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-   -   first (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=465556)

Victor 07-31-2007 01:47 PM

first
 
villain is a tag multitabler and likely a pro.

effective stacks are 1k

i raise in sb 35, he 3bets to 120 from bb. i call.

flop is 345. check check.

turn is 4. check check.

river is q and i cr allin.

yourface 07-31-2007 01:50 PM

Re: first
 
what is your hand?

Victor 07-31-2007 02:06 PM

Re: first
 
aa sorry

tubasteve 07-31-2007 02:07 PM

Re: first
 
just bet the flop when he checks, call shove, profit

Victor 07-31-2007 02:13 PM

Re: first
 
tuba, u mean bet the turn? im oop.

4_2_it 07-31-2007 02:15 PM

Re: first
 
Lead the turn. You crush his range and villain will stack off with a lot of hands hero has crushed.

jstill 07-31-2007 02:15 PM

Re: first
 
hes oop tuba

fwiw I doubt he calls a river cr shove of 700 more with Qx he ll assume u have a flopped set everytime u take this line, Id start pumping the pot on the turn and lead for almost pot and then shove the river probably given stack sizes/ pot size at that point. I guess if he 3bet 55 44 or 33 pre and then ck'd the flop he wins and Id be pissed I didnt 4bet pre.

I usually 4bet pre but vs a pro at these limits I'm sure it has its merit not to (I prefer just calling a 3bet in position tho with AA/KK), but people stack off light in blind battles with like JJ AK ect so Id give it a shot to get it all in while I know I'm making mucho skylansky bucks w/ the nuts, whole point of NL rite?

Scary_Tiger 07-31-2007 02:18 PM

Re: first
 
I like the c/r flop, and then I like the c/r turn all in. Once he checks twice I just pot the river and call a shove.

Victor 07-31-2007 02:28 PM

Re: first
 
given the flop and that he checked im really putting him ak or aq. he checked flop bc he figures he cant move me off a pair and has a lot of outs (notice the gutterball)

nowon the turn, i can see a reason to lead a small amount (1/2 pot) that will entice him to call with his alleged outs that im basically freerolling.

also a smaller bet may look weak on the turn? encourage him to bluffraise or raise something like 88?

now on the river when the q hits i figure im only getting action from kq or aq and if i cr i get his stack. but i doubt he calls a decent bet with ak or the unlikely 88.

anyway, i doubt anyone can guess the results.

KurtSF 07-31-2007 02:39 PM

Re: first
 
4-bet preflop.

Lead the flop.

Lead the turn.

Lead the river.

Victor 07-31-2007 02:41 PM

Re: first
 
kurt, awesome analysis. go back to msnl pls.

KurtSF 07-31-2007 03:41 PM

Re: first
 
What?

Make it $325 preflop. There is no downside. You will either win $120 absolutely no risk to you, or you kill any odds he may have to out draw you. And heck, he might come over the top. This is a +EV play always.

The thing is 44 and QQ play it the same against you here. I'm a fan of high-variance +EV plays, but in this situation you don't need to take on the variance to make it a very profitable situation.

Seriously, what do you want me to say? WTG turning your hand into a bluff?

DeathDonkey 07-31-2007 03:49 PM

Re: first
 
Vic I think you played this great and I think you lost to quads but still played it great.

-DeathDonkey

KurtSF 07-31-2007 03:55 PM

Re: first
 
[ QUOTE ]
Vic I think you played this great and I think you lost to quads but still played it great.

-DeathDonkey

[/ QUOTE ]

I've got no problems being "wrong", but how about a little help here. Why is this so great?

What calls the river crai that Hero beats? What better hands fold? I can't see it.

Little help.

DeathDonkey 07-31-2007 04:25 PM

Re: first
 
A better question is what calls a river bet by Victor that won't value bet when checked to and didn't bet the flop or the turn. This isn't limit where the guy can just snap call the river with ace high.

-DeathDonkey

KurtSF 07-31-2007 04:43 PM

Re: first
 
OK, given the preflop, flop, and turn action why re-raise all in? If a lot of hands will bet that can't call a bet, wouldn't a c/c line be better on the river? He has to call 800 into a 1200 pot... maybe you can get a call out of AA, KK, AQ. Not AK. Does 99, TT, JJ v-bet here? Is A2 or 56 in villain's range here? I don't think so. Maybe not even AA and KK, though perhaps KQ.


And why not keep betting preflop? Why not lead the flop?

Victor 07-31-2007 05:11 PM

Re: first
 
[ QUOTE ]
What?

Make it $325 preflop. There is no downside. You will either win $120 absolutely no risk to you, or you kill any odds he may have to out draw you. And heck, he might come over the top. This is a +EV play always.

The thing is 44 and QQ play it the same against you here. I'm a fan of high-variance +EV plays, but in this situation you don't need to take on the variance to make it a very profitable situation.

Seriously, what do you want me to say? WTG turning your hand into a bluff?

[/ QUOTE ]

i wanted you to say this. i wanted actual analysis.

my problem with 3betting pf is that he will fold most of his hands. and i think his range is quite wide here. 3betting pf gets in it in with kk, probably qq and maybe jj (ive folded jj pf tons of times so i figure this guy can get away from it)

however if the flop comes rags i figure hes gonna cbet quite often, esp with lower pairs, thinking i have ak.

he had qq so of course im completely wrong in this instance and im not sure why. i was kinda hoping someone would put themselves in villains shoes. when someone flat calls oop with 50bb stacks do you instantly put them on aa? for me i can have ak, aqs, and most pairs here. is that completely wrong? i pretty much never 4bet but its proly a huge leak but im not sure of a good range and how to react to a push without aa.

KurtSF 07-31-2007 05:36 PM

Re: first
 
There are certainly benefits to your line which I'm not seeing fully. I tend to get stacked when I get tricky and just play ABC, playing AA fast, so I'm sure there's room for improvement. But since its a blind-battle I think its more likely than usual that you will not get credit for your 4-bet and he will come over the top with QQ, KK, or AK (with hindsight, not so much with QQ).

I even understand the flop line, letting him hang himself. Its the all-in on the end which bothers me the most. If he bets more hands than he calls with, check and call. But a 2x pot shove is only getting called by a boat IMHO

Victor 07-31-2007 05:40 PM

Re: first
 
ya, i realized river allin was a pretty bad mistake.

Grunch 07-31-2007 07:08 PM

Re: first
 
There are different schools of thought as far as 4betting preflop go. Some people 4bet preflop frequently, others 4bt preflop never. 4betting rarely, with hands like AA, is highly exploitable and often a bad idea. The point is that calling preflop isn't bad if that's your style and you're prepared to play big pots out of position.

Lead the turn. No need to get fancy here, and no need to let your opponent see a cheap showdown or cheap free cards.

It's important to understand why your river play was such a mistake. Consider the kinds of hands the opponent will call your shove with. The probably don't include any hands you beat.


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