AQ facing overbet on 689Q9 board
 

I'm taking random shots at MSNL and was wondering if this is a standard fold or call against a 24/21/7 (70 hands)? I was running at about the same stats, we hadn't tangled postflop but 3betting some pre.

Poker Stars, $2/$4 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

Hero (BTN): $520.40
SB: $412.50
BB: $287
UTG: $739
CO: $661.40

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
UTG folds, <font color="red">CO raises to $16</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $52</font>, 2 folds, CO calls $36

Flop: ($110) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
CO checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($110) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">CO bets $80</font>, Hero calls $80

River: ($270) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">CO bets $529.40 and is All-In</font>

Re: AQ facing overbet on 689Q9 board
 

he's full and missed his c/r on the flop really often. same may sometimes go for 89s, JTs, etc. this is a bluff super rarely

Re: AQ facing overbet on 689Q9 board
 

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this is a bluff super rarely

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Without some specific read that villain pulls this kind of stunts as bluffs, I can't see any way of calling this. Standard fold.

Re: AQ facing overbet on 689Q9 board
 

agree

Re: AQ facing overbet on 689Q9 board
 

definitly fold, he's definitly got you.

Re: AQ facing overbet on 689Q9 board
 

i think without a strong read that he turns medium strength made hands into big bluffs in 3 bet pots, i think the river is a fold

Re: AQ facing overbet on 689Q9 board
 

i can't ever remember catching anyone bluffing here [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

Re: AQ facing overbet on 689Q9 board
 

[ QUOTE ]
i can't ever remember catching anyone bluffing here [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Not against anyone but a huge loser, anyway.

Re: AQ facing overbet on 689Q9 board
 

he probably expects you to fold

call

Re: AQ facing overbet on 689Q9 board
 

i think this is a lot closer than people are making it out to be. He can had KK and AA here quite often but he can also be bluffing as villian puts u on JJs or 10s.

Given that u've played with villain 70 hands, i fold.

Re: AQ facing overbet on 689Q9 board
 

You should have raised the turn obviously. He figures you've just called the turn on a draw, otherwise you would have raised with something like AQ. You would have bet the flop if you hit top pair on it, so he's representing the 9, he knows you don't have it, no draws hit on the river.

Great play.

Re: AQ facing overbet on 689Q9 board
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
i can't ever remember catching anyone bluffing here [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Not against anyone but a huge loser, anyway.

[/ QUOTE ]
this is kind of the key point, there no descrption of the villian in the OP, so its hard to say, id probably fold but be kinda temped to call, its tough because its really hard to gauge his range since u checked the flop. also, ur image is pretty important in spots like this, this hand is very metagame related.