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-   -   Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=486244)

Austiger 08-25-2007 05:54 PM

Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
Villain seems solid; 20/14 thru 140 hands.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

SB ($59)
BB ($103.05)
UTG ($289.30)
Hero ($165.85)
Button ($230.35)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $4</font>, Button calls $4, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>.

Flop: ($9.50) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $7</font>, Button calls $7.

Turn: ($23.50) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $17</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $40</font>

invid 08-25-2007 05:56 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
bet more on flop, and 90% of the time i call the turn and reevaluate on river

Hince 08-25-2007 06:01 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
pretty sure you are ahead most of the time. I don't really want another card to come here, so I would put in a raise.

Jay Riall 08-25-2007 06:09 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
wtf you nits, 3bet please.

Xanta 08-25-2007 06:13 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
165BB deep, I'm pretty sure I'm raising here. I expect to see 78 like never, A4-A6 a whole lot, and oversets not as much. Take this punk to valuetown. 200BB+, we've got another question because his calling range on the flop is big and he's probably not going to stack off with top and bottom pair.

invid 08-25-2007 06:16 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
you guys dont think 7c8c would be in villains range?

Jay Riall 08-25-2007 06:16 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
[ QUOTE ]
you guys dont think 7c8c would be in villains range?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes. So?

thac 08-25-2007 06:17 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
Uhhhhhh you're not THAT deep, it plays just like a 100bb stack. 3-bet the hell out of this because he like never has 87 here and if he had 23 the 6 is still a blank (villain would most liley minraise flop with 23 or whatever to get money in). This could be an ace thinking you're full of it, it could be A6, A5, hell maybe some retarded 56 or something with a 6c in it but I doubt it.

Point is, you probably need to raise because he probably has something he likes.

thac 08-25-2007 06:18 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
[ QUOTE ]
you guys dont think 7c8c would be in villains range?

[/ QUOTE ]

So because there's a hand in his range that beats us, that means we are supposed to let the rest of the hands in his range catch up because we just call turn raise?

Austiger 08-25-2007 06:56 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
Okay so I tanked and finally figured I was WA/WB and just called. The river was the most beautiful 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] completing the flush and filling my boat. What's our move? Pot is $103 and I have $114 behind.

Jay Riall 08-25-2007 07:03 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
You don't know the meaning of WA/WB if you think it applies to this board....

Xanta 08-25-2007 07:05 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
Oh yeah, forgot to mention that there are also a million action killers and danger cards that can come on the river. Don't let it happen.

Austiger 08-25-2007 07:06 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
[ QUOTE ]
You don't know the meaning of WA/WB if you think it applies to this board....

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't think he does this with a flush draw. Yes I know what it means.

Jay Riall 08-25-2007 07:13 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
There are also a tonne of pair+straight draws, pair+straight draw+flush draw, straight draw+flush draws out there.

bilbo-san 08-25-2007 07:18 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
[ QUOTE ]
Oh yeah, forgot to mention that there are also a million action killers and danger cards that can come on the river. Don't let it happen.

[/ QUOTE ]

For example the 5 [censored] [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].

Jesus, 3-bet turn and hope he pushes. This is nowhere close to WA/WB.

thac 08-25-2007 07:28 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Oh yeah, forgot to mention that there are also a million action killers and danger cards that can come on the river. Don't let it happen.

[/ QUOTE ]

For example the 5 [censored] [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].

Jesus, 3-bet turn and hope he pushes. This is nowhere close to WA/WB.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yup. Shove now though.

Austiger 08-25-2007 07:30 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
[ QUOTE ]
There are also a tonne of pair+straight draws, pair+straight draw+flush draw, straight draw+flush draws out there.

[/ QUOTE ]

Villain is solid. I think he is just calling with pair/draws. A flop raise would be different. Here, there is no value in raising those hands. I think he has 87/55/air/Ax hands most of the time, i.e. WA/WB. He's not raising the turn with those draws.

The scare card part of it I can agree with, but I think he's folding to a raise with most of what I beat anyway.

Hince 08-25-2007 07:36 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
[ QUOTE ]

The scare card part of it I can agree with, but I think he's folding to a raise with most of what I beat anyway.

[/ QUOTE ]

You are representing AK really well up until the turn. I can't think of too many hands that would be folding to a 3 bet on the turn after putting in a raise.

duracell 08-25-2007 07:37 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
[ QUOTE ]
wtf you nits, 3bet please.

[/ QUOTE ]

Austiger 08-25-2007 07:38 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
Hince- you don't think he might be trying to get me off AK with AT/AJ? That's what it looks like to me if I'm ahead.

Ginge 08-25-2007 07:43 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
When you get raised on the turn you can be fairly sure you have the best hand. His most likely holding IMO is A6. If you think he will definitely fold to a reraise on the turn then call, but I doubt many players at this level will fold that here, so go ahead and reraise.

As played, I bet about $35 on river and I will call all in.

WHITEBOYAEHS 08-25-2007 07:50 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
sucks because checkcalling then betting out is donk..but u miss tons of value if you check and he checks behind. so i just hope he calls and vb hard

Hince 08-25-2007 09:08 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
[ QUOTE ]
Hince- you don't think he might be trying to get me off AK with AT/AJ? That's what it looks like to me if I'm ahead.

[/ QUOTE ]

It's possible but not that likely. Even so, how much more value are you likely to get from those hands if you call the turn raise?

Austiger 08-25-2007 09:19 PM

Re: Dangerous spot with a set....deep and OOP
 
Okay that's a good point.

I bet $65 on the river. He tanked, then called with 8c7c.


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