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-   -   March/April soccer, basketball, baseball (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=366410)

New001 03-28-2007 04:23 PM

March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
Figured I should start this to get ready for baseball season and to finish off basketball/soccer.

NBA:
Houston o186.5
Orlando o185
Atlanta +6
Miami +3.5
Washington -7
Cleveland u183
Seattle o206.5*
Indiana o182.5*

(last two moved a ton before I posted, so they won't count in the official record)

Italian Serie A:
Reggina -0.5 -110
Lazio pk -130
AC Milan o2.5 +110

Internationals:
Venezuela -285

All plays are 1 unit risk unless otherwise noted. All lines are from Cris unless, again, noted otherwise (which would most likely be WSEX). For reference, I'm a shade over 57% on -110 bets in March over 150 bets. Doubt it'll be that good moving forward, but eh.

NBA: 0-0-0, +0.00u
NCAAB: 0-0-0, +0.00u
MLB: 0-0-0, +0.00u
Soccer: 0-0-0, +0.00u

New001 03-29-2007 12:39 AM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
1-5 NBA, 1-0 Soccer.

Got crushed even with a ridiculous 2OT suckout.

NBA:
Portland -6.5

NBA: 1-5-0, -4.09u
NCAAB: 0-0-0, +0.00u
MLB: 0-0-0, +0.00u
Soccer: 1-0-0, +0.45u

New001 03-29-2007 10:31 AM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
Adding Detroit +3.5 in the NBA.

New001 03-29-2007 03:10 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
[ QUOTE ]
Adding Detroit +3.5 in the NBA.

[/ QUOTE ]
I'm hating this one right now, goes to show me why I shouldn't bet before actually waking up in the morning. Portland is up to -7.5 now.

Just added Portland/Memphis o194.5.

Edit: Also adding o98 1H on the same game. [Should clarify this one. I went to bet o98.5, Cris changed it to 98 as I was betting so I got 98, and then they changed it back after I finished. How nice of them. I still like it at 98.5]

New001 03-29-2007 03:36 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
One more over tonight, as if I haven't done enough of those lately.

Detroit/Chicago o182

Edit: Also, America/Palmeiras u3 -125 in Brazil tonight.

TheRover 03-29-2007 05:05 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
i just want to say thank you posting without being a retard

New001 03-29-2007 05:10 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
Early on tomorrow I have Milwaukee o204.5. Square city.

Edit: Jesus that didn't last long.

New001 03-29-2007 05:12 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
[ QUOTE ]
i just want to say thank you posting without being a retard

[/ QUOTE ]
My two bets in Chicago tonight make me look pretty effing dumb at least.

New001 03-29-2007 05:44 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
My hunch is that the Memphis-Seattle total will go up a little bit before tipoff tomorrow night, and I'll hop on the under if it gets up enough.

New001 03-30-2007 08:02 AM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
Teehee. 1-4 NBA, 1-0 Soccer. At least I got some awesome line movements in the Memphis game, looks like 1.5 points on the spread and 2.5 on the total. I'll probably close out the month on the low end of 54%.

NBA: 2-9-0, -7.18u
NCAAB: 0-0-0, +0.00u
MLB: 0-0-0, +0.00u
Soccer: 2-0-0, +1.25u

136913691369 03-30-2007 08:24 AM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
hey new, whatever happened to the NHL bets?

New001 03-30-2007 08:26 AM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
I'm taking Rapid Wien/Salzburg o2.5 +105 for 0.5u.

Edit: Adding some Czech league games.

Slovan Liberec u2.5 -150 2u
FK Teplice o2.5 +105 0.5u
Sparta Praha u2.5 -140 1u

Edit2: I think I also added wrong, soccer should be 2-0, +1.15u instead.

New001 03-30-2007 08:29 AM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
[ QUOTE ]
hey new, whatever happened to the NHL bets?

[/ QUOTE ]
Missed a few days for things I couldn't avoid, and I don't know the NHL well enough to know what kind of performance to expect near the end of the season anyway so I called it a season.

Final stats:
76-56, +3.46u ATS
44-30-5, +14.00u o/u
81-78, +10.07u period o/u (including 3rd)
50-63-40, -8.23u period ML (including 3rd)

New001 03-30-2007 10:12 AM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
Just took Phoenix u224.

New001 03-30-2007 10:54 AM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
Also Sacramento u197.

New001 03-30-2007 11:40 AM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
[ QUOTE ]
Also Sacramento u197.

[/ QUOTE ]
Poof. It's gone. 196 now and it only took 1/2 hour. I also took Boston o185 but forgot to post it. That one counts for extra Sklansky bucks as it's at 186 now, but it's worthless here.

Edit: And for reading and waiting patiently, here's a play in my favorite league to bet. I haven't forgiven it for crushing me a couple weekends ago, but I still love Greece.

Xanthi u2.5 -200 3u

Warteen 03-30-2007 12:52 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
It seems like betting the opposite of you might be a profitable way to do things.

rush66 03-30-2007 02:26 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
[ QUOTE ]
It seems like betting the opposite of you might be a profitable way to do things.

[/ QUOTE ]

Are you serious dude? Where are your picks? He is by far the best soccer poster on here or any other forum I have seen.

New001 03-30-2007 02:57 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
It seems like betting the opposite of you might be a profitable way to do things.

[/ QUOTE ]

Are you serious dude? Where are your picks? He is by far the best soccer poster on here or any other forum I have seen.

[/ QUOTE ]
Thanks.

Adding

Accrington Stanley o2.5
Werder Bremen o2.5
PSV o2.5
Estrela Amadora u2.5
Wisla Plock u2.5
Dyskobolia u2.5

In League 2, Bundesliga, Eredivisie, Portugal, Poland, and Poland, respectively. 1u each.

TheRover 03-30-2007 03:12 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
could you always list the juice? thanks

Warteen 03-30-2007 03:14 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
It seems like betting the opposite of you might be a profitable way to do things.

[/ QUOTE ]

Are you serious dude? Where are your picks? He is by far the best soccer poster on here or any other forum I have seen.

[/ QUOTE ]

My NBA picks are the opposite of his. WOOOO 9-2!

Eh, I'm just fooling around. I'm sure his soccer picks are great. Here are my big picks for Saturday in NCAA ball:
OSU-Georgetown OVER 130.
UCLA over Florida game line (+140).
Parlay: The first pick and OSU +1.5.

In the past month I'm something like 16-12-1, though I alter bet sizes for picks I'm more sure about so I'm not sure how far ahead I am in units.

One more pick, NBA action:
Miami-Minnesota OVER 184

New001 03-30-2007 03:15 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
Yeah [censored], I don't know why it didn't post last time.

Accrington Stanley o2.5 -125
Werder Bremen o2.5 -155
PSV o2.5 -145
Estrela Amadora u2.5 -180
Wisla Plock u2.5 -165
Dyskobolia u2.5 -155

New001 03-30-2007 08:41 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
[ QUOTE ]
My hunch is that the Memphis-Seattle total will go up a little bit before tipoff tomorrow night, and I'll hop on the under if it gets up enough.

[/ QUOTE ]
This wasn't looking so hot a few hours ago, but it jumped up while I was out. 203.5 is up enough from the 201.5 that I posted this for that I like it.

Taking Memphis u203.5. Very tempted by taking the points as well, but I'll just stick with the total.

Also, I realized why I've been leaving off the juice on soccer bets. It's a combination of changing my formatting for my records spreadsheet and getting used to betting -110 lines. Shouldn't happen anymore, though honestly the lines move so slowly on Cris for those games that it really wouldn't matter much.

Warteen 03-30-2007 11:01 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
Looks like Miami-Minnesota scored as little as possible, to mock me.

New001 03-31-2007 01:11 AM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
What a bloodbath.

0-4 in the NBA? I'm on the right side of some good line movements. Too bad I suck at everything else.

At least there's still soccer tomorrow.

NBA: 2-13-0, -11.18u
NCAAB: 0-0-0, +0.00u
MLB: 0-0-0, +0.00u
Soccer: 2-0-0, +1.25u

New001 03-31-2007 11:05 AM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
Adding two units on Chelsea -320.

New001 03-31-2007 03:08 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
Just took New Jersey -6. Soccer looking bleak but potentially positive. Results to follow tonight.

New001 03-31-2007 04:37 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
Grabbed Utah +6.5 tomorrow.

New001 03-31-2007 10:10 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
New Jersey stumbles a little it looks like and only wins by 4.

Portland u180.

Edit: That opened at 184? [censored] me.

checkmate36 04-01-2007 12:04 AM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
New-

Do you have a system that you use for baseball?

New001 04-01-2007 12:23 AM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
Nope.

0-2 NBA (WTF?), 3-6 Soccer? Makes me feel like less of a donkey that the u184 lost too.

NBA: 2-15-0, -13.18u
NCAAB: 0-0-0, +0.00u
MLB: 0-0-0, +0.00u
Soccer: 5-6-0, -2.90u

ImNew 04-01-2007 12:48 AM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
Tough run New001.

Please tell us how your system works in NHL if you have the time.

New001 04-01-2007 10:49 AM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
Will one of these finally win? Probably not!

Detroit u179
Lakers -6
Cleveland -5.5

The two posted last night have both moved a full point in my favor. Soccer games start in 15 minutes. Any idea why the Greek games look cancelled?

ImNew 04-01-2007 10:57 AM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
I've had lines that moved 5 full points in my favour and still lost, Denver v Seattle o200.5, closed at 205.5 and they only scored 197.

I believe smart money is on Boston Celtics +7, good luck on Cleveland -5.5.

New001 04-01-2007 04:30 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
Yeah, I'm not worried. Worst stretch by far since I started, but I've been beating the closing lines on Cris by an average of .67 points which I imagine has to be okay. Also, I'd rather not disclose the NHL system. Sorry.

Even with a 16u downswing, my "system" is still barely positive but on life support. I guess that makes up for running at 70% for 3 weeks.

Soccer ate [censored] today, but that's to be expected. I'm not sure what the tally is for today exactly but YTD it's 7-8 for -4.08u. Maybe Greece postponing games was a good thing.

New001 04-01-2007 05:48 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
What's happening in Boston right now?

Edit: Also added Charlotte +7 and Minnesota o184.5.

Warteen 04-01-2007 07:34 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
I lost all my picks. Guess it was karma. No more sports betting for me.

New001 04-01-2007 09:11 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
3-3 on the posted plays I think, 6-3 counting the ones I didn't, why not add one more?

Seattle +5.

New001 04-01-2007 09:23 PM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
[ QUOTE ]
I've had lines that moved 5 full points in my favour and still lost, Denver v Seattle o200.5, closed at 205.5 and they only scored 197.

I believe smart money is on Boston Celtics +7, good luck on Cleveland -5.5.

[/ QUOTE ]
Good call on this.

New001 04-02-2007 12:09 AM

Re: March/April soccer, basketball, baseball
 
Posted NBA plays went 4-4 for -0.36u. Sad how that makes me happy. Won overall though with the unposted plays.

NBA: 6-19-0, -13.54u
NCAAB: 0-0-0, +0.00u
MLB: 0-0-0, +0.00u
Soccer: 7-8-0, -4.08u


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