with with a 50% VP$IP, isn't there a pretty large range of hands we can still be betting for value against?

Maybe I'm spewy. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Re: NL200 - Another AA post
 

As played you have to call, but I prefer to lead for $40-$50 versus this opponent.

Re: NL200 - Another AA post
 

Turn is a good card as it makes 66 much less likely and puts you ahead of T7. There are only a few hands that beat you right now and this guy is playing half his hands (so far). I think youre giving villain too much credit. He can easily have AT/KT/QT/JT/T9 and Im definetly not laying this down yet. A larger sample size and more reads on villain would be helpful, however. I like c/c turn (as he most likely is not drawing) and donk value bet river for ~50 (on a non terrible card) and fold to push.

Also, raise more PF. 3BB from UTG is going to guarentee multi-way action OOP and that is the last thign you want with AA.

Re: NL200 - Another AA post
 

I advocated turn c/c after the initial turn check but I do think leading out is better against this opponent to get more value out of his Tx hands.

Re: NL200 - Another AA post
 

Sure there's a large range. Can I pop him with a check raise here?

Re: NL200 - Another AA post
 

[ QUOTE ]
Sure there's a large range. Can I pop him with a check raise here?

[/ QUOTE ]

*IF* his aggro factor is anywhere near close here, that seems very dangerous.

Re: NL200 - Another AA post
 

Fundamentals, (or anyone else)

Can you give me your thoughts on his hand range at this point? Did I screw it up by checking?

Re: NL200 - Another AA post
 

I don't know how you can consider folding when turn is such a good card for you and you've underrepresented your hand.

Re: NL200 - Another AA post
 

[ QUOTE ]
Fundamentals, (or anyone else)

Can you give me your thoughts on his hand range at this point? Did I screw it up by checking?

[/ QUOTE ]

At what point? After the flop call or after the turn bet?

After the flop call, Tx, 7x, 6x, 22, 33, 44, 55, 88, 99, and maybe any two overs with him thinking you whiffed as well. Removing the any two overs on the turn bet if we an put any reasonableness on his AF. He's probably going to be happy he got a free card with those hands.

The check raise may be a good third level thinking bet on the turn. I tend to play a bit more straightforward. I have a loose passive guy calling me down. I want him to put money in the pot, and he doesn't seem aggro enough to have even wanted to try for the turn cr.

Re: NL200 - Another AA post
 

Classic stackadonk situation IMO. CRAI, fade the flopped straight or a river T. Get the money in plz.

Re: NL200 - Another AA post
 

Raise here? I make it $100 to go but lead is like a lot better. Raise more preflop too. If you c/c here I CRAI on any blank rivers.

Re: NL200 - Another AA post
 

I like a bet turn line.

As played, let's stackadonk for the high variance line and cally-call, lead river smallish for the low variance line.