NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

gogogo

And whoever recommended the UCLA over ... u know what to do

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

hey... i like tostart these...my only GIVEN for tomorrow is


Tenn. over 153

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

also damn confident on texas -2.5

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

[ QUOTE ]
hey... i like tostart these...my only GIVEN for tomorrow is


Tenn. over 153

[/ QUOTE ]

Sportsbetting.com has it at 154.5 right now. I don't think I'm going to touch it. The only one I like right now is UNLV +5.5.

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

SI -1.5
Texas -3.5
UNLV +210

YTD 75-72-3 -2.81u

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

Don't have any actual bets yet, but I'm thinking about the under on Tennessee and taking Wisconsin against UNLV.

First off, every square in the world knows about the Vols point explosion in the first round and we all know that squares love to bet overs. I'm thinking that there's almost certain to be some overadjustment there, but I'm going to run some numbers to make sure.

As for Wisconsin, it's another overadjustment situation. Everyone in the country knows how bad the Badgers looked in the 1st half against TAMU-CC, but not everyone knows that UNLV looked just as bad against Georgia Tech and won on the benefit of mistakes by their opponent. 5.5 seems like a really low line for a 2/7 game, even if Butch is unlikely to play.

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

[ QUOTE ]
SI -1.5
Texas -3.5
UNLV +210

YTD 75-72-3 -2.81u

[/ QUOTE ]

I doubt Shaw will play for SIU, and doubt Boyle will play as well as he did Friday. But they might be able to get away with playing four guards.

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

[ QUOTE ]
Don't have any actual bets yet, but I'm thinking about the under on Tennessee and taking Wisconsin against UNLV.

First off, every square in the world knows about the Vols point explosion in the first round and we all know that squares love to bet overs. I'm thinking that there's almost certain to be some overadjustment there, but I'm going to run some numbers to make sure.

As for Wisconsin, it's another overadjustment situation. Everyone in the country knows how bad the Badgers looked in the 1st half against TAMU-CC, but not everyone knows that UNLV looked just as bad against Georgia Tech and won on the benefit of mistakes by their opponent. 5.5 seems like a really low line for a 2/7 game, even if Butch is unlikely to play.

[/ QUOTE ]

Keep in mind that Kreuger shot the ball very bad in the first round.

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

you bet the under... have fun with that

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

Nevada +200 ML

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

Memphis ML v Nevada bet 4.5u to win 2u
Oregon ML v Winthrop bet 4.8u to win 3u
Wisconsin ML v UNLV bet 4.9u to win 2u

In all cases, you have superior favs that are getting 'ragged on' just a bit too much and are now available at tasty prices.

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

V Tech ML v SIU bet 1u to win 1.1u

V Tech had a perfect team to warm up against. Their superior height will carry the day.

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

Nevada +5½
Oregon -3½


guaranteed

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

coming from the guy with 2 post?

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

good thing posts dont = IQ huh pal

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

I dont think you can come here and post garentuee's and expect people to follow them and respect them. Just a little word of wisdom.

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

So far, I've got SIU -1 vs. V-Tech.

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

OK, still betting Wisconsin, but only for 1.5 units as after looking at some computer numbers, the 5.5 doesn't seem too far off without Butch. It's close enough that I wouldn't have taken it if they weren't playing in Chicago.

The Tennessee game, I'm laying off completely as the total's right on line with the Vols season average, and Bodog's total is actually a point lower than Pinny. After looking at in detail, I'd bet the over if anything.

Also taking the moneyline on Winthrop at +145 for 2 units. According to the Sagarin ratings, they're only one point worse than Oregon, and I think they're somewhat undervalued by computer rankings just because it's impossible to play your 'A' game all through the conference schedule when you're not playing anyone in the Top 150. Any legitimate national championship contender would get bored over such a stretch and let a few dogs stay within single digits. When they've truly been tested this year, the Eagles have responded admirably and I'm not completely convinced the Colton Index and Sagarin Elo-Chess ratings are wrong that they're a Top 10 team.

As for the evening session, I've got a strong lean toward Memphis and a weak lean toward Kentucky, but I haven't made any final decisions on them yet. Actually, I take that back, I'm putting them in a 5 team donk parlay (0.5u to win 15.8u) of Wisc, VT, Winth (ML), Mem, and Ken.

Tournament overall record: 10-8-1, -3.76 units

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

Okay Winthrop it is!!

Wager type : Straight Bet Sport : Reduced Basketball Selection : Winthrop 3/18/2007 2:50:01 PM - (EST) Money Line +150 for Game Amount : Risking 10.33 To Win 15.50 USD



1. It is iggymcfly's pick
2. Winthrop is a system play for me

GO PWN OREGON!!!!!

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

i'm on the oregon ML.

good luck to you, sir..

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

So far I'm on...

SIL -1
Texas -2

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

Early games:

Vtech/SIU under 120 (1 unit)

Virginia +3.5 (1 unit)

UNLV +6 (2 units)

Oregon ML (1 unit)

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

Durant -2
Alcohol +11.5
Gamblers +6.5
Win/Ore + 137.5

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

hahaha.... thats crackin me up

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

i'm on tenn/uva u155
purdue +12
oregon ML

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

Parlay:

Wisconsin ML, Kansas ML, Memphis ML, Florida ML

1.2 units to win 2 units

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

adding usc +2.5
nevada +5.5
winthrop +3
VT+1.5

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

[ QUOTE ]
Nevada ML v Memphis bet 2u to win 4u


In this cases, you have an equal dog that is getting 'ragged on' just a bit too much because MT2R is a NV-hater

[/ QUOTE ]

Creighton game was about the 2nd worse showing of the year for NV. (UNLV being the worst)

Oh yeah, I don't know the o/u on this line, but I think I like the Over! lol.

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

Nevada +6
UNLV +6
Winthrop +3

Probably be on USC later. GL to all today.

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

[ QUOTE ]
hey... i like tostart these...my only GIVEN for tomorrow is


Tenn. over 153

[/ QUOTE ]

Well.. my first garentuee that I've lost since I've been on this site... I'll take it.

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

NICE HOLD +3.5 VIRGINIA....1/1 good start.

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Nevada ML v Memphis bet 2u to win 4u


In this cases, you have an equal dog that is getting 'ragged on' just a bit too much because MT2R is a NV-hater

[/ QUOTE ]

Creighton game was about the 2nd worse showing of the year for NV. (UNLV being the worst)

Oh yeah, I don't know the o/u on this line, but I think I like the Over! lol.

[/ QUOTE ]

If you went against me for everytime I hated on a school-none of my picks would count. I don't let my personal feelings ever influence my bets. For instance, just look at my Illinois picks this year where I constantly bounced back-and-forth both for them and against them while racking up win after win.
When I picked Mich to cover v tOSU in football this year, it was because I'm a Buckeye hater. When I picked tOSU to cover v Michigan the year before, it was because I was a Muck Fichigan hater.

FWIW-I'd love to see Nevada beat Memphis after the payments to Reggie Rose and setting him up with a job to obtain Derek Rose's services for college.

However, my betting is strictly objective.
I think everyone on the board knows I'm partial to KenPom and log5 analysis, who has Memphis a 9 point projected victor.

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Nevada ML v Memphis bet 2u to win 4u


In this cases, you have an equal dog that is getting 'ragged on' just a bit too much because MT2R is a NV-hater

[/ QUOTE ]

Creighton game was about the 2nd worse showing of the year for NV. (UNLV being the worst)

Oh yeah, I don't know the o/u on this line, but I think I like the Over! lol.

[/ QUOTE ]

If you went against me for everytime I hated on a school-none of my picks would count. I don't let my personal feelings ever influence my bets. For instance, just look at my Illinois picks this year where I constantly bounced back-and-forth both for them and against them while racking up win after win.
When I picked Mich to cover v tOSU in football this year, it was because I'm a Buckeye hater. When I picked tOSU to cover v Michigan the year before, it was because I was a Muck Fichigan hater.

FWIW-I'd love to see Nevada beat Memphis after the payments to Reggie Rose and setting him up with a job to obtain Derek Rose's services for college.

However, my betting is strictly objective.
I think everyone on the board knows I'm partial to KenPom and log5 analysis, who has Memphis a 9 point projected victor.

[/ QUOTE ]

all true, i'm just stirring the pot (and hopefully setting myself up for the call of the day....) 2u to win 4u

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

oh...OK
I just get sensitive when it's even mentioned that I might be betting my biases.
I work real hard to not let it factor in to my analysis.

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

TEXAS AND MEMPHIS PLEASE COVER SO MY PARLAYS HIT $$$$$$$$$$

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

[ QUOTE ]
Wisconsin ML v UNLV bet 4.9u to win 2u

In all cases, you have superior favs that are getting 'ragged on' just a bit too much and are now available at tasty prices.

[/ QUOTE ]
UNLV 74 Wisconsin 68 <font color="red">LOSS </font>
Wisconsin got off to a terrible sport and then battled to get a 5 point lead with the ball. Then, they choked on it. Actually, they thought they had it and stopped working as hard. Very good game by UNLV and embarrassing shooting by the Badgers.
I was wrong on this one.

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

[ QUOTE ]
Nevada +6
UNLV +6
Winthrop +3

Probably be on USC later. GL to all today.

[/ QUOTE ]

Throw on USC +3 for a small bet.

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

[ QUOTE ]

Oregon ML v Winthrop bet 4.8u to win 3u


In all cases, you have superior favs that are getting 'ragged on' just a bit too much and are now available at tasty prices.

[/ QUOTE ]
Oregon 75 Winthrop 61 <font color="green">WIN </font>
just a real good matchup for the Ducks in hindsight.

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

3-0 on my first bets

0-2 so far on my added picks i just added so i could have something to watch on TV

obv bad idea

Re: NCAAB 2nd Round SUNDAY ONLY
 

[ QUOTE ]
V Tech ML v SIU bet 1u to win 1.1u

V Tech had a perfect team to warm up against. Their superior height will carry the day.

[/ QUOTE ]
<font color="red">LOSS </font>
I forgot that Illinois pretty much had their way with v tech, but choked on it as wings didn't know what to do when the press was broken. SIU in the same spot attacked and drew a foul and, then, got the ball back to the guards to effectively get in the offense.